Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$159

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-27 20:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

74% 23% -$159

Politics

17% 40% -$1

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia enter bilozerske by november 30 2026	No		+20	$15	91¢	$18	+$4	10-13 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$224	340	153	+188	No	-$82	10-09 07:30
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	6	$204	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	10-07 16:30
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	6	$173	200	200	+0	open	—	10-09 14:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	5	$102	150	150	+0	open	—	10-09 14:21
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-11 18:20
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	4	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$0	10-11 18:31
will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	4	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	10-12 23:33
will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	4	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$1	10-13 12:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	6	$52	48	48	+0	No	-$3	10-07 19:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	100	100	+0	open	—	10-08 17:54
wti up or down on october 13 2026	4	$39	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	10-13 01:01
will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 44b	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	10-14 01:25
will seagate stx q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 20261008120037000 250	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-27 20:07
will corning glw q3 optical communications sales be above 20261008120040000 2pt4b	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-27 11:01
will godzilla minus zero score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 13:09
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	10-11 20:11
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	6	$36	60	60	+0	No	-$11	10-08 12:16
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$35	34	34	+0	No	$0	10-10 07:42
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	2	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	10-15 11:20
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 12 2026?	4	$32	40	40	+0	Yes	-$4	10-12 08:48
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-12 07:49
will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	6	$27	34	14	+20	Yes	-$1	10-13 12:00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-11 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	3	$23	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-12 16:44
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	2	$23	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-11 11:22
will jack doherty post again on x by october 31	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-15 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	5	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	-$1	10-12 10:20
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?	2	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	10-11 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 13?	2	$18	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-11 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:07:51	Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xc07a4b…
10-27 11:01:09	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.4B?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x018c9f…
10-24 06:50:41	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8dd027…
10-21 10:26:18	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xabf1fc…
10-17 04:10:47	Will "Wildwood" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbd8714…
10-16 18:50:50	Will "Wildwood" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0a5faf…
10-15 11:20:18	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x6c9961…
10-15 09:06:19	will jack doherty post again on x by october 31	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x3e4a01…
10-14 01:25:01	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 44b	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x35ae63…
10-13 16:21:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd93120…
10-13 15:51:12	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd2684f…
10-13 15:51:00	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x86a868…
10-13 15:42:33	will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 49b	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x37efc9…
10-13 15:25:14	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95c069…
10-13 14:51:41	will microsoft msft q1 total capital expenditures be above 20261008120059000 44b	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x86edd0…
10-13 14:37:32	will ge vernova gev q3 orders be above 20261008120047000 28b	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x677d30…
10-13 14:27:58	will seagate stx q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 20261008120037000 250	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xe17611…
10-13 14:27:58	will seagate stx q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 20261008120037000 250	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6805f5…
10-13 14:25:41	will corning glw q3 optical communications sales be above 20261008120040000 2pt4b	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd6e8d4…
10-13 13:44:05	will ewy reach 174 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x95ef84…
10-13 13:41:56	will ewy reach 174 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xac988a…
10-13 13:09:47	will godzilla minus zero score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x189c66…
10-13 12:13:20	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe833c6…
10-13 12:12:37	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x9c1e7b…
10-13 12:00:46	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc6ec21…
10-13 10:51:50	will russia enter bilozerske by november 30 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xef0d62…
10-13 08:58:22	will godzilla minus zero score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3bc769…
10-13 07:50:35	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xf1d356…
10-13 07:50:16	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xae6f95…
10-13 07:50:16	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x336cef…
10-13 05:14:50	will godzilla minus zero score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x54c4a3…
10-13 03:47:03	will wildwood score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xea20ff…
10-13 03:20:48	will wildwood score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x60f284…
10-13 01:46:56	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xadacc7…
10-13 01:41:06	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x39100a…
10-13 01:14:05	will jack doherty post again on x by october 31	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8e02ec…
10-13 01:10:53	will wildwood score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x6e57c8…
10-13 01:01:53	wti up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x28f94f…
10-13 00:52:30	wti up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8a0b17…
10-13 00:44:59	wti up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xc83010…
10-13 00:15:24	will wildwood score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0xe14f1a…
10-13 00:15:23	will wildwood score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8b3960…
10-13 00:15:17	wti up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xecd1c1…
10-12 23:43:09	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x096297…
10-12 23:43:03	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by october 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xfb601e…
10-12 23:42:00	ilhan omar arrested by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf180e5…
10-12 23:33:17	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xb012c9…
10-12 23:22:56	ilhan omar arrested by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xde4f04…
10-12 23:08:29	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x471a4d…
10-12 23:02:23	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x0a97bc…
10-12 23:01:54	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x7923b6…
10-12 23:01:32	will iran sabotage undersea internet cables by december 31	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3843e4…
10-12 16:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x3fb809…
10-12 10:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x557b64…
10-12 10:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xaffd9a…
10-12 10:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xa67ed7…
10-12 10:19:30	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x4f79f7…
10-12 10:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x26af4a…
10-12 10:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb39159…
10-12 10:10:29	Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x5fc6d4…
10-12 10:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x181957…
10-12 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xe21466…
10-12 10:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x26a320…
10-12 09:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xa60b3e…
10-12 09:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x14c980…
10-12 09:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1a07c6…
10-12 09:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x24dd46…
10-12 09:21:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 280 and 290 million views on week 2?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7c81cd…
10-12 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xa3896a…
10-12 09:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x010259…
10-12 09:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8809dc…
10-12 08:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 14?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe370a7…
10-12 08:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8ad58f…
10-12 08:48:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2c0d2b…
10-12 08:48:18	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x97b89f…
10-12 08:48:10	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x36cc3c…
10-12 08:48:01	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x69d0b0…
10-12 08:47:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xc55c7c…
10-12 08:47:30	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x2cc59b…
10-12 08:47:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xf59128…
10-12 08:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x21c755…
10-12 07:49:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x10821c…
10-12 07:24:41	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x4e6cf6…
10-12 06:24:24	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x9daae7…
10-12 06:01:45	Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x69cc65…
10-12 04:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa4d390…
10-12 03:16:03	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x246d49…
10-12 02:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x56ea1e…
10-12 02:31:21	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xcd2a7f…
10-12 01:07:23	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3ec903…
10-12 00:38:44	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x60d97b…
10-12 00:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x81f150…
10-12 00:07:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x5bd5a3…
10-11 23:38:41	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe9a83a…
10-11 23:24:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x358e4c…
10-11 23:05:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x04dd0d…
10-11 23:01:47	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x580eba…
10-11 22:33:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 31 million or more views on day 2?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa038bc…
10-11 22:30:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x43942b…
10-11 22:30:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe9f5a8…