Good-Natured-Guilty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$520

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

874

Trades

1,976

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-04 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 60% -$471

Other

12% 66% -$63

Sports

1% 88% +$18

Politics

1% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:00 UTC	4	$472	341	333	+8	Up	+$33	04-09 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:00 UTC	6	$448	370	360	+10	Down	-$6	04-09 20:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:55 UTC	6	$402	225	223	+2	Down	+$15	04-09 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:20 UTC	4	$397	229	227	+3	Down	+$10	04-09 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:05 UTC	2	$395	222	219	+3	Down	+$41	04-09 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:55 UTC	4	$382	211	209	+2	Down	+$4	04-09 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:50 UTC	2	$379	192	192	+0	Down	+$0	04-09 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:45 UTC	3	$363	193	192	+1	Up	+$18	04-09 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:00 UTC	12	$359	223	219	+4	Up	+$35	04-09 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:10 UTC	1	$349	474	0	+474	Down	-$349	04-09 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC	12	$342	224	192	+31	Up	+$3	04-09 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:25 UTC	6	$307	819	775	+44	Down	-$110	04-09 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:45 UTC	3	$287	161	158	+2	Up	+$29	04-09 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:20 UTC	2	$275	155	153	+2	Down	+$29	04-09 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC	1	$248	356	0	+356	Up	+$108	04-09 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:30 UTC	6	$246	131	131	+1	Down	+$6	04-09 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:05 UTC	6	$244	324	90	+234	Up	-$199	04-09 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:35 UTC	3	$241	179	133	+46	Down	+$24	04-09 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:40 UTC	2	$216	119	118	+1	Up	+$18	04-09 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$215	284	0	+284	Up	-$215	09-09 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:50 UTC	2	$201	105	104	+1	Up	+$6	04-09 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$200	222	0	+222	Up	+$22	09-09 10:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:35 UTC	4	$197	112	111	+1	Up	+$12	04-09 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:55 UTC	2	$193	253	0	+253	Up	+$59	04-09 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:45 UTC	2	$187	102	101	+1	Down	+$10	04-09 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:05 UTC	3	$168	95	94	+1	Down	+$19	04-09 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 22:10 UTC	5	$166	88	87	+1	Up	+$7	04-09 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:40 UTC	4	$160	131	127	+3	Down	-$8	04-09 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:15 UTC	8	$158	90	89	+1	Up	+$19	04-09 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:05 UTC	2	$151	100	97	+3	Up	+$46	04-09 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 21:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9add55…
10-04 21:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x381fba…
10-04 21:46:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x130703…
10-04 21:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x830c29…
10-04 21:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xda13ba…
10-04 21:36:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb76fa0…
10-04 21:35:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3d87f3…
10-04 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7c1849…
10-04 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x122973…
10-04 21:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbae29c…
10-04 21:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfe4577…
10-04 21:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7fed54…
10-04 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x97d601…
10-04 21:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdf414b…
10-04 21:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a6aa4…
10-04 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x204b59…
10-04 21:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa6168e…
10-04 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdd1b81…
10-04 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0ed600…
10-04 20:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x614dc6…
10-04 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb580a7…
10-04 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x555082…
10-04 20:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x89097b…
10-04 20:47:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xedeaf4…
10-04 20:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x37dcc6…
10-04 20:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6d83a4…
09-25 21:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xe4ba6d…
09-25 21:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcbafb6…
09-25 21:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb02849…
09-25 21:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x85a34f…
09-25 20:51:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbe6028…
09-25 20:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe7ae6e…
09-25 20:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0756ab…
09-25 20:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x0a3844…
09-25 20:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x526015…
09-25 20:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x59a654…
09-25 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xecb753…
09-25 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x218171…
09-25 20:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4f4e9d…
09-11 09:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x82fe46…
09-11 08:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc5575d…
09-10 21:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x80a06d…
09-10 18:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xa1cfe6…
09-10 18:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7bdbfa…
09-09 23:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xec031a…
09-09 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0c1069…
09-09 21:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeedf88…
09-09 21:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x56eded…
09-09 21:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x542c8f…
09-09 20:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1b7728…
09-09 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x3829d3…
09-09 16:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4bdcc3…
09-09 11:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1accd2…
09-09 11:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea5d4d…
09-09 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x2a3948…
09-09 11:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x498760…
09-09 11:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xde9a63…
09-09 11:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x70a045…
09-09 11:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5218e2…
09-09 11:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb5f593…
09-09 11:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f3953…
09-09 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0x1cba28…
09-09 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x121c76…
09-09 10:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5a6ba3…
09-09 10:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x14b91f…
09-08 22:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x528336…
09-08 22:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x456d04…
09-08 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xad374a…
09-08 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x74d13b…
09-08 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x073b79…
09-08 22:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd0269e…
09-08 22:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9dca40…
09-08 22:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x39f71d…
09-08 22:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd95d9f…
09-08 22:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcf97fb…
09-08 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe15504…
09-08 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2f0a91…
09-08 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfe64bf…
09-08 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9517fe…
09-08 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6ac55b…
09-08 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2fcc12…
09-08 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6518d0…
09-08 22:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x104493…
09-08 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf1f073…
09-08 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdee7ac…
09-08 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5060c8…
09-08 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf50266…
09-08 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x88400d…
09-08 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x620c36…
09-08 21:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd84e40…
09-08 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x78e16a…
09-08 21:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbbe3c7…
09-08 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x229975…
09-08 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2c830f…
09-08 21:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd56642…
09-08 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf3b484…
09-08 21:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6c0218…
09-08 21:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9e9187…
09-08 21:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x72255d…
09-08 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeefdff…