Unfortunate-Arch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$116

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

1,173

Trades

2,846

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:45 UTC	4	$668	658	526	+132	Up	+$65	01-20 16:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 17:00 UTC	4	$640	457	450	+7	Up	+$148	01-20 17:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:15 UTC	7	$360	720	0	+720	Up	-$360	01-21 18:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 12:30 UTC	2	$309	209	206	+3	Down	+$86	01-12 12:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:15 UTC	41	$296	204	203	+1	Down	+$91	01-28 10:22
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	7	$286	190	190	+0	Down	+$90	06-03 10:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 14:00 UTC	4	$274	231	228	+3	Down	-$6	01-16 14:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:15 UTC	2	$273	178	175	+3	Up	+$76	01-19 09:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$270	484	0	+484	Down	+$214	10-26 15:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 12:00 UTC	2	$269	182	179	+3	Up	+$74	01-14 12:07
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$255	170	170	+0	Down	+$82	10-30 15:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	5	$229	172	170	+2	Up	+$31	01-30 19:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 18:15 UTC	7	$215	138	136	+2	Up	+$57	01-17 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	17	$202	135	135	+0	Down	+$67	10-30 11:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:45 UTC	6	$201	204	201	+3	Up	+$2	01-16 13:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:00 UTC	4	$197	166	164	+3	Up	+$19	01-15 15:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 14:45 UTC	6	$197	143	141	+2	Down	+$59	01-16 15:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:15 UTC	2	$192	137	135	+2	Up	+$54	01-15 17:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:30 UTC	2	$186	156	154	+2	Down	+$38	01-16 13:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 19:30 UTC	4	$178	116	114	+2	Up	+$50	01-16 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	10	$177	121	121	+0	Up	+$45	06-02 09:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 08:45 UTC	13	$174	164	161	+3	Up	+$6	01-15 08:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:45 UTC	6	$173	113	111	+2	Up	+$48	01-12 17:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:15 UTC	2	$164	109	107	+2	Up	+$46	01-20 15:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 16:00 UTC	2	$162	114	114	+0	Down	+$43	01-24 16:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 18:15 UTC	2	$161	106	104	+2	Up	+$43	01-10 18:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 14:45 UTC	4	$160	105	103	+2	Up	+$45	01-10 14:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:00 UTC	6	$160	320	0	+320	Up	-$160	01-21 18:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 16:45 UTC	2	$158	112	110	+2	Up	+$41	01-24 16:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:00 UTC	3	$156	104	102	+2	Up	+$48	01-12 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	99	58¢	$57	0xc3b749…
10-31 18:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x45ef4c…
10-31 18:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x9d8a83…
10-31 18:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb8b06e…
10-31 18:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4351a8…
10-31 18:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbb5ce4…
10-31 18:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9b2618…
10-31 18:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x15a9bc…
10-31 18:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x13e04b…
10-31 18:13:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x020aa4…
10-31 18:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8ce284…
10-31 18:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x24e3b4…
10-31 18:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xac2e56…
10-31 18:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd610fc…
10-31 18:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0xf4e639…
10-31 18:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x176f5d…
10-31 17:56:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xef3478…
10-31 17:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xea0136…
10-31 17:55:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xfb78f7…
10-31 17:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7ac441…
10-31 17:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x486e6b…
10-31 13:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x4f0452…
10-31 13:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x4f04e3…
10-31 13:11:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1a2c6…
10-31 13:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x206c0a…
10-31 12:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x1c7b0f…
10-31 12:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x102800…
10-31 12:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xdb646e…
10-31 12:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x806c02…
10-31 12:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x5fccd1…
10-31 12:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xacfe4b…
10-31 12:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xcd91ff…
10-31 12:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xe42862…
10-31 12:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa78171…
10-31 12:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x09a893…
10-31 12:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x321b33…
10-31 12:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb2be0c…
10-31 11:53:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa3beb4…
10-31 11:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x40183d…
10-31 11:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xe1094b…
10-31 11:27:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2e32dc…
10-31 11:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5339d8…
10-31 11:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x3e31cf…
10-31 11:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x6793eb…
10-31 11:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x8b8020…
10-31 11:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x45011f…
10-31 10:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x9efda7…
10-31 10:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x2b63f1…
10-31 10:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1a6da6…
10-31 09:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xf61ccf…
10-31 09:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xbb96f0…
10-31 09:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9a1d0b…
10-31 09:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2f334f…
10-31 09:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0de42c…
10-31 09:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x4e474b…
10-31 09:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xece7d3…
10-31 09:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6fe646…
10-31 09:08:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x901dfb…
10-31 09:04:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x198685…
10-31 08:57:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x04e689…
10-31 08:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9fd0da…
10-31 08:45:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc56f79…
10-31 08:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xae3412…
10-31 08:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x946f5e…
10-31 08:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xe688b8…
10-31 07:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xb0ce03…
10-31 07:42:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x577f4a…
10-30 15:26:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xbe0cb1…
10-30 15:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1615f6…
10-30 15:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	160	51¢	$82	0x7ec0fc…
10-30 15:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x3d8eba…
10-30 15:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xacfcf6…
10-30 14:56:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x3f6079…
10-30 13:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xfc4cac…
10-30 11:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x561765…
10-30 11:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5b1be2…
10-30 11:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x68eee3…
10-30 11:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x788967…
10-30 11:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x212585…
10-30 11:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0ecbd5…
10-30 11:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa17c65…
10-30 11:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1c161d…
10-30 11:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x089dbc…
10-30 11:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x67bdd6…
10-30 11:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22caac…
10-30 11:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d5fb4…
10-30 11:12:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed012f…
10-30 11:12:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb6d7d…
10-30 11:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd66e53…
10-30 11:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf1bbdf…
10-30 11:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x4d69b7…
10-30 11:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xf42b55…
10-30 10:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	85	52¢	$44	0x31a195…
10-30 10:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x24a2d0…
10-30 10:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf16d0b…
10-30 10:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x45456c…
10-30 10:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xd3274b…
10-30 10:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x6cb187…
10-30 10:27:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xd8b6af…
10-30 10:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1daba6…