Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$818

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-19 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

86% 7% -$741

Crypto

12% 25% -$44

Other

3% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	4	$347	13,835	13,835	+0	No	-$173	01-19 21:30
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	5	$228	11,021	11,021	+0	No	-$140	01-20 20:40
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$150	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$150	01-16 20:03
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$130	4,335	0	+4,335	No	-$130	01-15 13:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$60	35	35	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 06:48
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	1	$55	950	0	+950	No	-$55	01-23 20:38
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$41	1,025	1,025	+0	No	-$39	02-28 06:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$41	357	357	+0	No	-$9	01-31 16:41
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$32	53	0	+53	Up	-$32	10-19 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$31	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	10-19 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$12	10-19 20:50
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$21	1,107	1,107	+0	No	-$10	02-01 20:22
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$21	724	0	+724	No	-$21	01-17 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$17	114	14	+100	Up	+$11	10-19 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$15	54	0	+54	Up	-$15	10-19 20:38
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	1	$12	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$12	01-20 21:49
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	1	$12	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$12	01-20 21:49
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$8	829	829	+0	No	-$3	02-05 19:53
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$8	615	0	+615	No	-$8	01-23 20:44
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$7	780	0	+780	No	-$7	01-27 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$6	156	0	+156	Up	-$6	10-19 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	55	0	+55	Down	-$5	10-19 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$5	74	0	+74	Down	-$5	10-19 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	10-19 20:14
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$5	167	0	+167	No	-$5	02-28 06:40
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-19 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$4	100	0	+100	Up	-$4	10-19 20:43
will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	1	$2	28	0	+28	No	-$2	02-11 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	10-19 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	10-19 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x0a06c6…
10-19 20:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	379	0¢	$0	0x01b6cf…
10-19 20:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x8f3e40…
10-19 20:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4ce2db…
10-19 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x06d409…
10-19 20:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb8f6e4…
10-19 20:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4f03cb…
10-19 20:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x37736a…
10-19 20:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa886f3…
10-19 20:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x658dbd…
10-19 20:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc3d548…
10-19 20:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe42718…
10-19 20:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x864dc6…
10-19 20:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10095e…
10-19 20:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf80923…
10-19 20:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x965dd5…
10-19 20:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f9c54…
10-19 20:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x001f43…
10-19 20:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4bfc01…
10-19 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x68b1df…
10-19 20:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89fa98…
10-19 20:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x45aaa0…
10-19 20:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xeb662d…
10-19 20:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xacd206…
02-28 06:48:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$32	0x5d6793…
02-28 06:43:37	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	1,025	0¢	$1	0xd0abe7…
02-28 06:40:03	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x179a0c…
02-28 06:16:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0xb83154…
02-28 00:03:39	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,025	4¢	$40	0xa69750…
02-11 18:02:39	will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0xad1d56…
02-05 19:53:03	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	SELL	829	0¢	$2	0x55ab64…
02-05 15:34:47	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	829	1¢	$6	0x152e1f…
02-01 20:22:34	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	SELL	1,107	0¢	$6	0xcf0917…
02-01 16:26:46	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,107	1¢	$16	0x1a0552…
01-31 16:41:26	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	357	4¢	$16	0x502007…
01-31 13:59:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x081edb…
01-27 21:25:17	us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	Yes	BUY	780	1¢	$7	0x1cc2ed…
01-23 20:44:18	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	615	1¢	$8	0x16ff67…
01-23 20:38:20	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	950	6¢	$55	0x196950…
01-20 22:00:32	will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0f5a36…
01-20 21:49:50	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$12	0xc60c51…
01-20 21:49:04	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$12	0xf3dab7…
01-20 20:40:52	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	Yes	SELL	11,021	0¢	$44	0x572df8…
01-20 08:56:54	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	Yes	BUY	2,787	1¢	$36	0x0fb1fe…
01-20 08:56:44	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	Yes	BUY	2,508	1¢	$30	0x0b51bd…
01-20 07:10:36	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	Yes	BUY	2,757	1¢	$32	0x2e114d…
01-19 21:32:36	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	Yes	BUY	2,969	3¢	$86	0x074038…
01-19 21:30:08	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	Yes	SELL	13,835	1¢	$87	0x73626a…
01-19 19:38:26	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	Yes	BUY	6,139	2¢	$114	0x70bbad…
01-19 19:10:00	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	Yes	BUY	6,937	2¢	$132	0x2501ab…
01-19 19:08:54	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	Yes	BUY	760	2¢	$14	0x866692…
01-17 01:45:00	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	Yes	BUY	724	3¢	$21	0xa20633…
01-16 20:03:52	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	2,967	1¢	$36	0xd438b4…
01-16 19:36:50	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	9,033	1¢	$114	0x0ca7ee…
01-15 13:35:02	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	Yes	BUY	4,335	3¢	$130	0xba470d…