Fatherly-Prompt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

280

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 04:41
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 04:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 09:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 07:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 25c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:33
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 00:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 24c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 15:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-21 15:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 07:15
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 09:21
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 48 49f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:20
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:41
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 66forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:42
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:15
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:32
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 36c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 10:31
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 01:30
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:56:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc84159…
10-29 08:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e3453…
10-28 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb50e5…
10-27 08:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e20e1…
10-26 09:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadec76…
10-24 10:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92782c…
10-22 10:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb822…
10-20 04:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fc935…
10-19 08:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7e095…
10-18 08:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cb77b…
10-17 09:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e4188…
10-16 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0f5f0…
10-15 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec9bb…
10-14 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcad3a…
10-13 08:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x391cbc…
10-12 08:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7b37e…
10-11 08:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96e057…
10-08 08:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f1cdd…
10-07 13:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x874b1e…
10-06 07:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45c17…
10-04 10:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b997b…
10-03 05:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x902390…
10-02 07:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95412d…
10-01 08:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe294e…
09-30 12:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c1f5a…
09-29 11:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6144…
09-28 09:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03fe47…
09-27 08:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3895fa…
09-25 08:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0ebb4…
09-24 08:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f099d…
09-23 06:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x576cae…
09-22 07:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd264ff…
09-21 08:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9555da…
09-20 05:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed0c48…
09-19 07:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41e02f…
09-18 01:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe486bd…
09-17 03:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d293a…
09-16 07:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f4945…
09-15 08:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa30044…
09-14 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30264d…
09-12 10:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x540d34…
09-11 07:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3284b4…
09-10 02:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23a02c…
09-09 09:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71c32b…
09-09 01:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a53e5…
09-08 02:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x21cc67…
09-07 08:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c016b…
09-06 17:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75fc35…
09-06 09:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d467e…
09-05 09:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6a7e3…
09-04 09:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e56a4…
09-03 09:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13284e…
09-02 06:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6de679…
08-30 08:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b5295…
08-29 07:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdeffb9…
08-28 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cf6c0…
08-27 07:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec2f01…
08-26 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ec09f…
08-25 08:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x453c2f…
08-24 09:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf241be…
08-23 14:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8ff8…
08-22 07:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x799de6…
08-21 06:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eefaf…
08-20 08:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x997e5b…
08-19 08:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f0ac5…
08-18 06:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c40a…
08-17 07:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa35cc6…
08-16 11:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3393a5…
08-15 09:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x616bc6…
08-14 06:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97445d…
08-13 07:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1fef5…
08-12 07:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5477a2…
08-11 03:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1bb66…
08-10 00:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715fd4…
08-09 01:14:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x157498…
08-08 07:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd90bf5…
08-07 00:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8ab0a…
08-06 00:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb580af…
08-05 07:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7b479…
08-04 07:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x090f8b…
08-03 01:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0587f7…
08-02 01:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27d173…
08-01 06:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a4e7b…
07-31 07:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa34c7…
07-30 06:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x858b2c…
07-29 06:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60ab07…
07-28 06:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd64ca1…
07-27 07:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c8b3b…
07-26 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3bf74…
07-25 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb88eee…
07-24 09:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd04807…
07-23 02:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84f56f…
07-22 01:43:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x860b88…
07-20 23:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0642c0…
07-20 02:17:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00fd45…
07-18 22:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef6502…
07-18 00:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x906246…
07-17 06:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6df3e7…
07-15 21:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf30dec…
07-15 06:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf5bfb…