Astonishing-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

258

Trades

2,044

lifetime

Volume

$70.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-26 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

97% 44% +$4,088

Crypto

2% 37% -$103

Politics

0% 25% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+173	$11	3¢	$5	-$6	10-26 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?	60	$3.4K	3,790	3,790	+0	Yes	+$175	06-01 04:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	18	$2.1K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$26	08-04 13:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	11	$2.0K	1,262	1,262	+0	No	+$36	06-03 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	29	$2.0K	1,571	1,571	+0	No	-$388	05-26 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	28	$1.9K	2,377	2,377	+0	No	+$970	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	18	$1.9K	1,102	1,102	+0	Yes	+$328	08-08 15:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	18	$1.8K	1,376	1,376	+0	No	+$435	06-15 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	33	$1.5K	1,335	1,335	+0	No	+$517	05-29 13:37
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	5	$1.4K	724	724	-0	Yes	+$72	08-14 13:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	46	$1.3K	2,728	2,728	+0	No	-$255	06-05 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	28	$1.3K	1,211	1,211	+0	Yes	+$805	05-22 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	9	$1.2K	703	703	+0	No	+$144	06-12 14:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	14	$1.1K	890	890	+0	Yes	+$49	06-03 13:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	29	$1.1K	2,155	2,155	+0	Yes	-$211	08-12 14:42
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	+$594	08-03 15:28
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	11	$1.1K	852	852	+0	No	+$300	07-22 02:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$1.0K	658	658	+0	Yes	+$149	06-12 14:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	7	$1.0K	750	750	+0	No	-$42	08-10 06:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	20	$1.0K	2,082	576	+1,506	Yes	-$271	07-06 15:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	14	$957	1,734	751	+983	Yes	-$149	08-17 15:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	12	$953	903	903	+0	No	+$659	07-15 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	13	$912	819	819	+0	Yes	-$10	07-27 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	30	$906	1,092	1,092	+0	Yes	-$289	06-09 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	8	$873	963	963	+0	No	+$124	07-06 11:32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	7	$865	758	758	+0	Yes	+$486	05-26 16:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	19	$825	2,217	2,217	+0	Yes	+$60	06-01 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	12	$807	2,010	2,010	-0	Yes	-$65	08-07 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	5	$801	486	486	+0	Yes	+$161	08-22 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	9	$782	815	815	+0	Yes	+$472	06-23 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	19	$756	1,061	1,060	+1	Yes	+$598	06-24 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	6¢	$8	0x74270b…
10-26 21:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x413787…
10-26 21:54:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x775ee5…
10-26 15:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xbbc419…
10-26 15:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5c0eac…
10-26 15:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa7923b…
10-26 15:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0xe0322c…
10-26 14:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xeea0cf…
10-26 14:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x64d13b…
10-26 14:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x28bbdb…
10-26 14:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x6e61e3…
10-26 14:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xb6a0a8…
10-26 14:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xd41cd6…
10-26 14:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xfa7cfb…
10-23 15:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9743ff…
10-23 15:49:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x75c784…
10-23 15:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	123	7¢	$9	0xd61e32…
10-23 15:48:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xac7d81…
10-23 15:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x053f29…
10-21 15:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x4a3d34…
10-21 15:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xcd52af…
10-21 15:22:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xc4c755…
10-21 15:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	32	30¢	$9	0xcd3bfb…
10-21 15:22:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0xb3a089…
10-21 15:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe250b1…
10-21 12:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x602099…
10-21 12:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x79c6df…
10-21 12:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x582b74…
10-21 12:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x396c89…
10-20 15:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x8922fc…
10-20 15:43:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0b5da7…
10-20 15:39:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xbcbff1…
10-20 15:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	48	30¢	$15	0xead319…
10-20 15:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x186db7…
10-20 15:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x47fa17…
10-19 15:53:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x820e20…
10-19 15:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xfff5c5…
10-19 15:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0ad6fb…
10-19 15:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x53843e…
10-19 04:30:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x8ddf56…
10-18 04:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0xb581a7…
10-17 15:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x38dd2b…
10-17 15:53:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x611142…
10-17 15:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x0e1d97…
10-17 15:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xb7086d…
10-17 12:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xb60722…
10-17 12:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xbc9e6b…
10-17 12:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2a489b…
10-13 06:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xd6148c…
09-30 13:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	499	19¢	$95	0xbb9eeb…
09-30 11:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	499	25¢	$125	0x21c6d4…
09-29 02:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,489	0¢	$3	0x1c17eb…
09-29 02:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	2¢	$14	0xf89782…
09-29 02:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	2¢	$4	0x4a0fd9…
09-29 02:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	442	30¢	$132	0x6e23e2…
09-28 15:58:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	889	1¢	$5	0x2ab370…
09-28 15:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	4¢	$8	0x4ba7f4…
09-28 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	31¢	$90	0xa4a131…
09-28 15:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x298c85…
09-28 10:12:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0xa54064…
09-28 10:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xb38dd2…
09-28 08:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbb7302…
09-28 08:11:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x20a6a9…
09-28 08:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x401712…
09-28 08:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x88bfbc…
09-28 08:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc88518…
09-28 08:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e4185…
09-28 08:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7da3d0…
09-28 08:00:35	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$25	0x0dec87…
09-28 04:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x716d4c…
09-28 04:48:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x02fe70…
09-24 12:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x4c0e8f…
09-24 12:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9d7a69…
09-24 12:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	2¢	$9	0x12f2c8…
09-24 12:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	1¢	$3	0xea4408…
09-24 04:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x1bc0c6…
09-24 04:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x8231ed…
09-24 04:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0xa2ecf7…
09-22 15:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x9b1ba2…
09-22 15:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xa8097b…
09-22 15:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfdd233…
09-22 15:17:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	77¢	$65	0x358759…
09-22 15:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	75¢	$49	0x63bb48…
09-22 14:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x258e6d…
09-22 05:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x66b6c5…
09-22 05:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xae03f3…
09-22 05:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x5134b7…
09-22 05:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9abb4d…
09-22 05:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x520af8…
09-22 05:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	2¢	$7	0x43ea8f…
09-22 05:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0xb0d15f…
09-22 05:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	18¢	$28	0x36e911…
09-22 05:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	18¢	$8	0xd60b7d…
09-22 04:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	52¢	$63	0x5dd5f2…
09-22 04:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	52¢	$93	0xef9d5a…
09-22 04:54:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0xa10760…
09-22 04:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$17	0x7e4af0…
09-22 04:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	237	1¢	$1	0xf4ef5b…
09-22 04:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x37cc7e…
09-22 04:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	283	9¢	$25	0x19546b…