Secret-Friction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$862

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

103

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$6.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-07 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

70% 37% -$341

Crypto

27% 45% -$279

Sports

4% 18% -$243

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	4	$640	538	280	+258	Yes	+$133	06-03 14:43
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$535	268	268	+0	No	+$1	05-14 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	20	$428	18,817	1,014	+17,802	No	-$56	04-28 15:47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	2	$405	300	300	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$195	05-14 14:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$373	389	0	+389	No	+$16	04-26 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	2	$373	730	0	+730	Down	-$373	06-05 05:44
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	2	$363	390	0	+390	No	+$27	04-20 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?	4	$267	268	0	+268	No	+$1	05-14 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	18	$258	290	206	+84	Down	-$43	06-05 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	4	$211	398	0	+398	Up	+$187	06-05 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$205	300	0	+300	No	+$95	04-30 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	1	$204	400	0	+400	Down	-$204	06-05 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:20 UTC	1	$190	372	0	+372	Up	+$182	06-05 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 5?	1	$168	181	0	+181	No	+$13	05-04 05:31
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewart	17	$116	200	0	+200	Kriish Tyagi	-$116	05-14 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	8	$115	108	108	+0	Up	+$4	06-05 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:30 UTC	1	$111	218	0	+218	Up	+$107	06-05 03:26
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	1	$90	200	0	+200	Yes	+$110	04-17 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 13?	8	$90	100	0	+100	No	+$10	05-11 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 13?	3	$87	90	0	+90	No	+$3	05-12 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$4	05-31 07:42
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	2	$82	1,280	0	+1,280	Chicago White Sox	-$82	05-15 01:48
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	14	$81	2,000	1,500	+500	Tristan Boyer	-$78	05-14 14:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	2	$76	200	0	+200	No	-$76	04-17 06:13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	8	$73	1,270	0	+1,270	Philadelphia Phillies	-$73	05-15 01:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	5	$70	500	0	+500	No	-$70	04-30 04:02
Valencia: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Miomir Kecmanovic	7	$66	300	0	+300	Miomir Kecmanovic	-$66	05-13 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	4	$64	334	5	+329	No	-$62	06-01 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	4	$61	4,383	4,383	+0	No	-$53	05-02 15:24
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	1	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	Chicago Cubs	-$60	05-15 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 12:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x4a62d1…
06-07 10:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb261e6…
06-05 05:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x6ebbfd…
06-05 05:43:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0x8ef80c…
06-05 04:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	372	51¢	$190	0x3a6046…
06-05 04:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x06c0da…
06-05 04:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	68	55¢	$38	0x6a5c88…
06-05 04:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xc7927a…
06-05 04:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe70630…
06-05 04:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf70d2c…
06-05 04:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x15e73d…
06-05 04:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x226610…
06-05 04:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8b7ad1…
06-05 03:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xbf9b71…
06-05 03:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	322	53¢	$170	0xf07a89…
06-05 03:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x80d794…
06-05 03:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x6f6d84…
06-05 03:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5619fa…
06-05 03:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	218	51¢	$111	0xa7ee96…
06-05 03:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x7db729…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xbb8499…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x992224…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x96d37e…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x441a2c…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x414aa4…
06-05 03:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x1b5594…
06-05 03:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	80	52¢	$42	0x88a3f9…
06-05 03:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	28	52¢	$14	0x32f2df…
06-05 03:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x2a7e84…
06-05 03:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x0dd06e…
06-05 03:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x37577e…
06-05 03:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xbc8e8f…
06-05 03:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x57dbef…
06-05 03:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x832010…
06-05 03:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa01e7d…
06-05 03:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	276	52¢	$143	0x55bff5…
06-05 03:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x175a1b…
06-05 02:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdd1418…
06-05 02:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xdc0dbd…
06-05 02:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb329b1…
06-05 02:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0c82aa…
06-05 02:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x0c078d…
06-05 02:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0d63e9…
06-05 02:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf56ee1…
06-05 02:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x9a7d22…
06-05 02:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x803f4c…
06-05 02:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x67e7c4…
06-05 02:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1d3d0c…
06-05 02:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x3f27cb…
06-05 02:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xadee47…
06-04 12:40:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xac7e31…
06-03 14:43:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	99¢	$257	0xbdf8e8…
06-03 08:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	274	92¢	$252	0x5c86cd…
06-03 08:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x24673f…
06-03 07:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd5023f…
06-03 05:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	45¢	$126	0x2dbba1…
06-01 07:12:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x919695…
06-01 07:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xef1c5d…
06-01 07:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x657ec5…
06-01 07:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	19¢	$63	0x846bac…
05-31 07:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xf36406…
05-31 07:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x93a938…
05-31 07:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xc8de78…
05-29 08:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf3ece4…
05-29 08:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb8b64d…
05-29 08:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xe518df…
05-29 08:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xee5c2f…
05-29 08:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x264757…
05-29 08:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	67¢	$40	0xf4f0a2…
05-27 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5eac73…
05-27 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x182022…
05-27 03:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xecba72…
05-18 07:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa79870…
05-18 07:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x50e524…
05-18 07:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x43443d…
05-18 07:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2c18a2…
05-18 07:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xea08fa…
05-18 07:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	0¢	$1	0xa3eb49…
05-15 01:48:08	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	280	8¢	$22	0xb538b6…
05-15 01:36:49	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0fe663…
05-15 01:36:43	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc1aaa9…
05-15 01:36:35	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf22cb4…
05-15 01:36:33	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x4b7a94…
05-15 01:36:29	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	126	5¢	$6	0x802728…
05-15 01:34:23	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xdeb410…
05-15 01:34:08	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe565aa…
05-15 01:33:31	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	Kansas City Royals	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x7b33e4…
05-15 01:33:24	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x5fb417…
05-15 01:33:15	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x9bb073…
05-14 14:54:06	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x2547c5…
05-14 14:39:50	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x6d4b90…
05-14 14:39:48	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	385	4¢	$15	0x2c0119…
05-14 14:39:45	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x3c5f62…
05-14 14:39:34	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc4ed83…
05-14 14:39:32	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x977639…
05-14 14:39:32	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x281e89…
05-14 14:39:31	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xba0737…
05-14 14:39:31	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7a88bf…
05-14 14:39:31	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	1,324	4¢	$53	0x5de9d2…
05-14 14:39:17	Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Laurent Lokoli	Laurent Lokoli	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcec3b1…