Smooth-Description — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-28 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$32

Crypto

38% 83% +$62

Politics

9% 67% +$7

Sports

2% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	18	$459	345	345	+0	open	—	05-22 01:35
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	10	$328	268	268	+0	open	—	05-01 04:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$169	94	94	+0	open	—	04-30 21:00
will the dhs shutdown last 70 days or more 252	9	$150	97	97	+0	open	—	04-19 06:19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 8?	4	$147	88	88	+0	Yes	+$29	05-08 20:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	5	$127	72	72	+0	open	—	05-03 15:46
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	9	$121	88	86	+2	open	—	04-24 16:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	2	$116	67	67	+0	open	—	05-18 19:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	7	$116	74	73	+1	open	—	04-25 01:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	6	$108	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 15:50
Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	4	$107	64	64	+0	open	—	04-19 06:19
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	05-01 10:19
bitcoin above 72k on april 11	4	$104	55	54	+0	open	—	04-11 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	6	$104	47	69	-22	No	+$11	05-11 14:47
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$101	59	59	+0	open	—	04-29 19:20
msft up or down on april 17 2026	5	$101	56	55	+0	open	—	04-17 20:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$95	51	51	+0	open	—	04-17 19:01
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$89	84	84	+0	open	—	04-12 22:50
bitcoin above 74k on april 21	2	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	04-21 11:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	4	$77	43	43	+0	open	—	05-26 14:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$76	43	43	+0	No	+$6	05-08 04:31
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?	4	$71	54	54	+0	open	—	04-19 06:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$70	41	41	+0	open	—	04-25 15:57
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 65 89	4	$69	52	51	+1	open	—	04-12 17:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	5	$61	36	36	+0	No	+$11	05-07 14:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	6	$59	34	34	+0	No	+$8	05-06 16:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	2	$56	32	32	+0	No	+$7	05-08 15:58
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of April 27 2026?	4	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 22:12
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$55	33	33	+0	open	—	05-18 06:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	4	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	05-10 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 19:53:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xbfb8f6…
05-28 13:52:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xabf619…
05-27 19:33:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$3	0xec879c…
05-27 19:32:54	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xb79717…
05-27 18:02:08	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9ba526…
05-27 18:01:38	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x577c34…
05-27 14:36:18	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x145e34…
05-26 21:57:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x7987bc…
05-26 21:57:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x34f845…
05-26 19:00:56	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa36f48…
05-26 18:28:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe965bc…
05-26 17:28:53	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfa0f3f…
05-26 16:37:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x00914c…
05-26 15:33:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2999f6…
05-26 14:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xb6c81f…
05-26 03:43:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x9a41a6…
05-26 03:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0x0e81a4…
05-26 03:16:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xdb5531…
05-26 01:32:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x58c1ee…
05-25 17:32:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x724011…
05-25 16:59:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfd346e…
05-25 12:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xacbb93…
05-25 12:41:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x001e99…
05-25 11:59:48	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0aa0eb…
05-25 09:23:32	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x685492…
05-25 09:18:43	NHL Playoffs: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe6dba9…
05-25 08:45:21	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x592fb6…
05-25 08:40:15	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb15929…
05-25 08:23:35	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x77f3ea…
05-24 23:47:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc7d598…
05-24 23:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd33c56…
05-24 22:29:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x518f53…
05-24 22:06:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb8ae14…
05-24 19:19:53	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa105ec…
05-24 13:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa70a3c…
05-24 03:39:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x387555…
05-24 03:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa603a5…
05-23 19:12:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb6b636…
05-23 15:34:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x29ad97…
05-22 18:25:27	Will Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf7270c…
05-22 14:51:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3c631d…
05-22 12:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfc1452…
05-22 01:37:24	Spread: Knicks (-11.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xfc5ae1…
05-22 01:35:51	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x06fa95…
05-21 21:20:59	Spread: Knicks (-11.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x99f707…
05-21 18:02:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xbd7073…
05-20 18:50:42	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf67304…
05-18 22:36:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xcb1ca9…
05-18 22:14:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1ec12b…
05-18 21:56:37	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0x7d72a4…
05-18 19:56:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2b2cc0…
05-18 19:47:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xdf2bd6…
05-18 19:39:30	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0e8917…
05-18 19:29:30	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd9988e…
05-18 19:25:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0x11228a…
05-18 19:16:55	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd5aa68…
05-18 14:36:29	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x82a0c4…
05-18 14:33:36	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	110	56¢	$62	0xdb85ff…
05-18 06:10:37	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	110	81¢	$89	0x7b514e…
05-18 06:03:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x11ebdf…
05-18 06:03:46	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0x18d1d6…
05-18 06:03:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x54a437…
05-17 20:22:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x5313b3…
05-17 18:38:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xff2956…
05-17 18:01:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	66	78¢	$51	0x6a89c2…
05-17 17:57:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x774625…
05-17 17:51:58	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	34	78¢	$26	0x8e1a96…
05-17 17:36:41	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x46ea27…
05-17 16:07:46	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x69054d…
05-17 16:04:05	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x52d30d…
05-17 16:02:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8fea60…
05-17 16:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd20d04…
05-17 15:55:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xa296b6…
05-17 10:45:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9dc582…
05-17 10:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xe948a0…
05-17 10:38:18	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x689f15…
05-16 23:38:54	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	51	50¢	$26	0xd1e4cb…
05-16 08:36:22	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8a9ce2…
05-16 03:55:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x47f61c…
05-16 03:54:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x13da19…
05-16 03:45:41	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xd98b50…
05-16 01:47:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x2ad922…
05-15 22:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf1f34e…
05-15 11:59:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $210?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe1615e…
05-15 10:05:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $210?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7c1d9f…
05-14 17:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5f645a…
05-14 17:17:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x8cf47c…
05-14 17:16:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $210?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0e89e6…
05-14 15:06:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe1c2a8…
05-13 23:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd2847d…
05-13 23:21:01	Chud the Builder charged by May 20?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x12030d…
05-13 20:36:44	Chud the Builder charged by May 20?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa63d0…
05-13 20:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x93ef1c…
05-13 20:09:31	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x23b959…
05-13 20:04:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x00554e…
05-13 15:45:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf13d6c…
05-13 15:19:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x4f445d…
05-12 15:56:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xb51884…
05-12 15:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6bfbc7…
05-12 06:20:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $210?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x145c64…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	69	$349.4K	6,208	05-31 23:49
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	56	$182.5K	16,240	06-01 01:14
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	54	$7.98K	466	06-01 02:07
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	50	$11.8M	17,267	06-01 04:52
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	46	$133.1K	1,434	05-31 16:04
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	44	$115.4K	3,538	05-26 15:55
(anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b	44	$1.65K	319	06-01 01:44
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	43	$73.0K	652	06-01 05:53