Vain-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

355

Trades

6,220

lifetime

Volume

$66.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-12 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-225

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 646 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$206	150	150	+0	Down	+$47	05-10 16:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	50	$204	392	0	+392	Up	$-204	05-10 13:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	36	$201	387	0	+387	Down	$-201	05-09 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	27	$187	360	0	+360	Up	+$173	05-09 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	30	$181	346	0	+346	Down	$-181	05-09 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$168	326	0	+326	Down	+$159	05-09 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	6	$159	300	0	+300	Down	$-159	05-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	18	$159	300	0	+300	Down	+$141	05-09 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	26	$159	300	0	+300	Up	$-159	05-09 17:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	13	$156	295	0	+295	Down	$-156	05-09 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	11	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	15	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-28 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	15	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	18	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	28	$156	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	15	$155	298	0	+298	open	—	04-29 09:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$154	300	0	+300	Down	+$146	05-06 09:08
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$154	300	0	+300	open	—	05-01 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$154	300	0	+300	Up	+$146	05-05 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	7	$154	300	0	+300	Down	+$146	05-06 09:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$154	300	0	+300	Up	$-154	05-08 18:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	6	$154	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 07:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$154	300	0	+300	Down	+$145	05-09 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	18	$154	300	0	+300	open	—	05-01 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	21	$153	296	0	+296	Down	+$143	05-09 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$150	300	0	+300	Up	$-150	05-10 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	22	$149	288	0	+288	Up	$-149	05-10 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	24	$148	284	0	+284	Down	$-148	05-09 23:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 06:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xfa73a3…
05-12 06:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9e5754…
05-12 06:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfc6472…
05-12 06:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5206e6…
05-12 06:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x070934…
05-12 06:41:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x24fa14…
05-12 06:34:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbf2df6…
05-12 04:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf24c87…
05-12 04:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe5967b…
05-12 04:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x013a44…
05-12 02:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf0e078…
05-12 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x54aa74…
05-12 01:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa56dc2…
05-12 01:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa526c8…
05-12 01:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd98cbf…
05-12 01:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xfc50fa…
05-12 01:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xbc3e36…
05-12 01:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb0b8f6…
05-12 01:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x87ff80…
05-12 01:20:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc7ff1e…
05-12 01:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd72422…
05-12 01:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d9fdc…
05-12 01:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x50040e…
05-12 01:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x179206…
05-12 01:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd8cfbb…
05-12 01:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x1f809c…
05-12 01:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xb659f5…
05-12 01:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2c8574…
05-12 01:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x904c50…
05-12 01:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xf92af2…
05-12 01:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8cad1f…
05-12 01:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x977fae…
05-12 01:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xa1dbb0…
05-12 01:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x652376…
05-12 01:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xcba70e…
05-12 01:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7bdcaa…
05-12 01:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x74a93b…
05-12 00:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63e6e6…
05-12 00:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5241c7…
05-12 00:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a81fc…
05-12 00:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xaaeacf…
05-12 00:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x06632b…
05-12 00:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3250af…
05-12 00:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x4a9370…
05-12 00:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xfdc8bb…
05-12 00:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x291fec…
05-11 23:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaaa391…
05-11 23:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1f334d…
05-11 23:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xa2c66d…
05-11 23:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9e5ab0…
05-11 22:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xe84918…
05-11 22:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xaa9677…
05-11 22:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7d382a…
05-11 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe5382c…
05-11 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5a3dd2…
05-11 21:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x286a88…
05-11 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x52a013…
05-11 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2430f0…
05-11 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x998e41…
05-11 16:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x77103f…
05-11 16:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x593999…
05-11 16:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdb3c2f…
05-11 16:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6b9451…
05-11 16:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5a2afd…
05-11 14:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x325fc2…
05-11 14:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf9669…
05-11 14:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3273b6…
05-11 14:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x314c12…
05-11 14:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xdf3bd3…
05-11 14:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8523d5…
05-11 14:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xa2c161…
05-11 14:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x357572…
05-11 14:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xed07f1…
05-11 14:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf41ae7…
05-11 14:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x228072…
05-11 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x6b9e39…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf433b3…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xefc42d…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd9c4eb…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0xcabeae…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xbd5abd…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x8f208e…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0x4e690c…
05-11 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x3a8cf1…
05-11 03:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe2d315…
05-11 03:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x5c4f67…
05-11 03:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x506c47…
05-11 03:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x1a6fcb…
05-11 03:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe6a390…
05-11 03:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbdec7…
05-11 03:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaeaa96…
05-11 03:20:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x25dfeb…
05-11 03:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xec8652…
05-11 03:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e5332…
05-11 03:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x01cfc1…
05-11 03:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0ffe28…
05-11 03:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf5325c…
05-11 03:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb4c447…
05-11 03:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x3d1b64…
05-11 03:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0b38e7…