Stormy-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-15 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

54% 17% $-28

Sports

19% 57% $-30

Crypto

15% 25% $-28

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	3	$257	179	179	+0	open	—	02-19 18:48
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	7	$155	140	140	+0	Twisted Minds	$-15	05-11 22:37
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$141	86	86	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$7	05-12 00:02
wti up or down on april 15 2026	16	$140	155	130	+24	open	—	04-15 16:05
Prince Andrew released by February 20?	1	$134	357	0	+357	open	—	02-19 18:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	02-19 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$65	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 00:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$58	37	37	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$16	05-12 18:24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	5	$53	90	19	+70	Toronto Blue Jays	$-31	05-14 00:31
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	2	$49	48	48	+0	open	—	02-19 16:26
dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	02-19 08:48
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	3	$39	57	57	+0	No	$-1	05-12 12:51
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	4	$39	26	26	+0	Los Angeles Angels	$-1	05-13 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$38	38	14	+23	Up	$-10	05-08 01:00
ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	4	$34	585	0	+585	open	—	06-15 02:50
wta andreev anisimo 2026 02 20 first set winner Andreeva vs Anisimova	1	$31	6,923	0	+6,923	open	—	02-19 20:21
will trump say constitution in rome ga on february 19 151	2	$28	44	44	+0	open	—	02-19 01:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$27	53	53	+0	open	—	02-19 01:10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	3	$22	16	16	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	05-11 23:29
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	2	$22	16	16	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$2	05-14 00:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$21	11	11	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$1	05-13 01:02
btc updown 5m 1781485800	4	$20	89	0	+89	open	—	06-15 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$14	102	0	+102	Up	$-14	05-08 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$10	55	5	+50	open	—	05-02 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	Down	$-10	05-05 22:10
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds - Game 2 Winner	1	$10	1,056	0	+1,056	G2 Esports	$-10	05-11 21:29
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$10	83	0	+83	Atlanta Braves	$-10	05-13 00:47
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	8	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 23:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$10	42	0	+42	Yes	$-10	05-05 22:17
Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5	1	$8	276	0	+276	Under	$-8	05-11 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:50:45	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	304	6¢	$18	0x617fba…
06-15 02:49:46	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4bc3ae…
06-15 02:44:48	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9301dd…
06-15 02:42:21	ethereum up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0x9eaba2…
06-15 02:19:16	btc updown 5m 1781489700	Down	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xb13fbd…
06-15 01:13:10	btc updown 5m 1781485800	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbd2806…
06-15 01:13:07	btc updown 5m 1781485800	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x987fab…
06-15 01:13:03	btc updown 5m 1781485800	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x54f645…
06-15 01:13:00	btc updown 5m 1781485800	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x38ea89…
05-14 00:31:05	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xe16e8d…
05-14 00:18:55	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x5a1abd…
05-14 00:18:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x435da4…
05-14 00:18:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xd93d63…
05-14 00:17:45	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x4c9af5…
05-13 21:34:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x205c11…
05-13 21:33:36	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x29e4b8…
05-13 01:02:01	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3d8ca8…
05-13 00:47:10	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe95767…
05-13 00:45:39	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xb16d2c…
05-13 00:41:11	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x234e04…
05-13 00:40:52	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x8dac6e…
05-13 00:39:31	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7b10d1…
05-13 00:25:23	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x019386…
05-12 18:24:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x68be6c…
05-12 15:33:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x2889da…
05-12 12:51:35	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x497320…
05-12 12:35:17	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	57	34¢	$19	0xa87e65…
05-12 08:53:39	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc92e33…
05-12 00:02:49	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	86	86¢	$74	0x3498aa…
05-11 23:38:24	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0xe17992…
05-11 23:29:09	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x5d7f1b…
05-11 23:24:26	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa64b7f…
05-11 23:22:36	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xbcef97…
05-11 23:19:16	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc28c55…
05-11 22:37:55	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x58e03c…
05-11 22:32:45	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	84	57¢	$48	0x1dfc8b…
05-11 22:28:17	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2b2284…
05-11 22:20:33	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xccf752…
05-11 22:18:26	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0x983d3f…
05-11 22:11:57	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0x5c96e6…
05-11 21:29:01	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds - Game 2 Winner	Twisted Minds	BUY	1,056	1¢	$10	0x47613c…
05-11 21:13:25	Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Twisted Minds	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8cb03c…
05-11 21:10:02	Vitória SC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	276	3¢	$8	0x56aa88…
05-08 01:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x711890…
05-08 01:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6b3829…
05-08 01:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x52728d…
05-08 00:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x70c1bc…
05-08 00:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc75c52…
05-08 00:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x861f58…
05-08 00:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc5f457…
05-08 00:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x40094b…
05-08 00:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x376dba…
05-08 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd280b2…
05-08 00:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb6c466…
05-05 22:17:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x68eeef…
05-05 22:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xded551…
05-02 01:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9bc698…
05-02 01:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x70769a…
05-02 01:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x390172…
05-02 01:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe259dc…
05-02 01:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x166cf5…
05-02 01:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf4cc4d…
05-02 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3bc1af…
05-02 00:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x16baab…
05-02 00:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x2104ed…
05-02 00:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6b5870…
05-02 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb7bbd4…
05-02 00:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa85a06…
05-02 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaee295…
05-02 00:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c9b69…
05-02 00:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8d43fc…
05-02 00:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2233fb…
05-02 00:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0283ce…
05-02 00:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x98ced5…
05-02 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdeb58e…
05-01 23:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x65c961…
05-01 23:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb01a04…
05-01 23:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xac3596…
05-01 23:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf933be…
05-01 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7f2a2e…
05-01 23:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8ddf4a…
05-01 23:17:54	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x23041e…
05-01 23:05:38	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d803d…
05-01 23:00:48	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf42d62…
05-01 23:00:38	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xaf2c94…
05-01 22:58:14	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa74a1f…
05-01 22:57:40	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x351e80…
05-01 22:55:34	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6dc466…
05-01 22:55:32	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x85a8b2…
05-01 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe54da6…
05-01 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x704a43…
05-01 22:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12b314…
04-15 16:05:30	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0xdc962a…
04-15 16:05:10	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xa67637…
04-15 02:55:02	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x20bc00…
04-15 02:54:42	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	58	35¢	$20	0xf4ca5c…
04-15 02:41:36	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x548b9a…
04-15 02:41:14	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xe091cc…
04-15 00:54:04	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xeb59b9…
04-15 00:53:00	wti up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1df3eb…