Realized P&L
+$30.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
99.5%
Resolved
76
Trades
1,943
lifetime
Volume
$13.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.70K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
62%
100%
+$13,598
Other
33%
97%
+$14,037
Crypto
3%
67%
+$2,609
Sports
2%
100%
+$292
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 67 | $691.0K | 322,533 | 369,451 | -46,917 | No | +$276 | 04-27 08:35 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 19 | $634.3K | 506,615 | 129,681 | +376,934 | No | +$1,494 | 01-03 18:12 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 84 | $546.3K | 273,571 | 273,571 | -0 | Yes | +$274 | 03-03 14:20 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 37 | $499.2K | 255,552 | 245,404 | +10,148 | Yes | +$838 | 02-03 07:19 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 42 | $402.3K | 292,054 | 110,607 | +181,447 | No | +$181 | 03-01 09:22 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 75 | $382.9K | 204,565 | 180,901 | +23,664 | Yes | +$2,241 | 02-03 08:28 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 15 | $310.2K | 281,755 | 28,781 | +252,975 | Yes | +$310 | 04-20 04:15 |
| will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021 | 1 | $292.2K | 292,539 | 0 | +292,539 | Yes | +$293 | 07-23 00:07 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 2 | $291.7K | 291,952 | 0 | +291,952 | Yes | +$292 | 07-08 02:26 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 1 | $290.3K | 290,916 | 0 | +290,916 | Yes | +$582 | 06-17 01:33 |
| will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854 | 34 | $287.7K | 279,534 | 8,710 | +270,824 | Yes | +$532 | 03-29 13:19 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 16 | $287.3K | 289,868 | 0 | +289,868 | No | +$2,609 | 06-02 21:08 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $286.4K | 286,639 | 0 | +286,639 | Yes | +$287 | 05-09 19:35 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 29 | $284.6K | 285,483 | 0 | +285,483 | Yes | +$856 | 04-27 20:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 1 | $281.8K | 282,336 | 0 | +282,336 | Yes | +$565 | 04-09 01:17 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 1 | $280.5K | 281,667 | 0 | +281,667 | Yes | +$1,127 | 04-07 15:27 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 20 | $280.1K | 280,613 | 0 | +280,613 | No | +$561 | 04-05 23:19 |
| will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15 | 47 | $277.6K | 278,112 | 0 | +278,112 | No | +$556 | 03-18 22:53 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 2 | $276.7K | 277,555 | 0 | +277,555 | Yes | +$833 | 03-15 01:13 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 1 | $274.3K | 274,594 | 0 | +274,594 | No | +$275 | 03-04 18:23 |
| will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276 | 22 | $273.3K | 274,319 | 0 | +274,319 | Yes | +$1,018 | 03-03 15:04 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 20 | $271.5K | 271,996 | 0 | +271,996 | Yes | +$544 | 02-09 01:37 |
| ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026 | 45 | $269.8K | 270,117 | 0 | +270,117 | Yes | +$366 | 04-04 07:29 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | 100 | $268.4K | 268,661 | 0 | +268,661 | Yes | +$269 | 04-15 05:34 |
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 52 | $266.0K | 266,308 | 0 | +266,308 | Yes | +$292 | 01-25 19:36 |
| will melania say career during ai talk on friday | 55 | $265.3K | 265,854 | 0 | +265,854 | No | +$532 | 01-20 15:57 |
| will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit | 1 | $264.9K | 265,187 | 0 | +265,187 | Yes | +$265 | 01-18 18:27 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 3 | $259.6K | 260,170 | 0 | +260,170 | No | +$520 | 01-04 16:47 |
| will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486 | 58 | $251.7K | 252,228 | 0 | +252,228 | No | +$527 | 03-25 19:54 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 2 | $246.2K | 246,700 | 0 | +246,700 | No | +$493 | 02-03 10:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||