Modern-Timeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

387

Trades

2,700

lifetime

Volume

$6.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-01 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 45% +$18

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 347 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	18	$49	406	351	+55	open	—	04-15 15:56
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	14	$40	161	155	+6	open	—	04-16 01:33
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	12	$35	641	618	+23	open	—	04-15 16:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	11	$35	108	105	+3	open	—	04-17 13:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	15	$28	1,163	1,119	+44	open	—	04-15 07:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	18	$24	315	305	+10	open	—	04-15 16:47
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	6	$24	57	46	+11	open	—	04-15 18:46
btc updown 15m 1777034700	3	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	4	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 01:36
btc updown 15m 1777039200	3	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 14:03
btc updown 15m 1777027500	3	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 10:47
btc updown 15m 1776784500	6	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-21 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-26 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 01:01
btc updown 15m 1777047300	4	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 16:18
btc updown 15m 1776786300	4	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-21 15:49
btc updown 15m 1777037400	4	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	04-24 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-26 22:46
btc updown 15m 1776785400	3	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	04-21 15:36
btc updown 15m 1776795300	5	$12	19	0	+19	open	—	04-21 18:17
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	6	$12	359	341	+17	open	—	04-15 07:40
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	4	$11	81	78	+3	open	—	04-19 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	04-25 08:34
btc updown 15m 1776780900	4	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-21 14:15
eth updown 15m 1777052700	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 14:19
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 23:25
btc updown 15m 1777040100	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-24 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xdc70f4…
06-01 12:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x71f9f4…
06-01 06:41:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd9d04d…
06-01 06:40:21	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x28199e…
06-01 06:35:18	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc91919…
06-01 06:35:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd16a56…
06-01 06:30:19	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xc9669d…
06-01 06:30:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x567e27…
06-01 06:25:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xde70b4…
06-01 06:25:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xc633cb…
06-01 06:25:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x56042b…
06-01 06:20:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x666b52…
06-01 06:20:15	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6a583e…
06-01 06:10:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4d7be8…
06-01 06:10:24	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x0bb756…
06-01 06:05:18	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x43ae5d…
06-01 05:55:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4ec41e…
06-01 05:55:26	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa3c72b…
06-01 05:05:51	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x784fd3…
06-01 04:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd84837…
06-01 04:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8d3c2a…
06-01 04:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x666704…
06-01 04:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xeccb38…
06-01 04:17:02	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb0975b…
06-01 04:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa32d36…
06-01 04:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x382d1e…
06-01 04:11:01	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x7887b7…
06-01 04:10:26	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfd2f97…
06-01 04:05:18	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd66324…
06-01 02:51:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x974246…
06-01 02:51:46	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6686dd…
06-01 01:55:20	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xef837d…
06-01 01:55:18	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x9850fc…
06-01 01:45:16	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcc72bf…
06-01 01:45:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaae606…
06-01 01:30:54	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb078c1…
06-01 01:20:38	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x875488…
06-01 01:10:32	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd592b7…
06-01 00:40:33	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x057146…
06-01 00:40:17	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc68a16…
06-01 00:30:40	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x010be8…
06-01 00:15:30	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd3b1cb…
06-01 00:11:18	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x8a08ca…
06-01 00:10:15	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x3689e7…
05-31 23:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x153d63…
05-31 21:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x073b3b…
05-31 00:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe2f703…
05-30 13:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc96907…
05-30 13:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x29e750…
05-30 13:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf456c7…
05-30 04:31:38	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x160b19…
05-30 01:35:12	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa564b0…
05-29 05:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x487b9f…
05-29 05:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xd9681c…
05-29 04:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe472d2…
05-29 04:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1f0f1e…
05-29 01:47:47	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9402be…
05-29 01:47:47	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x5b5aef…
05-29 01:35:24	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x432eb2…
05-29 01:25:20	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd7c859…
05-29 01:20:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc20ce4…
05-29 01:20:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x14a261…
05-29 01:15:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd55a06…
05-29 01:10:15	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0c89cb…
05-29 00:53:08	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a4882…
05-29 00:30:32	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4b668a…
05-29 00:25:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x10a7a3…
05-29 00:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x088f86…
05-29 00:15:16	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb7a542…
05-29 00:05:16	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xecc742…
05-28 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x82d9bb…
05-28 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x94fc8e…
05-28 13:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x8d50ab…
05-28 12:45:13	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x8e51b8…
05-28 12:40:12	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2d0c9b…
05-28 06:56:58	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc409df…
05-28 06:56:56	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa27406…
05-28 06:00:20	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x109315…
05-28 05:55:27	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6a3b42…
05-28 05:21:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1bbefd…
05-28 05:15:33	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5fd003…
05-28 05:00:16	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x299994…
05-28 04:30:24	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x071259…
05-28 04:25:41	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x574b13…
05-28 04:25:39	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x983cf0…
05-28 04:25:15	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x689154…
05-28 04:20:24	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xaea60a…
05-28 04:20:24	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x371b11…
05-28 04:20:22	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x24e524…
05-28 04:20:17	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6c2064…
05-28 04:18:41	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x2570a6…
05-28 04:16:51	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa9ac6c…
05-28 04:16:51	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x04a3f8…
05-28 04:11:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x85ce11…
05-28 04:11:25	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x51a245…
05-28 04:05:19	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc77be6…
05-28 04:05:19	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xae8d09…
05-28 04:05:18	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc4eec5…
05-28 04:01:21	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x42b0c1…
05-28 04:01:20	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1a8a7f…