Enchanting-Glass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$551

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

665

Trades

2,336

lifetime

Volume

$6.50M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.78K

Open exposure

$4.89K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-28 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

71% 98% +$30,955

Politics

16% 71% +$3,709

Sports

13% 98% +$10,487

Crypto

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	+3,692	$2,896	96¢	$3.6K	+$667	10-28 07:33
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+1,383	$1,367	91¢	$1.3K	-$110	10-28 04:02
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	+81	$80	91¢	$74	-$6	10-28 04:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	174	$2.48M	2,487,805	164,810	+2,322,994	No	+$9,643	10-28 17:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	88	$989.1K	989,727	5,000	+984,727	Yes	+$5,628	04-08 01:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	63	$582.1K	620,932	0	+620,932	Yes	+$38,845	10-26 17:12
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	3	$209.9K	210,108	0	+210,108	No	+$224	10-08 05:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	97	$153.8K	164,810	0	+164,810	No	+$10,996	10-27 09:58
Bills vs. Raiders	5	$137.2K	138,685	0	+138,685	Bills	+$1,469	10-18 23:29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	5	$95.3K	95,540	0	+95,540	No	+$289	05-06 20:59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$86.3K	86,436	0	+86,436	No	+$120	10-16 10:52
Bengals vs. Ravens	33	$85.2K	85,361	0	+85,361	Bengals	+$208	10-25 20:11
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	7	$77.8K	77,893	0	+77,893	Cleveland Guardians	+$93	10-07 23:26
Boise State vs. Fresno State	18	$73.0K	73,076	0	+73,076	Boise State	+$95	10-11 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	9	$63.9K	63,956	0	+63,956	No	+$74	10-17 11:47
Vikings vs. Saints	44	$63.5K	63,596	0	+63,596	Vikings	+$130	10-11 20:11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	45	$56.5K	56,816	0	+56,816	No	+$354	10-14 21:22
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)	8	$53.5K	54,138	0	+54,138	Arsenal FC	+$627	10-13 11:06
Cowboys vs. Packers	6	$52.1K	52,257	0	+52,257	Packers	+$153	10-19 04:03
Patriots vs. Bears	27	$51.3K	63,599	20,000	+43,599	Bears	+$1,858	10-23 03:38
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)	12	$50.2K	50,784	0	+50,784	FC Barcelona	+$609	10-13 06:18
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	2	$44.6K	44,672	0	+44,672	No	+$82	10-11 02:43
will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	6	$43.9K	43,928	0	+43,928	No	+$44	04-07 08:46
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)	11	$41.7K	42,136	0	+42,136	FC Bayern München	+$421	10-13 06:22
Browns vs. Titans	10	$39.6K	40,000	0	+40,000	Browns	+$400	10-25 20:08
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	39	$37.0K	54,444	7,944	+46,501	Seahawks	-$2,566	10-26 03:29
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	69	$35.7K	35,712	0	+35,712	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$47	05-06 23:05
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	21	$35.2K	35,269	0	+35,269	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$35	05-06 23:00
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)	13	$34.9K	35,614	0	+35,614	FC Internazionale Milano	+$746	10-13 11:07
Seahawks vs. Broncos	9	$34.2K	49,604	49,604	+0	Broncos	+$2,678	10-16 02:56
Bears vs. Packers	22	$30.5K	30,532	0	+30,532	Packers	+$31	10-11 20:25
Auburn vs. Georgia	39	$28.5K	27,857	2,767	+25,091	Auburn	+$218	10-17 23:12
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	10	$26.8K	27,770	0	+27,770	FC Barcelona	+$1,000	10-13 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:45:41	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x401100…
10-28 17:55:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,649	100¢	$1,646	0x574ef2…
10-28 17:52:11	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcfac46…
10-28 17:52:05	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	552	97¢	$536	0x1d0d5e…
10-28 17:51:22	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x505744…
10-28 17:51:01	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x415af0…
10-28 17:49:50	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xaf6c07…
10-28 17:47:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77,000	100¢	$76,846	0xb1fba9…
10-28 17:47:08	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x4b64ca…
10-28 17:46:47	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb2627b…
10-28 17:45:40	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xe3ddeb…
10-28 17:45:32	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2a1d66…
10-28 17:45:22	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xdd3a54…
10-28 17:45:08	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x451125…
10-28 17:44:59	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4186f8…
10-28 17:44:55	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1ed9ea…
10-28 17:44:41	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x5703f8…
10-28 17:44:34	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7806a…
10-28 17:44:17	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x8fc443…
10-28 17:43:58	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	166	88¢	$145	0x8de61e…
10-28 17:37:14	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	1,079	96¢	$1,040	0xfabad6…
10-28 17:37:04	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	936	97¢	$912	0xf9d4ff…
10-28 17:36:58	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	837	97¢	$811	0x6b56f8…
10-28 17:29:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xdf9b1e…
10-28 17:25:07	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	471	98¢	$459	0x0cb632…
10-28 17:21:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x95f1c7…
10-28 17:21:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x358216…
10-28 17:21:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x02395e…
10-28 17:10:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,963	0¢	$2	0xacf9a9…
10-28 17:07:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8bce4f…
10-28 17:01:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9cfba8…
10-28 16:58:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x98dfb4…
10-28 16:46:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	153,780	0¢	$154	0x399640…
10-28 16:46:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,961	100¢	$1,953	0x63b70a…
10-28 16:46:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53a1ad…
10-28 16:45:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x145777…
10-28 16:43:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	246,270	0¢	$246	0x974afb…
10-28 16:41:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xdfe159…
10-28 16:41:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	141,601	0¢	$142	0x91923f…
10-28 16:41:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x95b63f…
10-28 16:40:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc9fba4…
10-28 16:40:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaea70b…
10-28 16:39:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	791,312	100¢	$788,938	0x3c6e75…
10-28 16:27:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,167	100¢	$2,160	0xabecc6…
10-28 16:27:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e4619…
10-28 16:26:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,667	100¢	$6,647	0xb78414…
10-28 16:26:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x8653b3…
10-28 16:25:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0xeb7689…
10-28 16:21:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x982587…
10-28 16:17:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x2a4803…
10-28 16:16:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,670	0¢	$5	0xcbdd60…
10-28 16:14:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1548c3…
10-28 16:11:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf3c63f…
10-28 16:10:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,860	0¢	$2	0x523e01…
10-28 16:07:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36cbb6…
10-28 16:06:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8,000	0¢	$8	0x241c36…
10-28 16:06:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x038077…
10-28 16:05:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,000	0¢	$4	0x86c489…
10-28 16:03:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xba4f44…
10-28 16:00:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x56f6ef…
10-28 15:59:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,919	0¢	$11	0xad1e0b…
10-28 15:57:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7e8482…
10-28 15:56:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,060	0x7008a5…
10-28 15:49:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31,186	0¢	$31	0xed3450…
10-28 15:47:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12,500	100¢	$12,450	0x91413a…
10-28 15:46:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1f5dd9…
10-28 15:46:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100,000	0¢	$100	0xb4a0a3…
10-28 15:45:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19,000	0¢	$19	0x22b658…
10-28 15:42:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,590	0¢	$6	0x949e51…
10-28 15:41:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,860	0¢	$2	0xc559af…
10-28 15:39:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50,000	0¢	$50	0x2778e5…
10-28 15:36:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfc3383…
10-28 15:36:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xcfc14f…
10-28 15:22:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x562be0…
10-28 15:18:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6e4a56…
10-28 15:16:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ba1d7…
10-28 15:16:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8afabe…
10-28 15:11:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x74654a…
10-28 15:07:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,000	0¢	$4	0x468e10…
10-28 15:07:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d4a4d…
10-28 15:07:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f7b05…
10-28 14:51:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,210	0¢	$1	0x2430a0…
10-28 14:50:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x288995…
10-28 14:47:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2fd09e…
10-28 14:43:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12a38b…
10-28 14:43:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,750	100¢	$8,715	0x7a5cdb…
10-28 14:43:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x14462d…
10-28 14:42:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xace98f…
10-28 14:41:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x00e847…
10-28 14:38:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a644b…
10-28 14:38:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e02ef…
10-28 14:35:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38,000	0¢	$38	0x5e8a24…
10-28 14:33:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	39,500	0¢	$40	0x55f721…
10-28 14:30:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xa93e58…
10-28 14:29:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,495	0¢	$2	0x61fab5…
10-28 14:29:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbdf291…
10-28 14:24:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,253	0¢	$1	0x1edb2a…
10-28 14:20:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xcc6463…
10-28 14:19:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d5942…
10-28 14:18:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8bba36…