Distant-Derivation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

638

Trades

1,655

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-07 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Other

100% 48% +$2,055

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 23?	3	$412	213	213	+0	No	+$12	09-23 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 9?	4	$125	88	88	+0	Yes	+$25	06-09 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	2	$106	105	105	+0	Yes	+$104	09-03 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	7	$101	109	109	+0	Yes	+$61	07-02 07:11
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	3	$95	66	64	+2	Yes	+$34	04-12 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?	5	$83	101	101	+0	Yes	+$43	08-02 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?	7	$74	116	116	+0	No	+$51	08-23 07:49
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	3	$70	53	51	+2	Yes	+$31	04-14 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	5	$68	43	42	+0	Yes	+$8	05-08 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	2	$67	68	68	+0	Yes	+$65	10-13 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	2	$67	37	37	+0	Yes	+$7	04-26 02:09
highest temperature in chongqing on april 23 2026 26c	2	$66	37	36	+0	Yes	+$7	04-23 10:55
highest temperature in chengdu on april 21 2026 21c	2	$65	63	60	+3	Yes	+$58	04-21 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6?	8	$65	84	84	+0	No	+$3	08-06 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	5	$62	142	142	+0	No	+$42	07-02 08:48
highest temperature in chengdu on april 14 2026 27c	7	$62	334	319	+15	No	+$3	04-14 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	12	$62	265	265	+0	Yes	+$50	05-11 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 29?	2	$60	41	41	+0	Yes	+$20	04-29 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?	5	$60	51	51	+0	Yes	+$5	05-01 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2?	4	$60	83	83	+0	No	+$20	08-02 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 6?	3	$60	49	49	+0	No	+$20	05-06 03:51
highest temperature in chengdu on april 14 2026 26c	3	$60	64	62	+2	Yes	+$22	04-14 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23?	3	$58	41	41	+0	Yes	+$18	10-23 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	2	$57	52	52	+0	Yes	+$47	09-24 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	4	$56	37	37	+0	Yes	+$16	11-04 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?	4	$55	100	100	+0	No	+$15	07-02 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	4	$54	73	73	+0	Yes	+$28	08-22 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?	4	$54	79	79	+0	No	+$34	07-29 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	11	$52	158	158	+0	Yes	+$43	05-09 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	3	$52	53	53	+0	No	+$32	06-04 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x789ee3…
11-07 05:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x769ba9…
11-07 04:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbd774f…
11-07 04:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfa7a63…
11-07 03:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0x9ea786…
11-07 01:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x189a39…
11-06 07:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x66e359…
11-06 06:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8fa767…
11-06 06:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xb888af…
11-06 05:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc9aa48…
11-06 02:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd213fd…
11-06 02:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x201c1a…
11-06 02:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x82b360…
11-06 01:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x982157…
11-06 00:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x04f278…
11-06 00:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa10ba7…
11-05 08:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x26ed9a…
11-05 08:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x22453d…
11-05 08:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa73428…
11-05 08:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x62a0c7…
11-05 07:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd47cf8…
11-05 06:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x353468…
11-05 04:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2fe5cb…
11-05 03:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x30d685…
11-05 03:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x8e671f…
11-05 03:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xd7cf7d…
11-05 02:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x8c2474…
11-05 02:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x279e0f…
11-05 01:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xf97561…
11-05 01:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7bfb4b…
11-05 01:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cbd15…
11-05 01:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9cce74…
11-04 08:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1502c1…
11-04 07:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xe97be0…
11-04 07:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xca6beb…
11-04 07:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x3d7dfe…
11-04 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x514daf…
11-04 06:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb501d3…
11-04 06:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc15b8e…
11-04 05:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x1622bd…
11-04 04:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x032398…
11-03 08:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x33074a…
11-03 03:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x5b697d…
11-03 03:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x7c1040…
11-03 00:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xa04cc0…
11-02 03:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x9f7070…
11-02 02:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xa3c03e…
11-02 00:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x9b0093…
11-01 07:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xfe5193…
11-01 05:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x2dc5e2…
11-01 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xd0d0b7…
11-01 05:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x821e51…
11-01 03:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xca9d60…
11-01 03:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x8d5ebb…
11-01 03:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x0ff4e4…
11-01 02:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9ea161…
11-01 01:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x57ab20…
10-29 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xedb92f…
10-29 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x44cbd5…
10-29 05:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0xc78d78…
10-29 05:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xaab071…
10-29 05:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xa8d656…
10-29 05:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xc0c737…
10-29 04:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0x143910…
10-29 03:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa68099…
10-29 03:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf5dafe…
10-29 01:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xa76464…
10-29 01:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xc304da…
10-28 10:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9f4ada…
10-28 05:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x1a9a40…
10-28 05:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x104e39…
10-28 05:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x35fb00…
10-28 05:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xdf849d…
10-28 01:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd0e49b…
10-27 01:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xe7b4b4…
10-27 01:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x7f04b7…
10-27 01:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0xb4d8d2…
10-26 17:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x01dd4a…
10-26 14:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x5de676…
10-26 14:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1c2485…
10-26 11:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x602e72…
10-26 06:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	90	6¢	$6	0xb28737…
10-26 05:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x828722…
10-26 00:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc2ab1e…
10-26 00:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xb92e22…
10-26 00:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdda794…
10-25 04:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x49ed74…
10-25 03:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4d247a…
10-24 10:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6f5a61…
10-24 06:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x5f0e87…
10-24 04:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc75b1b…
10-24 03:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x074db2…
10-24 03:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xedf818…
10-24 03:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xcefb75…
10-24 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x6f0e73…
10-24 02:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4f4acb…
10-23 09:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xeba5e7…
10-23 08:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x6c1555…
10-23 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7736f2…
10-23 06:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x6d0390…