Agonizing-Insulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.62K

Unrealized P&L

-$362

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

566

Trades

1,561

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$35

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-14 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 47% -$1,948

Other

28% 45% -$308

Tech

2% 45% -$216

Politics

1% 0% -$143

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+343	$157	4¢	$12	-$144	10-15 16:17
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+497	$129	2¢	$10	-$119	09-20 02:29
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+284	$51	2¢	$7	-$44	10-15 16:16
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+141	$60	4¢	$5	-$55	08-30 00:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	13	$1.9K	1,369	1,324	+45	No	+$499	04-29 05:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	13	$1.8K	1,667	1,667	+0	No	+$305	04-01 01:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	19	$1.4K	2,466	400	+2,066	No	-$1,060	10-27 13:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$1.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	-$488	09-12 16:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	4	$1.1K	790	790	+0	No	+$420	06-01 09:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 19?	10	$999	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$899	08-19 15:22
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	14	$984	1,452	685	+767	No	+$410	06-30 16:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	7	$975	2,261	0	+2,261	No	-$975	10-26 08:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7?	11	$960	820	519	+301	No	+$56	05-07 15:55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	15	$825	2,820	0	+2,820	Yes	-$825	05-28 02:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	12	$815	567	567	+0	Yes	+$197	05-04 15:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	5	$794	588	588	+0	No	+$147	07-29 04:06
will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	16	$756	2,811	117	+2,694	Yes	-$625	07-14 23:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	11	$716	1,152	452	+700	Yes	-$21	04-17 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?	11	$657	1,100	220	+880	No	-$485	10-01 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	6	$579	365	365	+0	Yes	+$149	10-13 16:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	11	$549	1,326	498	+828	Yes	-$36	04-14 15:52
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	8	$545	798	563	+235	No	+$121	08-28 02:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	9	$524	703	684	+19	No	+$94	04-29 02:28
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	7	$502	1,587	0	+1,587	Yes	-$502	05-28 04:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 11?	11	$452	458	458	+1	Yes	+$319	08-11 15:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$434	263	260	+3	No	+$37	04-07 23:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$434	1,241	370	+871	Yes	-$120	03-30 18:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	4	$430	420	420	+0	Yes	-$6	10-02 12:42
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	5	$410	595	0	+595	Yes	-$410	06-27 01:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$400	500	0	+500	Yes	+$100	09-12 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	3	$368	208	208	+0	No	+$48	06-01 09:37
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	6	$344	500	353	+147	Yes	+$66	08-19 13:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	5	$340	848	125	+723	Yes	-$180	04-16 01:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 28?	5	$338	216	216	+0	Yes	+$71	09-28 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 12:52:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 14?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xdc6464…
11-14 12:43:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 14?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe04456…
11-13 23:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 14?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x27f259…
11-13 16:09:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x813f55…
11-13 06:31:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 13?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x78bbf3…
11-13 03:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0676d8…
11-12 22:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c5c8d…
11-12 15:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x4eacec…
11-11 23:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x96a133…
11-11 20:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe381fc…
11-10 03:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a8228…
11-09 16:13:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2efa09…
11-08 23:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x936c2d…
11-07 16:30:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8ac146…
11-07 16:13:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xd05b6b…
11-07 04:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf00f71…
11-06 16:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x9ecce1…
11-06 00:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb375d3…
11-05 23:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x254e3c…
11-05 14:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x4e4c95…
11-04 18:21:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x54f86e…
11-04 04:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xacaa7e…
11-04 03:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x2f0efe…
11-02 17:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0xde6872…
11-01 17:41:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xf5a925…
10-30 14:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$19	0x0cfd6c…
10-30 14:59:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xea0f58…
10-30 13:21:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xb2065d…
10-30 01:51:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xc42a9a…
10-29 23:11:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x5ce0ba…
10-29 14:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x507806…
10-29 14:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x2cd2ad…
10-29 03:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0x86e3be…
10-29 02:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x424354…
10-28 22:40:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8493bd…
10-28 15:00:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xa36958…
10-27 23:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x6c4a1c…
10-27 14:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x506536…
10-27 14:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x42e38e…
10-27 13:02:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x71ca70…
10-27 13:02:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x6279b0…
10-27 13:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xad58b5…
10-27 10:45:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xac749d…
10-27 10:44:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xbafaea…
10-27 10:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xf1d72d…
10-27 10:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x50fe47…
10-27 10:01:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9894fe…
10-27 10:00:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xadc08a…
10-27 10:00:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xafec5b…
10-27 10:00:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc2c30e…
10-27 09:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	93	64¢	$59	0x73fa70…
10-27 05:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xda5efc…
10-27 03:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	281	57¢	$161	0x8bb2f0…
10-27 03:05:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	400	44¢	$175	0x77fd8c…
10-27 03:03:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	213	53¢	$113	0x210f68…
10-27 03:03:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	103	53¢	$55	0x455851…
10-27 03:02:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	400	48¢	$192	0xf72530…
10-27 02:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0d07f8…
10-26 17:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd01dc3…
10-26 15:19:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x712ec3…
10-26 08:41:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0xbdbf46…
10-26 05:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x91eeac…
10-26 05:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x53a9e1…
10-26 04:13:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	412	50¢	$206	0xcdd1e7…
10-26 02:02:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x145f65…
10-26 02:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	331	60¢	$200	0x714f4f…
10-26 01:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x81c876…
10-25 22:40:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x16573d…
10-25 13:03:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd10d47…
10-25 13:02:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x900046…
10-25 13:02:32	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 25?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x977b4f…
10-24 15:42:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x944732…
10-24 15:41:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	SELL	140	80¢	$112	0xac4c81…
10-24 15:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x08fd82…
10-24 15:29:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x4f9e0f…
10-24 13:23:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x50e4d7…
10-24 13:22:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x53b712…
10-24 13:21:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	BUY	187	3¢	$7	0x413eb0…
10-24 13:21:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 24?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd447d5…
10-24 01:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x81a22e…
10-23 15:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xa5c297…
10-23 15:02:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0xf8724a…
10-22 16:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xadf70f…
10-22 01:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x46eeab…
10-20 23:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xa3cb29…
10-19 23:30:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6cb571…
10-19 15:29:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xd58a98…
10-19 00:10:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x867f78…
10-15 16:17:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x9a9602…
10-15 16:16:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x45fd39…
10-15 16:15:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x42a116…
10-14 21:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x29a985…
10-13 16:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0xdf97b3…
10-13 15:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xd82854…
10-13 08:34:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb5d38c…
10-13 04:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x98dd1d…
10-13 03:35:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xef6466…
10-13 02:51:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0d5bb6…
10-12 22:00:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0xcfe17d…
10-12 13:20:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x56ac3b…