Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$268

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.4%

Resolved

Trades

19,661

lifetime

Volume

$324.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-05 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 23% $-206

Other

32% 25% $-57

Politics

14% 0% $-6

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1510 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	76	$4.4K	8,750	0	+8,750	open	—	03-05 17:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	60	$3.9K	7,571	0	+7,571	open	—	03-31 14:54
will company b be accused of insider trading	64	$3.6K	6,859	136	+6,723	open	—	02-25 19:34
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$3.4K	2,578	1,715	+863	open	—	02-12 18:55
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	64	$3.3K	6,617	0	+6,617	open	—	03-13 21:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	54	$3.1K	6,155	406	+5,749	open	—	03-01 02:37
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	50	$2.7K	5,408	0	+5,408	open	—	03-13 10:18
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	31	$2.7K	5,281	0	+5,281	open	—	04-01 10:46
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	51	$2.7K	4,962	271	+4,691	open	—	03-13 21:17
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	36	$2.7K	5,219	0	+5,219	open	—	03-25 09:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	37	$2.4K	4,751	0	+4,751	No	$-50	03-31 17:07
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	43	$2.1K	4,199	0	+4,199	open	—	03-29 16:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	33	$2.1K	4,121	0	+4,121	open	—	03-01 05:55
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	31	$2.0K	3,788	136	+3,652	open	—	02-28 05:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	41	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-01 06:02
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$2.0K	3,658	136	+3,523	open	—	02-28 23:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	28	$1.8K	3,633	0	+3,633	open	—	04-01 09:49
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	36	$1.6K	3,263	0	+3,263	open	—	03-03 02:35
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	26	$1.6K	3,162	0	+3,162	open	—	03-08 05:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	28	$1.6K	3,139	0	+3,139	open	—	03-01 05:50
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	25	$1.6K	3,116	136	+2,981	open	—	02-28 05:34
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	29	$1.6K	2,830	0	+2,830	open	—	03-31 19:22
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	24	$1.5K	2,956	0	+2,956	open	—	03-13 10:52
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	24	$1.5K	2,906	0	+2,906	open	—	02-28 20:14
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	35	$1.4K	2,061	2,061	+0	open	—	02-16 03:39
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	26	$1.4K	2,751	0	+2,751	open	—	02-23 11:28
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	35	$1.4K	2,966	136	+2,831	open	—	02-25 19:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	13	$1.4K	1,227	1,227	+0	open	—	02-16 03:05
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	14	$1.4K	2,417	676	+1,741	open	—	02-20 17:33
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	24	$1.4K	2,695	0	+2,695	open	—	03-01 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 00:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xa0ec44…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfdaa43…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xed98da…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xdc9eb8…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xc6a11e…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0xbf9fc5…
05-05 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1f6d7e…
05-05 00:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xb7e3f6…
05-05 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x8e3508…
05-05 00:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0x5e1278…
05-05 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	105	6¢	$6	0xef2c87…
05-05 00:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa551b6…
05-05 00:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x640530…
05-05 00:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x265055…
05-05 00:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x7267f8…
05-05 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x73c00f…
05-05 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x499ef4…
05-05 00:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xfbd597…
05-05 00:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0xb3cdfd…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$24	0xd1d993…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xc7302d…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xc651fa…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	151	6¢	$9	0x7e922c…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x58dd04…
05-05 00:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x32edb0…
05-05 00:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0xe00fba…
05-05 00:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x9cdb54…
05-05 00:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x11c2af…
05-05 00:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0e8fa1…
05-05 00:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xe1dc2e…
05-05 00:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x23138d…
05-05 00:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xd83890…
05-05 00:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x255f01…
05-05 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3d773c…
05-05 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xbd1423…
05-05 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb96e66…
05-05 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x215e8c…
05-05 00:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x61490b…
05-05 00:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$12	0x3b3ea4…
05-05 00:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xec3f12…
05-05 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xecfaeb…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xff45bf…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xf5efad…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xec7b53…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xcb809a…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbe2bf8…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xba3b19…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xba15c8…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x9f22ff…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9f0363…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x82fbd8…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4e7fa2…
05-05 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x44c2fb…
05-05 00:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xdb0bf2…
05-05 00:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x710cb7…
05-05 00:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x2f0eb3…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xee80c9…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd7edfa…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xd12170…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xbe384a…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xad2e89…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7f4d06…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6d596d…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x230683…
05-05 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x22ab50…
05-05 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x90c0e6…
05-05 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x8f1d7e…
05-05 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x412945…
05-05 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x08a2e5…
05-05 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0xcc96b3…
05-05 00:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xbc67a4…
05-05 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6d30d1…
05-05 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x50b57b…
05-05 00:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4a7963…
05-05 00:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x84097d…
05-05 00:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf75635…
05-05 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x97fa30…
05-05 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x3732ad…
05-05 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0f3ff7…
05-05 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdeaa55…
05-05 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x4077ee…
05-05 00:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	151	91¢	$138	0x2a1f17…
05-05 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xc1e0eb…
05-05 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	97	6¢	$6	0x1963e9…
05-04 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfcfe50…
05-04 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xedcab6…
05-04 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xed203f…
05-04 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xdf2dbc…
05-04 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6c52df…
05-04 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x7a4093…
05-04 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x71d919…
05-04 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf2b6c8…
05-04 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xbad6ef…
05-04 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6c313d…
05-04 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x41384b…
05-04 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x38378a…
05-04 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xa3fe37…
05-04 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x5bf6ad…
05-04 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x4f2b74…
05-04 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x494c17…