Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$159

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

115

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$107

13 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-13 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

47% 53% +$125

Politics

35% 53% -$3

Crypto

18% 61% +$43

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No		+31	$20	78¢	$24	+$4	11-06 12:41
Will Norway win on 2026-11-14?	Yes		+25	$20	80¢	$20	$0	11-13 21:54
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+16	$10	70¢	$11	+$1	11-06 12:43
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$10	93¢	$11	+$1	11-06 12:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+16	$10	46¢	$7	-$3	11-06 12:43
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+13	$12	47¢	$6	-$6	09-18 19:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes		+15	$10	40¢	$6	-$4	11-06 12:42
faa nationwide ground stop lifted by november 13 6pm et	No	—	+6	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-13 21:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+11	$10	46¢	$5	-$5	09-15 19:59
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	No	—	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-13 21:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes		+58	$11	8¢	$4	-$6	09-19 20:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+9	$2	18¢	$2	$0	10-15 19:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+16	$5	8¢	$1	-$4	07-24 00:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$365	244	244	+0	Yes	+$15	09-11 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$144	93	93	+0	No	+$42	05-31 13:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$104	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-11 23:37
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$90	153	153	+0	No	+$50	08-02 14:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$77	189	189	+0	open	—	07-28 10:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	3	$72	48	48	+0	Yes	+$25	05-04 16:02
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$51	143	143	+0	open	—	08-30 17:20
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$50	85	0	+85	Spain	+$35	07-17 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	2	$40	71	0	+71	No	+$31	08-27 22:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	11-03 22:00
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	3	$36	106	0	+106	Spain	-$36	07-14 20:23
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	2	$33	48	0	+48	No	-$33	10-01 14:27
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$30	47	0	+47	Yes	+$17	10-19 22:05
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$30	65	0	+65	Yes	+$35	06-29 22:31
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$25	50	0	+50	No	+$25	06-04 12:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$25	50	0	+50	Yes	-$25	06-14 23:52
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	07-21 15:33
will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	2	$21	183	183	+0	Yes	-$19	08-02 14:25
will bitcoin dip to 65k in september 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	09-27 18:32
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	1	$21	27	0	+27	No	+$6	09-15 20:18
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	2	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	09-19 20:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	11-04 00:04
Will Norway win on 2026-11-14?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	11-13 21:54
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$20	25	0	+25	Gen.G	+$5	11-07 21:59
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	-$20	09-15 20:05
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	11-06 12:41
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	+$14	09-15 19:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	04-08 23:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	09-15 19:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	08-12 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 21:59:09	faa nationwide ground stop lifted by november 13 6pm et	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbdf6cd…
11-13 21:58:01	FAA outage attributed to Iran?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd4393a…
11-13 21:54:21	Norway vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf44b72…
11-13 21:54:07	Will Norway win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x55f6c5…
11-09 00:12:06	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	T1	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x31899f…
11-08 22:10:55	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x119298…
11-08 22:10:40	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	T1	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc0fffe…
11-08 00:43:27	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x354faa…
11-07 22:57:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x6004dc…
11-07 21:59:58	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf82351…
11-07 21:59:12	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x94d9a8…
11-06 12:43:48	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8f3d6f…
11-06 12:43:22	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x519e03…
11-06 12:43:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x99a002…
11-06 12:42:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5faad4…
11-06 12:42:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x01f0fd…
11-06 12:41:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6638ec…
11-04 02:39:16	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xfd69aa…
11-04 02:39:04	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x2ea502…
11-04 00:29:09	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x9ce6be…
11-04 00:15:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x41f860…
11-04 00:05:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x9d59a1…
11-04 00:04:24	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x2814bb…
11-03 22:00:45	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xcd0548…
11-03 21:59:16	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf08d2a…
10-22 00:26:59	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x94a1d1…
10-19 22:05:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8cabef…
10-15 19:47:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9f76ad…
10-15 19:45:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x4b0f8f…
10-06 21:05:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x56c208…
10-06 21:04:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbae58a…
10-06 21:04:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x45b3df…
10-04 18:20:44	Portugal vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x61a80b…
10-04 18:20:32	Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc77c2f…
10-04 18:20:20	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb1c429…
10-01 14:27:24	Wales vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5db30c…
10-01 14:27:05	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x25ab3f…
10-01 14:26:38	Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x50dc16…
10-01 14:26:23	Norway to score first vs. Wales?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x012b9e…
09-27 23:28:38	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4ea5bc…
09-27 18:41:57	unl nor prt 2026 09 27 goals erling haaland 90064801 gte2	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$4	0x8cc74a…
09-27 18:40:56	Norway vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5ba641…
09-27 18:40:27	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x3d5a96…
09-27 18:38:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x19ee8c…
09-27 18:32:20	will bitcoin dip to 65k in september 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf622fa…
09-19 20:44:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xb21b78…
09-19 20:44:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x432ecc…
09-19 20:36:57	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x9c3355…
09-18 19:10:39	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x467226…
09-18 19:08:36	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd5ba84…
09-18 11:40:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf0bda7…
09-15 20:18:33	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x2f37d3…
09-15 20:11:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x31cd41…
09-15 20:11:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2eb5a1…
09-15 20:05:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x681923…
09-15 20:05:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5895d8…
09-15 20:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7f533b…
09-15 20:01:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1e7a26…
09-15 20:00:52	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 4	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x93b07f…
09-15 20:00:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7a23f5…
09-15 19:59:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x784b33…
09-15 19:59:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaeb11e…
09-15 19:59:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xccba8b…
09-15 19:58:42	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfb95cb…
09-15 19:58:18	will warsh say ai during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x09a02a…
09-15 19:40:21	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x6d8d18…
09-11 15:44:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	140	2¢	$2	0xb14917…
09-11 15:44:04	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	244	78¢	$190	0xa7f5fe…
09-05 20:03:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x33bcd2…
09-02 21:30:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	190	71¢	$135	0x1dfa4f…
08-30 17:20:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	143	15¢	$21	0x009618…
08-27 23:52:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xd18741…
08-27 22:36:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xe632c3…
08-27 00:53:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2a15d8…
08-17 18:52:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x14d072…
08-17 18:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd0739b…
08-12 13:54:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x9a87a1…
08-12 13:51:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x287016…
08-12 13:50:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x87205e…
08-12 13:49:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xea3d20…
08-12 13:48:16	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe11afb…
08-12 13:46:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa1eea1…
08-05 14:05:38	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xee67f0…
08-05 13:51:48	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2a25f2…
08-05 13:50:26	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x48f637…
08-05 13:50:15	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3b8b5b…
08-04 21:08:06	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe0dc58…
08-04 21:06:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x7517ed…
08-04 21:05:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x410dd3…
08-02 14:25:56	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	153	46¢	$70	0xf8fc3a…
08-02 14:25:48	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	183	1¢	$1	0x9f7b2a…
08-01 18:24:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0x387515…
08-01 18:24:42	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x831f85…
07-30 13:21:57	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xffe423…
07-29 19:05:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x8b9894…
07-28 10:42:02	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	189	20¢	$37	0x30eaf9…
07-27 20:26:45	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xecd031…
07-26 21:45:52	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	142	21¢	$30	0xfe07de…
07-26 21:45:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x902c4c…
07-26 21:40:09	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4a430a…