Live-Stumbling-Reflection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$675

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 54% +$29

Sports

23% 33% +$89

Other

4% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$147	123	123	+0	Sean Strickland	+$99	05-10 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	13	$58	73	4	+68	Up	+$15	05-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	8	$55	37	37	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	7	$35	31	28	+4	Up	+$3	05-12 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	6	$33	25	22	+3	Up	+$9	05-11 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 16:26
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	05-09 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$23	1,018	3	+1,015	Up	$-19	05-11 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	+$16	05-12 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$15	17	7	+10	Down	$-5	05-13 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$12	10	7	+3	Down	+$0	05-11 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$12	17	9	+8	Up	+$0	05-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$12	9	6	+2	open	—	05-14 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$12	13	11	+2	Up	$-0	05-11 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-12 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-13 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	5	$9	12	4	+8	open	—	05-14 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	6	$8	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	5	$7	8	6	+2	Up	+$3	05-11 22:12
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$6	12	0	+12	No	$-6	05-09 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-12 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-12 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7ecb2…
05-14 11:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1997e5…
05-14 11:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x95f56a…
05-14 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7368e…
05-14 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x362742…
05-14 10:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa95cc1…
05-14 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc95344…
05-14 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1c3b77…
05-14 10:38:08	LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	GAM Esports	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x10832f…
05-14 10:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x56bdfe…
05-14 10:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81436d…
05-14 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3210b9…
05-14 10:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x285d20…
05-14 10:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x01d9bb…
05-14 10:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd99de5…
05-14 10:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x237081…
05-14 10:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2b19a…
05-14 10:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc83e3d…
05-14 09:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5fb05a…
05-14 09:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0644c8…
05-14 09:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x22a009…
05-14 09:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8b7241…
05-14 09:45:57	LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	GAM Esports	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa1782e…
05-14 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdf829c…
05-14 09:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x60ef85…
05-14 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8c7bee…
05-14 09:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x2d443d…
05-14 09:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc60dbf…
05-14 09:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x0a3e34…
05-14 09:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb6d78a…
05-14 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x12b5f2…
05-14 08:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc7ad20…
05-14 08:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf6c54a…
05-14 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1d4420…
05-14 08:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d7c28…
05-14 08:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x0811ac…
05-14 08:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xce34db…
05-14 08:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x1076d1…
05-14 08:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d0d09…
05-14 08:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb0205b…
05-14 07:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x72b58b…
05-14 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x570094…
05-14 07:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb1eee3…
05-14 07:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa5f8db…
05-13 11:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x89433a…
05-13 11:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3c31f6…
05-13 10:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xdef866…
05-13 10:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd39267…
05-13 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4a5473…
05-13 10:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3cd45d…
05-13 10:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x454cd6…
05-13 10:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xccde57…
05-13 10:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xed0ab0…
05-13 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x82cb77…
05-13 10:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2644e5…
05-13 10:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x4866c5…
05-13 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7729b6…
05-13 10:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe6fbde…
05-13 10:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72258f…
05-13 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x22d881…
05-13 08:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x03b205…
05-13 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xae3ab2…
05-13 08:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0x9124c7…
05-13 08:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe3a979…
05-13 08:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x51f954…
05-13 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3b0ba4…
05-13 08:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3e7a40…
05-12 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5061d8…
05-12 12:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9183a1…
05-12 12:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4352aa…
05-12 12:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x90257e…
05-12 12:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3e6582…
05-12 12:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x02906e…
05-12 12:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xab17e0…
05-12 12:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x36c2ef…
05-12 12:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x15e396…
05-12 12:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5dd8d9…
05-12 12:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd232e2…
05-12 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xafe6f4…
05-12 12:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x91b08e…
05-12 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9a716a…
05-12 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x1a64c7…
05-12 12:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x60b80b…
05-12 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6d8590…
05-12 12:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb31605…
05-12 12:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd03c67…
05-12 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x842836…
05-12 11:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf077f6…
05-12 11:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x0a8cca…
05-12 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8840bb…
05-12 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xb0cd51…
05-12 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x67372e…
05-12 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdf1423…
05-12 11:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x5b54f7…
05-12 11:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x566238…
05-12 11:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x5d307a…
05-12 11:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb21141…
05-12 10:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa69144…
05-12 10:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xded642…
05-12 10:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x178cd1…