Deadly-Fireplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

220

Trades

967

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-18 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

35% 29% -$21

Tech

33% 67% +$1

Crypto

16% 8% +$8

Politics

16% 43% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?	7	$583	404	404	+0	Yes	-$2	06-06 23:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	11	$225	214	214	+0	No	+$0	06-05 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 4?	13	$139	183	124	+59	Yes	+$2	06-04 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?	5	$110	155	155	+0	No	+$0	06-03 08:41
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-04 11:10
will meta dip to 520 in june 2026	5	$78	89	89	+0	No	+$0	06-05 15:59
Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?	3	$70	38	38	+0	No	+$1	06-05 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	6	$58	307	100	+207	Up	+$53	08-19 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:50 UTC	6	$50	150	0	+150	Down	$0	08-19 11:53
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	9	$43	77	77	+0	No	-$1	06-07 09:04
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?	15	$39	252	252	+0	No	-$3	06-04 20:03
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?	6	$37	36	36	+0	No	+$0	06-03 14:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?	5	$33	35	35	+0	No	+$1	06-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 13:55 UTC	4	$27	150	0	+150	Up	+$24	08-19 13:59
will any team get mega creeps at blast slam vii 20260602173711981	8	$18	380	380	+0	Yes	-$2	06-04 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	3	$17	157	50	+107	Up	+$14	08-19 16:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?	15	$12	300	300	-0	No	+$2	06-02 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:00 UTC	2	$12	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	08-19 17:04
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	3	$11	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-04 07:46
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	18	$10	846	218	+627	Up	-$1	08-20 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:30 UTC	3	$9	100	50	+50	Up	+$7	08-19 17:34
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520	4	$8	40	40	+0	No	+$0	06-04 12:06
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?	2	$8	25	25	+0	No	-$1	06-03 08:09
will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	6	$8	40	40	+0	No	+$1	06-05 11:20
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	4	$7	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 16:25
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	6	$7	78	78	+0	No	-$1	06-03 07:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	13	$7	201	151	+50	Down	+$1	08-20 07:42
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	10	$7	304	304	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 16:47
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	4	$7	34	34	+0	No	+$1	06-03 15:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 17:15 UTC	10	$6	2,275	50	+2,225	Down	-$4	08-19 17:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 07:57:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb8c19a…
10-11 16:09:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2eb385…
10-10 06:37:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x732a24…
10-09 16:19:23	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ad1e9…
10-08 07:31:00	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x39268d…
09-07 17:14:39	Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe16bff…
08-20 09:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5c2f07…
08-20 09:57:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb9a881…
08-20 09:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0x903ad7…
08-20 09:56:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x314a48…
08-20 09:56:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xcb0b99…
08-20 09:55:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8c0931…
08-20 09:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xf9e713…
08-20 09:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x984855…
08-20 09:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x91988d…
08-20 09:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x76862c…
08-20 09:43:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb6364d…
08-20 09:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x42c18a…
08-20 09:13:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd96dc8…
08-20 09:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xa79b6f…
08-20 09:12:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x2f516f…
08-20 09:11:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x6437c2…
08-20 09:11:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1f1466…
08-20 09:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x14fbbc…
08-20 08:58:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x944db4…
08-20 08:58:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x26f032…
08-20 08:58:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x663abb…
08-20 08:58:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xba9185…
08-20 08:58:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfe0941…
08-20 08:58:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6a24f5…
08-20 08:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9df938…
08-20 08:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x40a985…
08-20 08:58:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x218034…
08-20 08:57:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4374d7…
08-20 08:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1796e2…
08-20 08:57:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2743aa…
08-20 08:57:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0393a7…
08-20 08:57:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xee57c1…
08-20 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9825a1…
08-20 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x945249…
08-20 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x61951d…
08-20 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x20a640…
08-20 08:57:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x0e6246…
08-20 08:57:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x02ad19…
08-20 08:56:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9b4435…
08-20 08:54:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x625d98…
08-20 08:54:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xf62951…
08-20 08:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8feb2b…
08-20 08:53:58	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaa5cf1…
08-20 08:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd865d7…
08-20 08:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5dc3a1…
08-20 08:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x079c8f…
08-20 08:42:40	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x4924bc…
08-20 08:41:43	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xdce540…
08-20 08:41:43	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xae56bc…
08-20 08:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb4b6fd…
08-20 08:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb4375b…
08-20 08:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x217427…
08-20 08:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x18497d…
08-20 08:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7f42c4…
08-20 08:11:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x5ad0a1…
08-20 08:10:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	174	0¢	$0	0x7909c9…
08-20 08:10:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x104074…
08-20 08:10:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x6553bb…
08-20 08:10:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x18e0eb…
08-20 08:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x774daa…
08-20 08:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	346	0¢	$0	0x0b1444…
08-20 08:09:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa6ff75…
08-20 08:08:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x00100e…
08-20 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa0bffa…
08-20 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3958e0…
08-20 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x20867a…
08-20 08:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x06e673…
08-20 08:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf7bdd3…
08-20 08:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x35f126…
08-20 07:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa2d99e…
08-20 07:57:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xe2df2b…
08-20 07:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe6111f…
08-20 07:57:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x04970f…
08-20 07:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x41cbc0…
08-20 07:57:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9bfa58…
08-20 07:57:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x9fd330…
08-20 07:55:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x568582…
08-20 07:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x767ee3…
08-20 07:51:18	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	905	0¢	$1	0xb52c81…
08-20 07:48:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0x512cb8…
08-20 07:47:36	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x41ce1a…
08-20 07:47:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xaf4cfb…
08-20 07:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x90b0c4…
08-20 07:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x56e56d…
08-20 07:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x125327…
08-20 07:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x06280f…
08-20 07:41:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf84df7…
08-20 07:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7dc22c…
08-20 07:41:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xcf7b5b…
08-20 07:41:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xb6e85d…
08-20 07:41:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x6f5720…
08-20 07:40:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xacfb11…
08-20 07:40:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb6a6c0…
08-20 07:40:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b5f6a…