Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$929

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-06 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 96% -$16

Other

41% 100% +$1

Politics

12% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	No		+19	$19	100¢	$19	+$0	11-06 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-20 18:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	04-20 18:04
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-21 20:42
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-27 13:51
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	10-11 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	09-03 01:13
will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-06 08:40
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-29 17:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-08 23:50
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-23 14:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	09-23 02:59
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-23 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	09-12 23:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	09-07 08:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 5?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	11-05 09:59
Will Lorenzo Santos be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-09 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-26 01:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	09-14 04:16
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	11-06 21:17
will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 13	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-13 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	04-21 00:18
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-03 18:43
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	08-09 15:51
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	-$17	08-18 16:25
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-07 23:57
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-20 23:02
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	10-19 07:03
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-31 23:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-25 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:17:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x09a905…
11-05 09:59:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4e2cd6…
10-31 23:17:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa28b2e…
10-27 06:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6ceb4c…
10-23 20:23:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f1602…
10-20 16:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc6c572…
10-19 07:03:41	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x183bfa…
10-11 17:06:07	Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5101bf…
10-08 23:50:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x96ca3c…
10-08 19:33:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x40309d…
10-03 10:04:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x806231…
10-02 08:41:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x61bd58…
09-29 00:30:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x69c08e…
09-26 01:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2e0798…
09-23 02:59:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdb6d35…
09-22 22:03:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1773ed…
09-14 04:16:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x5b2f48…
09-12 23:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa33ea…
09-07 08:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc0a837…
09-03 01:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xea1b52…
08-29 17:02:13	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xca25a3…
08-23 22:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x67e6f5…
08-21 07:14:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdaee59…
08-18 16:25:12	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x13072c…
08-13 21:46:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 13	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2b95a0…
08-09 15:51:06	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xe0be96…
08-09 03:06:09	Will Lorenzo Santos be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x631f99…
08-06 20:38:30	ethereum above 1800 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf08ea7…
08-06 08:40:48	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x519cf1…
04-29 12:52:14	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x326ffb…
04-29 09:37:16	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5efed4…
04-27 13:51:44	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4ed57b…
04-26 20:07:46	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67ae42…
04-26 09:42:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe358ea…
04-26 02:38:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f89df…
04-25 12:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xac6cc1…
04-25 04:12:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe507ae…
04-24 00:31:12	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9dadd4…
04-23 18:49:24	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11ff9a…
04-23 14:16:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x9bdc52…
04-23 03:20:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x550fa9…
04-21 22:43:02	highest temperature in denver on april 22 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0434e…
04-21 20:42:04	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x017adb…
04-21 07:18:04	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0b93d5…
04-21 00:18:34	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0f5d9f…
04-20 23:02:18	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8f6b57…
04-20 18:04:34	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x86e467…
04-20 18:03:30	Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd07641…
03-23 07:56:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3bd806…
02-13 19:33:27	Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x396dcd…
01-30 05:45:18	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x60335f…
01-17 14:27:40	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6c343…
01-13 13:12:41	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x115f67…
01-10 01:07:12	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e2831…
01-07 23:57:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe1a1bb…
01-03 18:43:31	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x87b316…