Warmhearted-Oversight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

161

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-18 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$150	149	75	+74	Down	$-1	05-11 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$147	146	72	+74	Up	$-4	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	6	$147	149	72	+77	Up	$-4	05-11 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$147	146	72	+74	Down	$-4	05-11 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$141	140	66	+74	Up	$-10	05-13 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$128	119	53	+66	Up	$-23	05-12 06:15
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$123	107	48	+59	Down	$-28	05-12 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$113	152	38	+114	Down	+$1	05-11 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$113	166	47	+119	Down	+$10	05-12 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$113	150	43	+107	Up	+$6	05-13 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$113	149	38	+111	Down	+$0	05-12 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$113	149	38	+111	Down	+$0	05-12 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$112	76	75	+1	Down	+$37	05-12 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$112	76	75	+1	Down	+$37	05-11 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$111	75	74	+1	Up	+$36	05-10 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	3	$109	98	53	+45	Down	$-3	05-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$108	72	71	+1	Down	+$33	05-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$107	70	70	+1	Up	+$32	05-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$106	69	68	+1	Down	+$30	05-11 07:30
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$106	69	68	+1	Up	+$30	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	5	$104	68	67	+1	Down	+$29	05-12 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	7	$101	64	63	+1	Down	+$26	05-11 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$100	63	63	+1	Up	+$25	05-12 05:50
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$100	63	62	+1	Up	+$25	05-12 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$99	62	61	+1	Up	+$23	05-12 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$98	131	43	+88	Up	$-13	05-10 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$96	112	40	+72	Down	$-16	05-10 13:55
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$95	58	58	+1	Up	+$20	05-11 11:10
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$94	58	57	+1	Up	+$19	05-12 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$93	56	55	+1	Up	+$18	05-10 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x07fa30…
05-18 12:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x258307…
05-18 12:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x91adf7…
05-18 11:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x208b87…
05-18 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x98a5d7…
05-18 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01e354…
05-18 11:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x901488…
05-18 11:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x29a003…
05-18 11:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x566b69…
05-15 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	311	9¢	$28	0x30419b…
05-15 03:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xb9e1a7…
05-15 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x201c0e…
05-15 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x0f22e2…
05-15 03:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0x1f8163…
05-15 03:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x53c93c…
05-15 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xe4a002…
05-15 03:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x8ef373…
05-15 03:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf5ffcc…
05-15 03:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x1cbdd0…
05-15 03:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xa39e20…
05-15 02:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x306300…
05-15 01:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0x5d59a0…
05-15 01:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xf1f21f…
05-15 00:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x1316ec…
05-15 00:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x95990b…
05-14 23:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe01cbe…
05-14 23:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xa4bf8e…
05-14 15:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0xca4184…
05-14 15:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	156	18¢	$28	0x2eb196…
05-14 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x7accc3…
05-14 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xc93151…
05-14 11:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xbb56f4…
05-14 09:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0xe15b00…
05-14 09:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0xe13638…
05-14 09:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0x3ba6de…
05-14 08:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xbfa83e…
05-14 05:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0xba3e4a…
05-14 05:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x90cc71…
05-14 05:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	90	31¢	$28	0x130ad5…
05-14 05:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x65f06c…
05-14 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0xe59163…
05-14 04:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	33¢	$28	0x87be17…
05-14 04:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0xb70deb…
05-14 04:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xfa77dc…
05-14 04:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x592974…
05-14 04:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x309efe…
05-14 04:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0xbb43b0…
05-14 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xc3f768…
05-14 02:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x510393…
05-14 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x2b7c6d…
05-14 02:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xa7b7ea…
05-14 02:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xa5a6a4…
05-14 02:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03ea87…
05-14 02:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	67¢	$10	0x6381bf…
05-14 02:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0xceb211…
05-14 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd5a93c…
05-14 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x57d086…
05-14 01:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x16f919…
05-14 01:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x6f4e6a…
05-14 00:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x344fe3…
05-14 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x8fc455…
05-13 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x585c7f…
05-13 22:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x285074…
05-13 16:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x77f5b8…
05-13 16:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x3ccc84…
05-13 13:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0xcd92ee…
05-13 07:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xf40cb6…
05-13 07:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xe32540…
05-13 07:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2cf530…
05-13 07:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x0f7df1…
05-13 07:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x08c0a0…
05-13 07:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0xda8696…
05-13 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x7d5056…
05-13 06:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x3b4a00…
05-13 05:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xb1d935…
05-13 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0x42892c…
05-13 05:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x0f9b4b…
05-13 05:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$13	0xf71c95…
05-13 05:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdff54a…
05-13 05:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x5f3b59…
05-13 04:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc6208e…
05-13 04:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x5936e7…
05-13 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	11¢	$13	0x878988…
05-13 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x360472…
05-13 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	176	10¢	$18	0x212118…
05-13 01:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x3310d5…
05-13 01:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0xb423a3…
05-13 01:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xf61d28…
05-13 01:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x93024a…
05-13 01:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	40¢	$24	0xe45c1f…
05-13 01:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0x5133e2…
05-13 01:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	52¢	$28	0xf91aa0…
05-13 01:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x09e442…
05-13 01:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0x06875c…
05-13 01:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	84	45¢	$38	0xf411c8…
05-13 00:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	165	23¢	$38	0x30a6b6…
05-12 23:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x4fdda3…
05-12 23:29:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf53924…
05-12 23:29:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe778d1…
05-12 23:29:49	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ade38…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Double-Deal 0x6620…6c63	181	$6.61K	443	05-18 12:12
Unaware-Event 0x0ce6…6bb5	179	$12.2K	571	05-18 11:54
Glistening-Modernity 0x2cc7…158e	177	$13.0K	577	05-18 12:12
Visible-Pupa 0x7ea7…cea6	177	$11.2K	570	05-18 11:54
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	174	$9.44K	1,284	05-18 12:23
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	172	$24.2K	1,980	05-18 12:23
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	168	$20.7K	1,233	05-18 12:20
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	166	$258.8K	8,563	05-18 12:26