Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

510

lifetime

Volume

$49.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-19 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% +$25,351

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-205	-$32	2¢	$-4	+$27	07-21 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	56	$16.5K	26,609	1,744	+24,866	Yes	+$10,609	07-24 10:27
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	166	$10.9K	18,502	0	+18,502	Yes	+$7,602	02-13 10:21
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	87	$9.9K	15,837	0	+15,837	No	+$5,927	02-13 10:23
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	44	$3.8K	3,164	2,664	+500	Yes	+$345	09-10 17:38
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	33	$3.1K	3,321	0	+3,321	Yes	+$251	04-20 13:41
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	11	$1.3K	1,442	0	+1,442	Yes	+$145	03-19 23:44
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	10	$945	1,267	194	+1,073	No	+$236	09-11 09:46
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	9	$825	917	0	+917	No	+$92	03-20 07:40
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	39	$811	18,166	18,166	+0	No	+$130	09-11 09:57
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	18	$766	701	701	+0	No	+$86	07-22 09:41
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	8	$359	439	0	+439	No	+$80	04-21 13:59
US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	2	$137	100	100	+0	Mirra Andreeva	-$15	09-07 16:05
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	5	$80	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$80	10-19 19:56
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	2	$65	751	751	+0	No	+$11	07-21 13:39
wti up or down on april 15 2026	1	$60	100	0	+100	Down	-$60	04-15 10:44
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$52	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-29 19:26
bitcoin up or down on february 16	2	$46	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	02-16 09:54
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	1	$45	57	0	+57	Yes	+$12	03-18 20:06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$32	0	205	-205	open	—	07-21 12:36
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	2	$30	922	0	+922	No	-$30	06-19 07:18
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	03-18 20:02
cs2 prv nip 2026 03 19	1	$30	45	0	+45	PARIVISION	+$15	03-19 12:26
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	02-15 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:30 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	03-18 09:34
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	2	$2	83	83	+0	No	$0	07-21 12:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	03-19 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:56:14	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	803	8¢	$64	0x06027c…
10-19 15:31:24	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$11	0x629056…
10-19 13:13:29	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x870f10…
10-18 23:14:32	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$3	0x8225a1…
10-18 23:14:30	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xcbe2fb…
09-11 09:57:13	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,740	2¢	$86	0x103e56…
09-11 09:46:40	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	757	78¢	$591	0x3ecc50…
09-11 09:15:43	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x10feb5…
09-11 09:15:42	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x15fffc…
09-11 09:04:18	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	854	2¢	$20	0x25600c…
09-11 09:03:12	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	406	2¢	$9	0xd3edb3…
09-10 19:16:51	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x3ce337…
09-10 19:05:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,301	3¢	$36	0xc728ca…
09-10 18:54:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$24	0xf52bd9…
09-10 18:52:48	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xa6b058…
09-10 18:52:39	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xcf6353…
09-10 18:31:28	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xd50413…
09-10 17:38:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	75¢	$94	0x3d5f0e…
09-10 17:33:18	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	171	78¢	$134	0xe9690d…
09-10 06:42:18	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x1acc15…
09-10 06:21:27	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbecd65…
09-10 06:05:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	2¢	$7	0xcd306e…
09-10 05:27:12	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x650039…
09-10 04:44:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf93aa7…
09-10 04:44:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb8646a…
09-10 03:48:33	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$4	0xe901e0…
09-10 03:48:07	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	413	2¢	$10	0x8288d5…
09-10 00:39:55	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x540cf6…
09-10 00:39:01	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x829553…
09-10 00:37:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4be6f1…
09-10 00:36:58	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$4	0xc7e380…
09-10 00:36:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcdcd53…
09-10 00:36:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa4fdd6…
09-09 15:05:01	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$3	0x1ff8c3…
09-09 12:13:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x452d4a…
09-09 12:13:01	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	194	28¢	$54	0xd7e721…
09-09 12:12:15	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	463	3¢	$12	0xf679e0…
09-09 10:35:58	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	28¢	$54	0xf20328…
09-09 01:54:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	477	2¢	$11	0x10da45…
09-08 19:58:21	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x913c6b…
09-08 18:12:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	365	67¢	$244	0x47897e…
09-08 14:56:10	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,000	2¢	$132	0xd47362…
09-07 18:24:48	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	188	4¢	$8	0x38fcb8…
09-07 18:09:09	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$53	0x38b31c…
09-07 16:24:13	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,261	2¢	$94	0x732f89…
09-07 16:09:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7ab0be…
09-07 16:05:36	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	Mirra Andreeva	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xac5b6f…
09-07 15:54:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	699	2¢	$15	0xd2dc6c…
09-07 15:38:03	US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xb523e5…
09-06 06:18:21	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	65¢	$30	0xcee053…
09-06 06:15:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	69	65¢	$45	0xbaf574…
09-06 05:29:42	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	102	65¢	$66	0xd853f7…
09-06 04:08:19	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x37651b…
09-06 04:07:33	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfd7948…
09-06 04:07:10	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x435796…
09-06 04:06:54	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3fd5c2…
09-06 04:05:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x50c737…
09-06 03:52:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8b52ee…
09-06 02:31:16	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xa39b73…
09-05 19:38:01	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x6ba2e1…
09-05 05:45:48	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	462	65¢	$300	0x0f41c4…
09-05 00:07:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x252b07…
09-04 13:38:04	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$3	0x164dd6…
09-04 12:17:16	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0xbe7551…
09-04 11:55:06	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xaacf4d…
09-04 11:54:31	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	258	65¢	$168	0xa7502d…
09-04 11:07:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6fb79a…
09-04 11:07:27	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7406ae…
09-03 23:56:40	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xe7cb95…
09-03 23:56:40	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xa123a8…
09-03 23:56:40	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x5b62dc…
09-03 23:56:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	60¢	$51	0x842eab…
09-03 23:56:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x4f8af6…
09-03 23:56:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x3713e0…
09-03 23:56:39	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	129	60¢	$77	0x278c44…
09-03 16:59:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x79f2c4…
09-03 16:59:12	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x31faad…
08-27 11:50:15	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0x4049dd…
08-27 11:49:25	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x38a578…
08-27 11:49:24	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	113	70¢	$79	0x62d117…
08-27 11:49:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	129	70¢	$91	0xa5e294…
08-27 11:48:21	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x1b4ae5…
08-27 10:46:15	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x19aa29…
08-27 10:46:01	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	153	70¢	$107	0x1cdbad…
08-27 10:44:34	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x57f1e7…
08-27 10:44:18	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0x084209…
08-27 04:50:52	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xdb8cc7…
08-27 03:38:42	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x0474b3…
08-27 02:08:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xf12566…
08-27 02:08:01	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	236	70¢	$165	0x88edff…
08-26 15:51:27	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x635349…
07-29 19:26:06	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0x224079…
07-29 19:04:08	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb04a02…
07-29 18:47:30	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xce6c5e…
07-29 18:39:29	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	617	70¢	$432	0x0fe7f0…
07-29 18:37:56	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xec0dcf…
07-24 18:21:15	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$105	0x55b660…
07-24 18:19:43	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x6fb155…
07-24 16:22:42	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	760	62¢	$472	0xb55557…
07-24 16:20:04	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	904	61¢	$553	0xcd1380…