Insistent-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

2,676

Trades

5,340

lifetime

Volume

$32.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-25 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 50% +$543

Other

40% 42% -$280

Sports

5% 42% -$124

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phi bos 2026 04 19	41	$214	808	664	+144	Celtics	-$27	04-19 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$145	118	118	+0	Up	+$39	05-21 00:51
itf abe sidorov 2026 06 18	26	$143	78	78	+0	Hiromi Abe	-$4	06-18 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$127	108	108	+0	Up	+$21	05-20 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$117	110	110	+0	Up	+$11	05-20 13:40
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	5	$117	108	105	+3	Under	+$96	04-22 21:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$116	114	114	+0	Up	+$10	05-20 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$115	106	106	+0	Up	+$9	05-21 00:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$115	111	111	+0	Up	+$9	05-21 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$115	118	118	+0	Down	+$9	05-21 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$114	106	106	+0	Up	+$12	05-21 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$112	107	107	+0	Down	+$10	05-21 00:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$102	118	118	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$101	110	110	+0	Down	-$5	05-21 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$98	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	05-20 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$98	118	118	+0	Up	-$8	05-21 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$94	113	113	+0	Up	-$8	05-21 08:05
itf kitahar lin 2026 06 18	18	$94	54	54	+0	Yuno Kitahara	-$4	06-18 04:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$92	113	113	+0	Down	-$10	05-20 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$89	113	113	+0	Down	-$17	05-20 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$87	77	77	+0	Up	+$13	05-21 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$86	109	109	+0	Up	-$20	05-21 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$85	111	111	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$83	71	71	+0	Up	+$9	05-21 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$80	70	70	+0	Down	+$6	05-21 13:35
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 17pt5	11	$80	103	63	+40	Suns	+$10	04-23 04:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$78	75	75	+0	Up	+$4	05-21 14:20
mlb tor bos 2026 06 17	13	$73	42	36	+6	Toronto Blue Jays	$0	06-18 01:44
itf fenty tosett 2026 06 17	13	$73	42	36	+6	Andrew Fenty	-$1	06-17 22:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$70	72	72	+0	Down	-$4	05-21 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 16:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x1c43d5…
09-25 16:35:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb32493…
09-25 16:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x01f2e0…
09-25 16:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3064a6…
09-25 16:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xe0c8ff…
09-25 16:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x80f32c…
09-25 16:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x471320…
09-25 16:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4c875d…
09-10 13:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xf8d7e6…
09-10 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb44a57…
09-10 13:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x856afe…
09-10 13:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6be002…
09-10 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xfdfc9b…
09-10 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x53a456…
09-10 12:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x2971e5…
09-10 12:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7141ea…
09-10 12:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x238593…
09-10 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x6796e4…
09-10 12:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xbeffe2…
09-10 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf62a48…
09-10 12:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xd65a6f…
09-10 12:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x360033…
09-10 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x6d10db…
09-10 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd0a868…
09-10 12:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x821dfb…
09-10 12:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8fa96c…
09-10 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xd3e443…
09-10 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xabd33b…
09-10 09:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9155d3…
09-10 09:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5ebd68…
09-10 06:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x708ab5…
09-10 06:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x81376f…
09-03 22:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0387d2…
09-03 22:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x138496…
09-03 21:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x78345f…
09-03 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x047ddb…
09-03 14:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xdc7a80…
09-03 14:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb84271…
09-03 14:11:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x0f59f9…
09-03 14:11:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x0d1ca8…
09-03 14:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xf6ae0f…
09-03 14:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x555e95…
09-03 13:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc9492a…
09-03 13:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x332a41…
09-03 13:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xf21beb…
09-03 13:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x11d586…
09-02 20:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x7119f0…
09-02 20:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x196a16…
09-02 18:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x69f881…
09-02 18:10:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf4b032…
08-28 22:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x832205…
08-28 22:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x74de28…
08-14 17:05:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x3d5e9b…
08-14 17:05:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x67e194…
08-04 21:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x624d26…
08-04 21:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4033ae…
08-04 19:55:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xc3faec…
08-04 19:55:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1d272b…
08-01 21:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x9121b6…
08-01 21:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xff5300…
08-01 21:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x33ea3e…
08-01 21:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa2209f…
07-31 01:30:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xb774c8…
07-30 08:45:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0xc4f0df…
07-30 08:45:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xa1aa01…
07-30 08:37:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x98f51c…
07-30 08:36:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe0860a…
07-28 08:20:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x183701…
07-27 15:15:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xfa417b…
07-27 15:15:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x63464c…
07-27 15:10:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0xb012f6…
07-27 15:10:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4a3448…
07-27 15:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x312471…
07-27 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4ccdda…
07-27 14:35:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x2059dc…
07-27 14:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0xddb3ed…
07-27 14:35:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8efc7c…
07-27 14:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x77b151…
07-27 14:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x93c2ee…
07-27 14:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x358514…
07-27 14:30:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x20e640…
07-27 14:30:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x79df1d…
07-27 14:25:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xa274e2…
07-27 14:25:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xb14358…
07-27 13:51:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x29ee21…
07-27 13:51:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xed8692…
07-27 13:46:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x362514…
07-27 13:46:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x88c9f3…
07-27 13:40:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x3a2b80…
07-27 13:40:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xa6f3ff…
07-27 13:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x976523…
07-27 13:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x11d653…
07-27 13:30:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x3a071d…
07-27 12:31:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xcf6d59…
07-27 12:31:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xef84ae…
07-27 12:25:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf8aba8…
07-27 12:25:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x74283c…
07-27 09:16:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x67dd09…
07-27 09:15:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x18e8d9…
07-27 08:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x9b1028…