Pesky-Fav — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

286

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-31 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

61% 38% -$35

Sports

25% 48% +$3

Crypto

14% 27% -$226

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 18:35 UTC	3	$112	119	0	+119	Up	-$106	06-05 18:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	2	$64	94	94	+0	No	+$4	07-15 22:09
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	2	$59	50	50	+0	Daniel Altmaier	+$40	05-19 19:24
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$55	46	46	+0	No	+$37	06-13 21:12
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$14	06-15 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$48	103	0	+103	Down	-$48	05-27 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	2	$45	42	42	+0	Yes	+$39	06-07 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	2	$44	33	33	+0	Yes	+$18	07-12 08:25
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	2	$43	36	36	+0	Over	+$30	05-23 17:32
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	1	$40	60	0	+60	Matteo Arnaldi	+$20	05-28 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	2	$39	33	33	+0	Yes	+$24	07-15 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?	2	$36	72	72	+0	No	+$26	06-08 04:16
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	3	$36	23	23	+0	Over	+$10	05-23 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?	2	$34	54	54	+0	No	-$6	05-29 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$34	40	40	+0	Up	+$14	05-26 12:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	2	$33	23	23	+0	Emilio Nava	+$14	05-19 19:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	07-13 18:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$31	213	109	+104	No	+$11	07-27 02:20
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$30	52	0	+52	Spurs	-$30	05-30 00:58
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	3	$28	19	19	+0	Knicks	+$11	05-24 02:32
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	3	$28	51	7	+43	No	-$20	06-14 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	05-25 13:45
mlb tex kc 2026 06 11	3	$26	18	18	+0	Texas Rangers	+$9	06-11 22:52
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	3	$25	17	17	+0	Over	+$8	05-31 02:52
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	4	$25	17	17	+0	Over	+$7	06-10 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:30 UTC	2	$24	50	50	+0	Down	+$18	06-29 11:33
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	2	$24	18	18	+0	Aston Villa FC	+$11	05-20 20:21
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-05-23?	2	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$10	05-23 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	2	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	07-30 14:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$22	49	7	+42	No	-$7	05-30 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 07:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x5274ef…
07-30 22:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0x88f70a…
07-30 14:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x499d0e…
07-29 08:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4e0037…
07-29 08:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x6004b9…
07-28 20:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x150fb1…
07-28 20:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd679df…
07-28 20:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6d8a43…
07-28 01:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe4084b…
07-28 01:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x73308b…
07-28 01:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65aa21…
07-28 01:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xccc50d…
07-27 02:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xdcabdb…
07-27 02:20:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	109	20¢	$21	0x1afb39…
07-26 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x32ba55…
07-26 18:18:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,154	0¢	$3	0x6e18bc…
07-18 18:03:45	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x15d610…
07-18 13:18:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x47be0f…
07-15 22:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xa1a515…
07-15 22:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	94	36¢	$34	0xf7312f…
07-15 12:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x1c4e11…
07-15 08:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0x3b5711…
07-14 09:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x37a9f5…
07-14 09:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4,310	0¢	$5	0xa7ca57…
07-13 19:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x7c38ac…
07-13 18:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xca49fc…
07-12 17:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x38ee7b…
07-12 17:16:41	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa4dddb…
07-12 08:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x6cea5d…
07-11 22:04:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xc3af3e…
07-11 21:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x3d1416…
07-11 21:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0x6afdba…
07-11 21:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x101054…
07-11 09:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	401	0¢	$2	0xad547d…
07-11 09:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7c3de…
07-11 09:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	492	0¢	$1	0xcd9f5b…
07-11 02:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc787a6…
07-11 02:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x67cefc…
07-11 02:12:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x8220b4…
07-07 12:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x073ac2…
07-05 03:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x8a2bf9…
07-04 23:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x08f308…
07-04 23:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xf6f6b1…
07-04 03:51:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x890928…
07-04 03:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1ded87…
07-04 03:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x4e0832…
07-04 03:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe72905…
07-04 03:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7113c5…
07-04 03:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x756b4c…
07-04 03:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf8db31…
07-04 03:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcac531…
07-03 20:00:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8478c4…
07-03 18:05:59	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe3079d…
07-03 03:05:47	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x80eff8…
07-02 15:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x35d3a2…
07-02 10:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcf5c39…
07-01 21:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xd7aeb9…
07-01 09:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb03901…
07-01 07:42:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x09abc2…
07-01 07:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc048f9…
07-01 02:33:11	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcebb59…
06-30 12:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2787e1…
06-30 11:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x24977c…
06-30 11:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdbf1ae…
06-30 09:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x201259…
06-30 08:34:53	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcee4ce…
06-29 11:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xbc8edd…
06-29 11:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc5c7bf…
06-29 11:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x6e73da…
06-29 11:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x007a63…
06-29 11:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x151de7…
06-29 11:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb911e7…
06-29 11:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdfb01e…
06-29 11:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfab6cf…
06-29 07:22:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,154	1¢	$15	0xc53b8e…
06-28 16:31:38	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts first half	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xeedb26…
06-28 03:22:43	Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4bfcce…
06-27 05:34:37	Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x02d759…
06-24 07:20:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0xdb58d1…
06-23 01:22:43	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x7edeec…
06-22 23:54:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xdf12ba…
06-19 17:53:44	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7fa3cf…
06-19 00:57:25	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x18e885…
06-18 22:32:49	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Canada	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xadf330…
06-18 21:34:41	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2e0d7a…
06-18 17:04:53	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x908f79…
06-17 17:09:38	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x328b4f…
06-17 17:08:59	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xae90bb…
06-16 20:15:05	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf592d7…
06-16 18:35:07	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xd81e05…
06-16 16:35:16	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0d2ec4…
06-16 13:35:05	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7175ac…
06-16 13:09:25	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	27	65¢	$17	0xdda6f2…
06-16 03:03:58	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0405e0…
06-16 02:18:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?	Yes	BUY	345	6¢	$20	0x5e771c…
06-16 00:44:51	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4f8206…
06-15 23:54:33	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2f673c…
06-15 22:55:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x79d13f…
06-15 18:16:39	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x575e39…
06-15 17:49:54	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x58f7bc…