Imperfect-Gumshoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$69

$69 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 01:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	Yes		+134	$14	0¢	$0	$-14	05-09 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	2	$14	134	+134	open	—	05-09 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?	2	$14	23	+23	No	+$9	05-09 00:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 9?	1	$7	10	+10	Yes	$-7	05-09 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$7	20	+20	Yes	$-7	05-08 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	1	$7	10	+10	No	+$3	05-09 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	1	$7	10	+10	No	+$3	05-09 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 8?	1	$7	8	+8	No	+$1	05-08 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	1	$6	9	+9	No	+$3	05-09 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 01:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xfee6fd…
05-09 01:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xaff5f4…
05-09 00:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x047fee…
05-09 00:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x4e0a8c…
05-09 00:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x2a2dec…
05-09 00:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x88e80d…
05-09 00:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x25d206…
05-09 00:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xab13d7…
05-08 00:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb3274f…
05-08 00:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x86936d…