Forsaken-Rainmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

196

Trades

658

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 08-18 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 75% -$28

Other

28% 35% -$116

Sports

2% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	5	$506	563	338	+224	Yes	+$141	07-16 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	7	$317	3,510	516	+2,994	No	-$100	06-16 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	7	$289	326	326	+0	Yes	-$14	06-16 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	5	$218	505	400	+105	No	-$217	07-17 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$190	150	150	+0	Up	+$67	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$186	164	164	+0	Up	+$41	05-24 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$181	177	177	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	9	$156	152	152	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$148	160	160	+0	Down	-$9	05-23 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	8	$147	107	107	+0	Yes	+$65	07-15 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$124	110	110	+0	Up	+$9	05-24 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	9	$109	146	137	+9	Down	+$4	05-24 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 16?	2	$108	57	57	+0	No	-$2	07-16 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	10	$104	140	70	+70	Up	-$33	05-23 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$97	57	57	+0	Down	+$7	05-24 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$95	49	49	+0	Down	+$3	05-23 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$93	65	65	+0	Up	+$36	05-21 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?	2	$92	92	92	+0	No	-$13	07-16 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$85	82	82	+0	Up	+$18	05-24 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	10	$72	47	47	+0	Yes	+$21	07-14 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$71	157	10	+146	Down	-$60	05-24 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	3	$69	49	49	+0	Yes	+$21	06-15 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	12	$69	76	76	+0	Up	-$7	05-23 11:09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$67	200	200	+0	No	+$3	06-16 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$64	93	60	+33	Up	+$2	05-24 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$64	40	34	+6	Up	$0	05-24 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	20	$64	130	0	+130	Down	+$1	05-23 10:20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$63	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	06-16 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$62	130	0	+130	Up	+$3	05-23 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$62	70	58	+13	Down	+$5	05-24 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 12:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xc4f7c0…
08-18 12:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x23b87a…
08-18 12:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x60a401…
08-18 12:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ec6d6…
08-18 12:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88c3c2…
08-18 12:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x0d2685…
08-18 12:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xdb1c74…
08-18 12:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xbc405e…
08-18 12:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x20ab0b…
08-18 12:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xc43a04…
08-18 12:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf97277…
08-18 12:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe048a8…
08-18 12:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xfe3f02…
08-18 12:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xf5f1c6…
08-18 12:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x35f804…
08-18 12:02:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9d8155…
08-18 11:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x00113c…
08-18 11:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ddad2…
08-17 21:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2b6a98…
08-17 21:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	144	1¢	$1	0xbf2b2a…
08-17 21:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	144	18¢	$25	0x0b7d80…
08-17 21:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc71b9f…
08-17 21:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x3fb382…
08-17 21:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x4cd4c5…
07-18 06:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x99edf5…
07-17 16:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd1354c…
07-17 16:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe042e1…
07-17 16:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xf04c61…
07-17 14:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa4d9f6…
07-17 04:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	471	46¢	$215	0xd7c102…
07-16 14:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	224	92¢	$207	0x0be039…
07-16 14:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	38	78¢	$30	0x100535…
07-16 14:20:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$181	0x754288…
07-16 10:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	78	48¢	$38	0xf2afff…
07-16 10:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	92	43¢	$40	0xac458d…
07-16 08:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0xf6e039…
07-16 08:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 16?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0xc17f6c…
07-16 08:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xa67b44…
07-16 07:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	261	19¢	$50	0x358438…
07-15 16:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xdacc5d…
07-15 16:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcbdd0c…
07-15 16:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x61e909…
07-15 16:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc42fac…
07-15 16:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcda033…
07-15 16:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa9f87d…
07-15 16:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x55fad6…
07-15 09:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	107	38¢	$41	0x494cae…
07-15 07:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xe71312…
07-15 07:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x731d67…
07-14 16:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x6c96bf…
07-14 16:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4b7d33…
07-14 16:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x68277a…
07-14 16:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88bfaf…
07-14 16:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8e603…
07-14 16:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x383938…
07-14 16:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa7d020…
07-14 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xd268ca…
07-14 08:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x9aa62e…
07-14 08:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf5eea4…
07-13 14:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xfab5ac…
07-13 14:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x756400…
07-13 11:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xac4449…
07-13 11:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x0729f4…
06-25 08:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x33d806…
06-25 08:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x96d6a4…
06-18 14:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x4a7dc8…
06-17 14:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x579ce4…
06-17 14:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x2382d0…
06-17 13:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9087e8…
06-16 14:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2ab218…
06-16 13:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	994	1¢	$10	0xcf2258…
06-16 13:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xb82bc6…
06-16 13:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xee3842…
06-16 13:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	221	10¢	$22	0xc969e3…
06-16 08:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	221	34¢	$75	0x16e2a4…
06-16 08:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	181	44¢	$79	0x227b36…
06-16 07:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	181	45¢	$82	0x39ab9f…
06-16 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	295	30¢	$87	0xb71437…
06-16 06:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	181	42¢	$76	0xdf8a3c…
06-16 06:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	114	40¢	$46	0xa663b2…
06-16 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	114	42¢	$48	0x7563e2…
06-16 06:29:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0xe6b116…
06-16 06:29:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$29	0xdccd9c…
06-16 06:28:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$35	0xf834a9…
06-15 14:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xacdd20…
06-15 14:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x42fd03…
06-15 14:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x644a0f…
06-15 06:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x64fd79…
06-15 06:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb164c9…
06-15 06:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc302f…
06-15 06:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdd1500…
06-15 06:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x671a3c…
06-15 06:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x535342…
06-12 12:55:12	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xed75e8…
06-12 12:54:52	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8626ec…
06-12 08:31:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb1f334…
06-12 08:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2b639…
06-12 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x57ca71…
06-12 08:13:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x8a55da…
06-12 08:13:15	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xa7e89c…