Melodic-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

456

Trades

1,066

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-13 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 64% -$60

Other

2% 17% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:05 UTC	6	$49	28	28	+0	Down	+$5	04-09 21:10
highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 48 49f	7	$46	39	38	+0	Yes	-$2	03-16 00:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 23:15 UTC	2	$30	36	0	+36	Up	$0	04-06 23:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:40 UTC	2	$29	16	15	+0	Down	+$2	04-09 20:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:05 UTC	2	$26	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 20:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:10 UTC	3	$25	26	7	+18	Up	-$1	04-09 21:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:25 UTC	2	$24	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	04-09 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 01:45 UTC	6	$20	43	0	+43	Up	+$2	03-27 01:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:20 UTC	1	$18	19	0	+19	Up	-$18	04-09 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:00 UTC	4	$16	31	0	+31	Up	-$6	03-26 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:05 UTC	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	04-11 17:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:10 UTC	3	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	04-10 00:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:45 UTC	3	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-09 23:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 22:40 UTC	2	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 22:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:25 UTC	3	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$14	15	5	+10	Up	+$0	05-08 22:11
highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 50 51f	2	$14	79	79	+0	No	+$4	03-15 20:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:55 UTC	3	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 15:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:30 UTC	3	$14	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	04-10 15:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:50 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:30 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:20 UTC	3	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 18:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:30 UTC	4	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 00:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:45 UTC	3	$13	8	7	+0	Up	+$1	04-09 22:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:10 UTC	3	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 02:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:40 UTC	3	$13	9	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 22:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:15 UTC	3	$13	9	8	+0	Up	+$1	04-09 23:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:00 UTC	3	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 23:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:30 UTC	3	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	04-09 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc6f9ac…
05-13 13:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x99a3ad…
05-13 13:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf2a391…
05-09 03:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbbf92a…
05-09 03:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb0e47a…
05-09 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb39f94…
05-09 03:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9f1e0f…
05-09 03:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1cdd06…
05-09 03:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf7ec1b…
05-09 02:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6018ca…
05-09 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x65b4fd…
05-09 02:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4765b7…
05-09 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0da84f…
05-09 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x331f58…
05-09 02:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x142e3e…
05-09 02:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x20eb1f…
05-09 02:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28b5df…
05-09 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb07732…
05-09 01:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xea2dc1…
05-09 01:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc79b39…
05-09 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7a8395…
05-09 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x2ba3c1…
05-09 01:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1bf06f…
05-09 01:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x334b8e…
05-09 01:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x930f45…
05-09 00:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0fda43…
05-09 00:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x29f1d1…
05-09 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6b5f0d…
05-09 00:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbc1ff5…
05-09 00:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4728eb…
05-09 00:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfec64a…
05-08 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90c3bb…
05-08 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6d650a…
05-08 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6b5bff…
05-08 23:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe2c24e…
05-08 23:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ef929…
05-08 23:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdadd5b…
05-08 23:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa6a46e…
05-08 23:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6ce20d…
05-08 22:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf31bd5…
05-08 22:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb53de4…
05-08 22:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x035fc6…
05-08 22:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfd6ef6…
05-08 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6fc659…
05-08 22:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8923e7…
05-08 18:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x46bf6e…
05-08 18:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x59e0f5…
05-08 18:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb9ad70…
05-08 15:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6dae6a…
05-08 15:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5a4826…
05-08 15:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x548e55…
05-08 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x074047…
05-08 14:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xb312f3…
05-08 14:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x627f8a…
05-08 14:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3e7e44…
05-08 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x47a413…
05-08 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x6e3bdf…
05-08 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x35cad4…
05-08 14:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc4324c…
05-08 14:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6dfbdd…
05-08 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x73ad14…
05-08 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf1077d…
05-08 13:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4c0039…
05-08 13:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x26148a…
05-08 13:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xfbc9e2…
05-08 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb83920…
05-06 20:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf339bd…
05-06 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xa5f4e7…
05-06 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0cab5f…
05-06 20:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x1be764…
05-06 20:47:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x86e424…
05-06 20:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x9d9aae…
05-06 20:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x5c6924…
05-06 20:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x87a848…
05-06 20:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x562f2c…
05-06 20:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xf35a20…
05-06 20:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa73026…
05-06 20:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x39ac70…
05-06 20:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0f25d3…
05-06 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0xae6693…
05-06 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x32f1e2…
05-06 20:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc03746…
05-06 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf2c33d…
05-06 19:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x4c58f1…
05-06 19:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc6a892…
05-06 19:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x53b75f…
05-06 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb26dbc…
05-06 19:47:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x03f475…
05-06 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x013c11…
05-06 19:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb6f437…
05-06 19:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8487d4…
05-06 19:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8298bd…
05-04 09:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa31742…
05-04 09:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe1f4c8…
05-04 09:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9e6a30…
05-04 08:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb88ce7…
05-04 08:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xb56054…
05-04 08:09:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd27d9c…
05-04 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf799b0…
05-04 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x6811d5…