Arctic-Yarn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-15 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$9

Other

1% 89% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on january 10	1	$189	189	+189	Yes	+$0	01-09 11:35
ethereum above 1600 on march 8	1	$187	188	+188	Yes	+$0	03-07 13:07
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$187	187	+187	No	+$0	01-12 07:31
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 3	1	$186	187	+187	No	+$0	02-01 22:57
bitcoin above 102k on january 23	1	$186	186	+186	No	+$0	01-21 10:20
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	02-11 07:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	02-28 12:52
bitcoin above 88k on february 8	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	02-06 22:46
ethereum above 2700 on february 5	1	$185	185	+185	No	+$0	02-04 22:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 16	1	$184	184	+184	No	+$0	02-14 22:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	1	$183	184	+184	No	+$0	05-16 16:53
ethereum above 2500 on february 14	1	$183	184	+184	No	+$0	02-12 23:49
bitcoin above 82k on january 17	1	$183	183	+183	Yes	+$0	01-15 00:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 10	1	$183	183	+183	No	+$0	02-08 22:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 8	1	$181	181	+181	No	+$0	01-06 14:29
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 28	1	$181	181	+181	No	+$0	01-27 12:52
bitcoin above 80k on january 5	1	$181	181	+181	Yes	+$0	01-03 22:22
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	1	$180	181	+181	No	+$1	02-23 06:11
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	03-12 11:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	04-07 07:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 20	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	01-18 11:41
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 3	1	$180	180	+180	No	+$0	04-02 04:14
will the price of ethereum be less than 1400 on march 3	1	$179	180	+180	No	+$0	03-02 12:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 30	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	01-29 12:42
will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 26	1	$179	179	+179	No	+$0	01-24 11:29
bitcoin above 76k on february 22	1	$178	179	+179	No	+$0	02-21 05:12
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	1	$178	178	+178	No	+$0	02-19 07:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 30	1	$175	176	+176	No	+$0	03-29 01:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	1	$175	176	+176	No	+$0	01-31 09:47
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 27	1	$174	174	+174	No	+$0	03-26 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 11:14:21	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on August 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4029db…
08-05 17:00:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xba0d47…
08-03 22:05:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xee3fb6…
07-22 04:29:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36bc55…
06-24 01:15:37	bitcoin above 70k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x13df9f…
06-17 21:48:01	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd3948f…
06-12 14:33:21	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x02dbff…
06-12 14:31:39	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaff39a…
06-11 04:40:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x4b8043…
06-09 07:28:48	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x415823…
05-23 17:08:47	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa5de35…
05-23 17:07:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd8ee00…
05-16 16:53:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x307241…
04-27 19:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x01bdc5…
04-19 10:57:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x2410e7…
04-17 16:23:58	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb67a78…
04-17 16:22:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbad6dc…
04-17 10:24:52	ethereum above 2700 on april 18	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xde1e76…
04-15 11:02:08	ethereum above 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xf5caca…
04-12 10:01:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 13	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x78e984…
04-11 19:34:01	Will Tesla reach $555 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26d448…
04-11 19:32:35	Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd576da…
04-11 19:31:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x58bf03…
04-11 19:29:31	Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb6b416…
04-11 19:28:01	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2117bb…
04-07 07:15:57	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x37bcf3…
04-02 04:14:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 3	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x9895b9…
03-31 02:08:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 1	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x383bff…
03-29 01:34:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 30	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0xfe5a8d…
03-26 15:11:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 27	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xed3ff7…
03-24 13:19:47	ethereum above 2600 on march 25	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xd6780b…
03-22 17:44:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x9692ad…
03-20 12:12:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x463927…
03-18 10:16:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x656008…
03-16 09:27:15	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe41592…
03-16 09:17:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xb1d8c9…
03-16 09:15:51	will elon musks net worth be between 680b and 690b on march 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5d039a…
03-12 11:52:51	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xdbcced…
03-07 13:07:15	ethereum above 1600 on march 8	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xddf48b…
03-02 12:53:07	will the price of ethereum be less than 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xeaada4…
02-28 12:52:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x6f2100…
02-23 06:11:44	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 25	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x3deba0…
02-21 05:12:12	bitcoin above 76k on february 22	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0xdea3e3…
02-19 07:15:16	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x4b9f40…
02-14 22:41:51	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 16	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xb1edca…
02-12 23:49:17	ethereum above 2500 on february 14	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xca8e86…
02-11 07:18:23	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x1087a6…
02-08 22:58:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 10	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xbabdc0…
02-06 22:46:07	bitcoin above 88k on february 8	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xe20031…
02-04 22:05:17	ethereum above 2700 on february 5	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xa53ca7…
02-01 22:57:40	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 3	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0xc0d865…
01-31 09:47:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x3489ae…
01-29 12:42:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 30	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xd1052c…
01-27 12:52:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 28	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x1ca356…
01-24 11:29:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 26	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x170f48…
01-23 01:09:26	will hyperliquid hit 34 in january	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd0a68a…
01-23 00:59:06	will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd13216…
01-21 10:20:46	bitcoin above 102k on january 23	No	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xe64c5a…
01-18 11:41:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 20	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x388dcb…
01-15 00:18:58	bitcoin above 82k on january 17	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x20fa8f…
01-12 07:31:02	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x2501f2…
01-09 11:35:54	bitcoin above 80k on january 10	Yes	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x5eff9d…
01-06 14:29:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 8	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x03d2f1…
01-03 22:22:45	bitcoin above 80k on january 5	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x0ab2ff…