Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$590

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 08-19 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

47% 36% +$168

Crypto

26% 33% -$35

Sports

15% 50% -$11

Tech

7% 100% +$23

Politics

5% 40% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes		+62	$30	55¢	$34	+$4	08-03 19:37
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+70	$8	5¢	$3	-$5	08-03 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$64	69	69	+0	Yes	-$18	07-08 06:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$39	35	35	+0	Yes	+$23	07-31 11:06
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	1	$30	62	0	+62	open	—	08-03 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	2	$30	55	0	+55	Up	+$25	08-19 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:45 UTC	1	$25	89	0	+89	Down	-$25	08-19 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:55 UTC	1	$25	57	0	+57	Down	-$25	08-19 20:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	07-07 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:15 UTC	3	$17	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	08-19 21:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$16	42	42	+0	No	-$4	07-05 13:23
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	2	$15	167	167	+0	No	-$5	07-30 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:55 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Up	+$8	06-19 05:59
Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	08-03 19:51
will trump say football this week 20260612151047670	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	06-20 21:46
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$10	50	0	+50	Yes	+$40	06-20 21:49
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	-$10	07-25 14:19
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	+$15	07-27 02:08
fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	1	$10	20	0	+20	Tunisia	-$10	06-25 15:31
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	1	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	+$21	06-30 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	08-19 21:22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?	1	$10	74	0	+74	No	-$10	06-24 18:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	06-19 06:49
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	+$18	06-30 13:17
will trump say fifa this week 20260612151047667	1	$10	146	0	+146	No	-$10	06-20 21:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	1	$10	45	0	+45	No	-$10	06-25 15:32
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$10	19	0	+19	Belgium	-$10	07-06 14:05
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	06-19 10:50
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	1	$10	15	0	+15	Over	+$5	07-18 21:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	06-24 13:40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	06-25 15:32
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	1	$10	17	0	+17	Over	+$7	07-05 16:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 21:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1fe42c…
08-19 21:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa28783…
08-19 21:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x516387…
08-19 21:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8c3030…
08-19 21:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe76735…
08-19 21:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5494d9…
08-19 21:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x23d039…
08-19 20:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x3bb1f0…
08-19 20:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x2c48ff…
08-03 19:51:11	Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcc05ea…
08-03 19:48:42	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb9a316…
08-03 19:47:48	Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb1a67a…
08-03 19:46:54	will loki die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259193	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xede92a…
08-03 19:37:05	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xf5188a…
08-02 14:53:17	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb660d7…
07-31 11:06:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x68a27e…
07-30 20:48:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0d9218…
07-30 20:44:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x7faf1a…
07-30 20:42:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$5	0x3c5960…
07-29 15:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x2fefe5…
07-29 15:46:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2ff892…
07-29 15:42:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xd7910a…
07-29 15:40:54	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2ae543…
07-28 16:36:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8131a…
07-27 02:08:09	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4ddda9…
07-25 14:19:13	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x73c451…
07-24 13:51:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a489b…
07-24 13:48:49	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3fe649…
07-20 13:33:37	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1fa581…
07-19 06:44:09	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x712bea…
07-18 21:06:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8b5771…
07-08 06:07:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd44e01…
07-07 16:21:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7732a0…
07-07 16:19:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4357c4…
07-07 10:15:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x793c17…
07-07 02:22:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	62	25¢	$15	0xfebeb4…
07-06 14:15:43	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x28dbb3…
07-06 14:05:05	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe7454a…
07-05 16:31:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x18e119…
07-05 13:23:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0xd8091b…
06-30 13:17:32	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcdabe6…
06-30 13:17:22	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7c4e96…
06-28 01:47:43	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x464c7c…
06-28 01:30:46	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xd3e866…
06-27 12:20:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x793f38…
06-25 15:32:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x043b0d…
06-25 15:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2f8d63…
06-25 15:32:10	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7d0ac2…
06-25 15:31:40	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x975824…
06-24 18:15:10	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x23a08b…
06-24 18:12:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 26?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x24597c…
06-24 18:12:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 25?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x4d810c…
06-24 18:06:52	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6ace9d…
06-24 14:26:16	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8cb251…
06-24 14:24:41	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x765118…
06-24 14:24:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3f8da2…
06-24 13:40:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x47c722…
06-24 13:40:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8fb59a…
06-21 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5ccab4…
06-21 07:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x864614…
06-20 21:49:23	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x913fce…
06-20 21:47:20	will trump say fifa this week 20260612151047667	Yes	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0xc78c74…
06-20 21:46:49	will trump say football this week 20260612151047670	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x02ad78…
06-20 21:43:23	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x55b0c9…
06-20 21:42:41	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x8cb1d3…
06-19 10:50:16	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x89d4b2…
06-19 10:49:25	Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x98187e…
06-19 06:49:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x265b20…
06-19 06:46:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x30ad30…
06-19 06:23:35	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a06f0…
06-19 05:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x51d630…
06-19 05:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9bf870…
06-19 05:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6b8930…
06-19 05:57:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xbe1f15…