Vibrant-Chalk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$542

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-30 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

58% 82% +$24

Other

42% 75% +$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$124	74	74	+0	No	+$21	04-25 02:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$71	44	44	+0	No	+$11	05-15 19:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$62	34	34	+0	No	+$2	05-30 01:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$60	39	39	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 03:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$52	34	34	+0	No	+$12	05-30 02:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	04-03 17:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	04-29 14:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$22	19	19	+0	No	+$2	05-15 19:10
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$22	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-15 19:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	$0	04-19 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	$0	05-30 03:08
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$14	21	13	+7	No	+$2	05-14 21:41
Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$3	05-07 18:24
highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 19c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-13 00:43
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	05-07 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 03:08:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x49e450…
05-30 03:08:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	39	78¢	$30	0x8124c4…
05-30 02:51:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xf863f1…
05-30 01:41:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x8ddc2d…
05-23 03:41:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc97a18…
05-19 13:15:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x3a38bc…
05-19 13:15:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xfbea0d…
05-19 13:13:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x097ed7…
05-18 23:23:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6f1dc3…
05-18 23:23:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x610662…
05-17 17:30:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1dafe4…
05-15 19:11:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x983a48…
05-15 19:10:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x45044d…
05-15 19:10:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcb6c57…
05-14 21:41:44	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x21924d…
05-14 21:41:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdf6e84…
05-14 21:41:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x41dd0a…
05-14 21:41:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x57e79b…
05-14 21:41:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x411aa7…
05-14 21:40:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x9a7ac2…
05-14 20:20:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7c3ffa…
05-14 20:19:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbcfa91…
05-14 20:19:02	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xeb81dc…
05-07 18:24:40	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x37c084…
05-07 17:31:24	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xaa7601…
05-07 17:26:37	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x18f5c6…
05-06 14:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1326d1…
04-29 14:34:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe2d649…
04-26 16:23:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x09255f…
04-25 20:49:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2a9ee6…
04-25 02:58:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd42c24…
04-25 02:21:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$72	0x96e318…
04-20 16:30:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xbe200b…
04-19 16:20:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x35dd0b…
04-19 16:20:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x9d8da1…
04-18 21:00:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x25fff7…
04-18 02:39:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4341c5…
04-15 01:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7ee9be…
04-13 00:43:15	highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9d5f48…
04-12 20:11:19	highest temperature in toronto on april 13 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x75a23f…
04-03 17:36:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	84¢	$14	0xdd6158…
03-31 21:56:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe84696…