Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$920

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$776

Open exposure

$119

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-12 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

91% 50% +$1,220

Other

9% 0% -$300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,731	$50	3¢	$72	+$22	09-17 10:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+2,138	$50	1¢	$25	-$25	10-12 08:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+6,250	$50	0¢	$22	-$28	09-17 10:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$7.4K	4,810	4,810	+0	Yes	-$56	09-15 10:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	3,136	0	+3,136	Yes	+$1,160	02-07 14:47
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$1.5K	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	+$540	04-08 06:58
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$101	04-12 19:20
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$954	0	1,004	-1,004	Yes	-$50	09-16 10:14
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$500	2,474	0	+2,474	No	-$500	09-15 10:20
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$250	6,475	0	+6,475	No	-$250	09-15 10:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$145	500	0	+500	Yes	+$355	04-06 23:35
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$130	10,846	0	+10,846	No	-$130	09-15 10:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$100	11,111	0	+11,111	No	-$100	09-16 10:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$100	909	0	+909	No	-$100	09-15 10:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	1	$50	697	0	+697	Yes	-$50	09-15 10:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	1	$50	2,138	0	+2,138	open	—	10-12 08:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$50	2,731	0	+2,731	open	—	09-17 10:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$50	6,250	0	+6,250	open	—	09-17 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 08:48:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,138	2¢	$50	0x5cd29d…
09-17 10:11:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,731	2¢	$50	0x872be4…
09-17 10:11:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,250	1¢	$50	0xd9f738…
09-16 10:20:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,444	1¢	$40	0xbf73d2…
09-16 10:14:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,004	95¢	$954	0xe611e4…
09-15 10:27:24	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10,846	1¢	$130	0x8e08dc…
09-15 10:21:45	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,475	4¢	$250	0xde2f29…
09-15 10:20:43	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,474	20¢	$500	0x353711…
09-15 10:16:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4,810	76¢	$3,655	0x712605…
09-15 10:08:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4,810	77¢	$3,711	0x1b88db…
09-15 10:04:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	697	7¢	$50	0x8951be…
09-15 10:01:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,667	1¢	$60	0xd5d0a3…
09-15 10:01:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x849239…
04-12 19:20:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	800	100¢	$797	0x299cf2…
04-12 15:54:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	800	87¢	$696	0x4d4100…
04-08 06:58:57	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,042	100¢	$1,040	0x8d9107…
04-06 23:35:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x59f47d…
04-06 23:32:55	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x8939f8…
02-07 14:47:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,136	63¢	$1,976	0x0a0982…