Lonely-Deposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

772

Trades

1,510

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-07 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

85% 25% -$125

Crypto

13% 54% +$88

Sports

2% 62% -$10

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes		-3	-$1	48¢	$-2	-$1	05-24 12:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 6?	2	$194	104	104	+0	No	+$12	06-06 17:04
chi xin ton 2026 08 01 total 2pt5	2	$92	100	100	+0	Under	+$90	08-02 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 3?	68	$84	107	13	+94	No	+$8	06-03 08:28
cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10 total games 2pt5	1	$64	92	0	+92	Over	-$64	06-10 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 7?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-07 17:55
lol blgj t1a 2026 06 09 game handicap home 1pt5	1	$53	72	0	+72	T1 Academy	+$20	06-09 06:26
lol nsea wbgy 2026 06 09 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$44	51	0	+51	Nongshim Esports Academy	+$7	06-09 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 12:26
val ge1 xlg 2026 06 10	4	$40	56	0	+56	XLG Gaming	-$40	06-10 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 21?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-21 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on May 21?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-21 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	36	$39	116	108	+8	No	+$0	06-03 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	5	$38	28	28	+0	Yes	-$2	09-16 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?	2	$30	38	38	+0	No	-$30	07-17 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 17?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-16 22:58
cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09 game1	1	$29	41	0	+41	Legacy	+$12	06-09 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	2	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 09:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 7?	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	06-06 14:53
col1 cab cdf 2026 08 03 total 2pt5	2	$26	25	25	+0	Under	+$22	08-04 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	06-10 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-24 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 24?	1	$20	28	0	+28	No	+$8	05-24 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 21?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-21 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 21?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 09:44
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$20	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	06-11 15:15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-03 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17?	4	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	09-16 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?	91	$18	37	37	+0	No	-$4	06-05 08:38
cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 map handicap away 1pt5	3	$15	21	0	+21	G2	+$5	06-08 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 17?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	09-18 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe396a7…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd60ffd…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xd2b77e…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xbc6f15…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9ebaf9…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x378b4b…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x29c0b7…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x1f4abd…
10-07 04:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x0ae22d…
10-07 04:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x7e16d0…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xfb7927…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe9b9e9…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe4b52c…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdb20e7…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd2dd36…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xbf6e8c…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xbd786f…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb90b10…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xb58b9b…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 8?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb33bd7…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 8?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xad676a…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa0c19d…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x9a8ca9…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x9609ad…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x87252e…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7721a8…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x74975c…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x74974f…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6c267b…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x58f2e8…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x566f49…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x5635f8…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 7?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x53ef41…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x4b840c…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x45fbce…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3e6cb4…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x35f41b…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x34fb98…
10-07 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x33437b…
10-07 04:13:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x2f2d05…
10-07 04:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb5065…
10-07 04:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb749f2…
10-07 04:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9853ae…
10-07 04:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x15053c…
10-07 04:05:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1d9359…
10-07 03:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x522221…
10-07 03:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 8?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57fb93…
10-07 03:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb5713d…
10-07 02:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd03ff9…
10-07 02:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x121c4a…
10-07 02:10:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfe78b7…
10-07 02:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 8?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x023de2…
10-07 02:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xec68c2…
10-07 02:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x54a77f…
10-07 02:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x26b6a3…
10-07 02:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f7d5a…
10-07 01:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x76f252…
10-07 01:05:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4f6222…
10-07 00:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca7c22…
10-07 00:21:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x931144…
10-07 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9980b5…
10-07 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8f0264…
10-07 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x52bf19…
10-07 00:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19fa80…
10-07 00:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdf61aa…
10-06 23:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x473e3b…
10-06 23:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3334d5…
10-06 23:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x85ee57…
10-06 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe937db…
10-06 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x434703…
10-06 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3158a9…
10-06 23:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x12bb6c…
10-06 22:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb86d06…
10-06 22:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x48c66d…
10-06 22:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x410fe0…
10-06 22:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7cf120…
10-06 22:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x35c1b9…
10-06 22:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf8068f…
10-06 22:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9998c8…
10-06 22:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1880e1…
10-06 22:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdfea62…
10-06 22:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 7?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x52e7ca…
10-06 22:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1901b1…
10-06 22:07:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47bdbd…
09-18 02:42:25	will canada become a european union association member by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe3c5f2…
09-18 02:42:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3feb95…
09-18 02:42:25	will canada become a european union association member by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3761bc…
09-18 02:42:24	Will Rodina finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xf2ed73…
09-18 02:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbb8989…
09-18 02:42:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x834e63…
09-18 02:42:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6ea6dc…
09-18 02:42:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x59250f…
09-18 02:13:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x84990c…
09-18 01:37:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x726b9a…
09-18 00:50:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb159f1…
09-17 22:11:21	will canada become a european union association member by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf6fbcb…
09-17 18:24:33	Will Rodina finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb4024…
09-17 18:15:12	will canada become a european union association member by june 30 2027	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73bb04…
09-17 17:29:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x57a41b…
09-17 15:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa4add9…