Hairy-Spirit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

2,350

Trades

2,416

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 11-07 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 244 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% $0

Sports

16% 99% -$6

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 07:17
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	04-25 02:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-25 02:48
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23	3	$20	10	10	+0	Stricker	+$0	02-27 05:59
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:33:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52231…
11-07 16:05:54	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf08d6…
11-06 20:34:54	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf9c4a…
11-01 02:36:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04a0ae…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61ad02…
11-01 01:09:24	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcc0a89…
11-01 00:43:21	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae2473…
11-01 00:05:33	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce0b73…
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5481f…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfade43…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf15af5…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5fc4e…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x142378…
10-24 14:16:02	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f7dad…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7c351…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8999d8…
10-24 13:00:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41e51d…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x374b6d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd66ab8…
10-22 20:12:39	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e65dd…
10-22 20:12:26	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32c275…
10-21 20:58:45	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37687a…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde839b…
10-20 22:56:14	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa5c54…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2423a0…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61abbb…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6360d2…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57850f…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0c1f4…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x653aeb…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccf71f…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84760b…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00b8d3…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68ab50…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5704db…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x788070…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53352e…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22e213…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80b94e…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x296b79…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc737ef…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe13c98…
10-10 11:09:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb726…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbf66e…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xacb5e5…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf15b3…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d7ff4…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0d33…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68a828…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ea92…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d66f3…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2bb5ad…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3791a0…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x225381…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ca89b…
10-02 14:15:24	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1adc56…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614488…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d4a04…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xebf391…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4e6b6…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a488f…
10-01 07:33:17	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6300ea…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93da15…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x21bcba…
09-30 08:50:57	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda550e…
09-30 06:59:38	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb77d53…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4335db…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc915b9…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf61cb…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x70efe1…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda1996…
09-29 06:51:53	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaac319…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9a6ed2…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfcb4e1…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x968dfc…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea12b5…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa25bb3…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ff943…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34b629…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe02e56…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x300bb6…
09-25 22:58:51	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098e2b…
09-25 10:32:17	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1dcc…
09-24 20:48:42	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3643c…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6752a…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x381075…
09-23 16:19:00	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8250bf…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x85c78a…
09-21 19:09:03	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d9277…
09-21 18:44:39	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62a869…
09-21 15:15:04	Sao Paulo Open (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Rogers/Zamarripa	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfef78…
09-21 08:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc128e4…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa1fd9…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7e22e…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78eb4b…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf17126…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b8e91…
09-20 01:32:42	East Carolina vs. Old Dominion	East Carolina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf82af…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ba887…