Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

800

Trades

9,065

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 02-03 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

42% 24% -$190

Other

35% 21% -$432

Sports

16% 23% -$54

Crypto

7% 56% -$424

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	442	$3.8K	3,969	3,967	+2	Yes	-$81	01-22 21:06
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	691	$3.0K	3,889	3,893	-4	No	+$22	01-22 23:50
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	205	$2.5K	2,546	2,409	+137	Broncos	-$8	01-18 01:12
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	481	$2.1K	1,434	1,420	+15	Yes	-$22	01-22 23:50
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	439	$1.4K	1,109	1,103	+6	No	-$20	01-22 23:50
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	546	$1.4K	1,614	1,618	-4	No	-$26	01-22 23:50
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	439	$1.3K	1,180	1,159	+21	No	-$12	01-22 23:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	172	$1.3K	1,292	1,246	+47	Yes	-$33	01-22 12:45
atp spizzir wu 2026 01 22	70	$1.0K	1,011	926	+85	Spizzirri	-$2	01-22 07:44
gc settle 4600 4725 jan 2026	208	$924	528	533	-5	No	-$13	01-22 21:25
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	204	$631	524	523	+1	Yes	-$9	01-22 20:52
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	490	$625	2,287	2,278	+9	No	-$8	01-22 23:50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	99	$598	400	390	+10	No	-$4	01-22 11:07
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	152	$574	648	771	-123	Yes	+$37	01-22 16:19
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	246	$488	783	788	-4	No	-$10	01-22 21:04
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	111	$482	342	341	+1	No	-$7	01-22 23:26
iran strike on israel by february 28	118	$429	328	327	+1	Yes	-$6	01-22 21:04
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	116	$398	340	339	+1	Yes	-$6	01-22 21:04
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	95	$388	288	287	+1	Yes	-$4	01-22 23:49
will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in january 758	103	$344	265	264	+1	No	-$4	01-22 21:04
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	50	$340	196	196	+0	No	-$4	01-18 00:35
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	86	$299	296	275	+21	Yes	-$18	01-22 21:04
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in january 965	82	$284	215	214	+1	Yes	-$6	01-22 21:06
nba tor sac 2026 01 21	20	$280	507	505	+2	Raptors	-$6	01-22 04:48
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	70	$263	176	176	+1	No	-$4	01-22 21:04
euroleague aviv panathin 2026 01 22	62	$263	252	246	+6	Maccabi Tel Aviv	-$2	01-22 20:58
cbb nw usc 2026 01 21	42	$262	251	267	-16	Northwestern Wildcats	-$6	01-22 06:12
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	76	$258	197	196	+1	No	-$8	01-22 22:57
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	76	$251	191	191	-0	Yes	-$6	01-22 21:06
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	79	$241	213	212	+1	Yes	-$4	01-22 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-03 00:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0xedf26a…
02-02 23:50:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x762c0b…
02-02 23:20:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x779ea7…
02-02 23:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xcd5ba6…
02-02 23:05:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1e46c0…
02-02 23:05:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9ff870…
02-02 22:50:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef6a8f…
02-02 22:50:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdbc134…
02-02 22:35:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0xf8a33d…
02-02 22:35:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x5ce187…
02-02 22:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xff9714…
02-02 22:20:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf4ed96…
02-02 22:20:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0xd1a35e…
02-02 22:06:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	10¢	$6	0x70c584…
02-02 22:06:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0x590bce…
02-02 22:05:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc73dcd…
02-02 22:05:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	58	18¢	$10	0x85315f…
02-02 21:20:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcb9e86…
02-02 21:20:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x1124a6…
02-02 21:20:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x32fd0d…
02-02 21:20:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdee20c…
02-02 21:05:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xb32aab…
02-02 20:51:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x342a68…
02-02 20:50:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xe141f9…
02-02 10:51:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x84422e…
02-02 10:50:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xffbd50…
02-02 10:09:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x82d681…
02-02 10:05:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xba5466…
02-02 10:05:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf585db…
02-02 09:50:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x43ed9c…
02-02 09:35:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x90eddf…
02-02 08:26:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x67eb3d…
02-02 07:50:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x52ae47…
02-02 07:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x6410b2…
02-02 07:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xeb4ca1…
02-02 07:09:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8afc33…
02-02 06:58:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xae778c…
02-02 03:35:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x385eb2…
02-02 03:20:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xaa56a2…
02-02 03:05:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xe5dde3…
02-02 01:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	178	10¢	$18	0x9cd99f…
02-02 01:20:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	219	8¢	$18	0x20c813…
02-02 01:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0xccea54…
02-01 22:56:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4987ac…
02-01 22:35:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0xda9229…
02-01 22:13:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	518	1¢	$5	0xf222fa…
02-01 05:36:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xd1c4ad…
02-01 05:35:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x1d51e9…
02-01 05:20:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x43251f…
02-01 03:09:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x82b7e2…
02-01 02:53:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x749df3…
02-01 02:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb59037…
02-01 02:06:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x20a103…
02-01 02:05:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x748f7a…
02-01 01:58:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	963	1¢	$10	0x522ba4…
02-01 01:50:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	254	5¢	$13	0x8abe74…
02-01 01:05:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x912f0d…
02-01 01:05:10	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2b15cc…
01-31 23:24:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	830	1¢	$5	0x8171bc…
01-31 23:07:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdf1581…
01-31 22:50:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1b8552…
01-31 22:50:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x5c814e…
01-31 22:50:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0xe27229…
01-31 22:50:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x5e7ae7…
01-31 22:28:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	86	12¢	$11	0x042754…
01-31 22:21:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x710e4a…
01-31 22:20:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$20	0x6b42dc…
01-31 22:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xce4eda…
01-31 22:08:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x9997c2…
01-31 22:06:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x689483…
01-31 22:05:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0xd93ab1…
01-31 22:05:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	53¢	$22	0xe1c7fa…
01-31 21:35:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2f5f66…
01-31 21:20:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x85b661…
01-31 21:20:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd4e257…
01-31 21:09:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6f2dbc…
01-31 20:54:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x979613…
01-31 20:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd412ba…
01-31 20:50:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x35641f…
01-31 20:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9bcae2…
01-31 20:35:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x2dd13b…
01-31 20:35:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xda6427…
01-31 20:35:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x35b133…
01-31 20:26:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x506e11…
01-31 20:20:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x07ab0c…
01-31 20:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x012527…
01-31 20:05:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x9394c5…
01-31 20:05:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x6730e5…
01-31 20:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xf51231…
01-31 19:50:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf80df2…
01-31 19:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x92eb2a…
01-31 19:20:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xc387d9…
01-31 19:20:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x5beb98…
01-31 19:06:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca3b28…
01-31 19:05:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xcad342…
01-31 19:05:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc1d1f6…
01-31 18:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x73fa70…
01-31 18:50:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x27d1bd…
01-31 18:35:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x18a704…
01-31 18:35:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x73496a…