Spiffy-Ruckus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

340

Trades

1,054

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-13 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Politics

54% 69% -$411

Other

40% 61% +$65

Crypto

5% 63% +$157

Sports

0% 100% +$15

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	11-04 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	6	$2.5K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$147	03-01 21:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.8K	892	892	+0	No	+$30	02-28 05:23
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	4	$1.4K	840	840	+0	No	+$221	03-08 04:35
usisrael strike yemen by march 3	3	$1.3K	732	732	+0	No	+$85	03-04 13:29
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$1.1K	1,854	0	+1,854	Yes	-$1,119	03-08 15:07
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	6	$886	520	520	+0	No	+$45	02-26 07:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 120 139	7	$772	416	416	+0	No	+$10	03-31 02:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	8	$692	409	409	+0	No	+$71	04-03 02:33
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 20 39	7	$651	454	454	+0	No	+$94	02-16 23:28
khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	7	$607	465	232	+233	Yes	+$71	03-27 13:39
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 80 99	2	$589	541	541	+0	No	+$489	02-27 15:41
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	8	$563	456	456	+0	No	+$179	03-24 14:35
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	7	$549	333	316	+17	No	+$55	04-28 04:21
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	8	$524	873	849	+24	No	+$292	10-30 10:48
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$493	930	930	+0	Yes	-$481	05-08 15:57
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 120 139	2	$487	364	364	+0	Yes	+$95	02-13 11:06
meta close above 650 on february 12 2026	6	$472	455	454	+0	No	-$217	02-12 21:01
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	10	$446	300	300	+0	Yes	+$116	05-01 12:50
Will the US strike Somalia next?	4	$442	244	244	+0	Yes	+$40	02-10 16:16
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	36	$417	3,801	3,064	+737	No	+$0	04-24 16:03
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	23	$398	459	438	+21	No	+$172	04-28 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	9	$368	524	524	+0	Yes	-$84	04-29 03:56
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	10	$364	247	247	+0	Yes	+$31	05-04 23:36
trump announces new drug boat strike by march 7 2026	10	$363	264	212	+52	No	+$91	03-08 02:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	12	$357	371	371	+0	Yes	+$59	03-31 06:08
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$344	264	264	+0	Yes	+$142	11-03 16:57
cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 0 19	11	$316	199	197	+2	Yes	+$35	04-03 15:24
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$308	162	161	+1	No	+$8	04-27 02:41
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	8	$300	320	309	+11	Yes	+$109	04-26 19:37
donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	3	$296	163	163	+0	No	-$4	02-19 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:17:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xea669f…
11-13 15:17:03	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x58e16e…
11-13 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7e77a5…
11-13 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3106e8…
11-13 02:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3d5037…
11-13 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb65c0b…
11-13 02:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x43c9a2…
11-13 02:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc9f5cc…
11-13 02:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc501bb…
11-13 02:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc3f470…
11-13 02:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x30daf3…
11-13 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa0b24e…
11-13 02:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67af49…
11-13 02:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb59f91…
11-13 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x00b656…
11-13 02:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd9fef7…
11-13 02:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x56abf9…
11-13 02:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf70223…
11-13 02:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf5c4d…
11-13 02:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0c3a45…
11-12 15:12:10	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x42d78d…
11-11 15:05:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in November?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x119a46…
11-10 16:58:30	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0x1ff184…
11-10 16:49:22	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x8e77b0…
11-10 16:31:57	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x736db5…
11-10 16:31:31	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3bb067…
11-10 15:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc2d83f…
11-10 13:55:24	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe32e9f…
11-10 13:13:30	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x386447…
11-10 12:57:58	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x04b6da…
11-10 12:52:37	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x334dd4…
11-10 12:37:33	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xb030cf…
11-10 11:10:33	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x69c2ad…
11-10 11:10:12	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbbba36…
11-10 11:09:54	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x743b4b…
11-10 11:09:18	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x7a6360…
11-10 11:05:39	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xdc27e0…
11-10 11:05:39	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x417ac6…
11-10 11:05:39	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x037101…
11-10 11:01:31	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0xd2d973…
11-10 11:01:31	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x2c999b…
11-10 11:01:16	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf79d2a…
11-10 06:42:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa8a4b7…
11-10 06:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe0fb49…
11-10 06:37:30	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x60a899…
11-09 22:20:39	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	29¢	$23	0x7ae95c…
11-09 21:18:54	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa25979…
11-09 20:39:58	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x986b5c…
11-09 18:59:40	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x4a9aa1…
11-09 18:31:22	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x7482aa…
11-09 18:05:12	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xa0fba9…
11-09 17:32:48	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x87ece5…
11-09 17:29:13	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcc5f6d…
11-09 17:25:04	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x7cf00a…
11-09 17:22:06	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xec89dd…
11-09 17:21:36	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x47639e…
11-09 16:12:27	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf3edf1…
11-09 16:11:54	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc4bed8…
11-09 16:07:15	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xacfd12…
11-09 15:49:03	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x66652c…
11-09 15:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf8287e…
11-09 15:45:33	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x816594…
11-09 15:43:58	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	122	74¢	$91	0x0439a2…
11-09 15:40:36	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9754b1…
11-09 10:58:09	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xb9dd3d…
11-09 10:58:07	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0x97c3f6…
11-09 10:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x21de74…
11-09 10:43:51	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd74ea0…
11-09 06:20:39	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9cf7b9…
11-09 06:16:07	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x228739…
11-09 06:16:01	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x5cb995…
11-09 06:14:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x8d8a0d…
11-09 06:13:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1e579d…
11-08 14:52:25	Çorum FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b5c71…
11-08 14:44:21	Çorum FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x084dc6…
11-07 21:21:24	Long Beach State Beach vs. Montana State Bobcats	Montana State Bobcats	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf2e4fc…
11-07 21:21:04	Caxias Do Sul vs. Brasilia Basquete	Brasilia Basquete	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe87093…
11-07 21:20:48	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf37fae…
11-07 21:20:22	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa22090…
11-07 21:19:25	Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Air Force Falcons (W)	Air Force Falcons	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x93731d…
11-07 20:04:16	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf8473c…
11-07 20:02:43	Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Air Force Falcons (W)	Air Force Falcons	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x997d77…
11-07 20:02:24	Caxias Do Sul vs. Brasilia Basquete	Brasilia Basquete	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x712f5d…
11-07 20:01:54	Long Beach State Beach vs. Montana State Bobcats	Montana State Bobcats	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbc693b…
11-07 20:01:33	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3469b9…
11-07 19:58:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6fea59…
11-07 17:14:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x243efa…
11-07 14:49:06	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6de403…
11-07 14:47:36	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xac367d…
11-07 14:46:36	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd7ae4c…
11-07 14:45:46	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x162e60…
11-07 14:45:15	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6b2171…
11-06 21:58:57	Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x46851e…
11-06 16:50:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	31¢	$20	0xb6d68e…
11-06 16:24:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11efb4…
11-06 15:32:33	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa66f0e…
11-06 14:23:25	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x4c56cb…
11-06 14:22:24	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x1b247e…
11-06 14:22:22	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x456d62…
11-06 14:20:19	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x433065…