Regular-Bladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$34.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$206

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-13 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% +$10

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

17% 100% +$2

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-301	$-227	68¢	$-206	+$21	06-11 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	2	$1.2K	583	583	+0	No	+$2	05-10 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.1K	641	641	+0	open	—	06-28 02:29
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	5	$1.1K	550	550	+0	Down	+$18	05-12 19:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$1.1K	0	2,121	-2,121	No	$-4	03-30 20:18
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	open	—	02-25 21:13
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	6	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	03-25 07:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$958	486	486	+0	open	—	01-31 22:41
maduro mugshot released by january 9	12	$932	607	607	+0	open	—	01-09 13:19
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	7	$881	683	204	+479	open	—	02-01 00:41
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	2	$854	429	429	+0	open	—	01-08 02:53
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$794	0	1,600	-1,600	open	—	03-07 21:48
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$788	0	1,584	-1,584	open	—	04-16 21:35
will bitcoin dip to 54k june 1 7	1	$750	751	0	+751	open	—	06-07 20:58
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$684	685	0	+685	open	—	02-03 20:35
will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	3	$585	293	293	+0	open	—	03-31 20:52
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$546	276	276	+0	open	—	04-21 19:58
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	2	$546	0	1,167	-1,167	open	—	02-11 20:20
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$541	0	1,084	-1,084	open	—	03-11 20:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	2	$521	272	271	+0	open	—	01-31 18:51
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	3	$504	522	522	+0	open	—	01-10 15:51
another us strike on venezuela on january 6	2	$501	251	251	+0	open	—	01-07 09:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$499	997	0	+997	open	—	05-06 20:49
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$497	0	1,000	-1,000	open	—	03-26 18:32
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$479	286	286	+0	open	—	03-23 22:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$472	311	311	+0	open	—	04-23 18:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$471	274	274	+0	open	—	05-28 20:04
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$466	0	950	-950	open	—	03-23 21:10
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	4	$446	255	255	+0	open	—	02-12 19:52
will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837	3	$419	278	278	+0	open	—	02-20 18:38
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$415	217	217	+0	open	—	01-29 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 21:29:16	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x8d3ad8…
07-13 20:33:31	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x879d92…
07-13 20:26:23	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0x2c0fcb…
07-07 19:49:38	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x5677c5…
07-06 20:02:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xdbe201…
07-06 20:01:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x9dced2…
06-28 02:29:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	641	99¢	$631	0x228a4e…
06-11 20:32:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0xa304d3…
06-11 20:31:24	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	301	75¢	$227	0x686c7e…
06-07 20:58:43	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 1 7	No	BUY	751	100¢	$750	0x2b18a5…
06-07 08:10:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	179	98¢	$175	0x51d4cf…
06-06 09:20:07	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf26637…
06-06 09:20:07	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa2d126…
06-06 09:20:07	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0e6d73…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe7b77b…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdaccef…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xa399c9…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x9880ad…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x79b7e6…
06-06 09:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x34e546…
06-06 09:16:46	btc updown 15m 1780737300	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x785e2f…
06-06 09:03:45	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc82ea0…
06-06 09:03:45	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x46bf8d…
06-06 09:03:28	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f5beb…
06-06 09:03:28	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x84fdb5…
06-06 09:03:28	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x13fb0b…
06-06 09:02:19	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xbd68a9…
06-06 09:02:19	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x899ba0…
06-06 09:02:18	btc updown 15m 1780736400	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1a4142…
06-06 08:50:19	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Down	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x805d4f…
06-06 08:50:19	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x1b1461…
06-06 08:50:19	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x185a7f…
06-06 08:45:42	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x28919f…
06-06 08:45:40	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbbd48e…
06-06 08:45:40	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xadca18…
06-06 08:45:40	btc updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x013650…
06-06 08:32:06	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x81b489…
06-06 08:32:06	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6f965a…
06-06 08:32:06	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x6bd8bf…
06-06 08:32:06	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x390112…
06-06 08:32:06	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x237ff9…
06-06 08:30:15	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0xaac45d…
06-06 08:30:13	btc updown 15m 1780734600	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xcd4f78…
06-06 08:26:19	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x959c59…
06-06 08:26:18	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xf583eb…
06-06 08:26:18	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbc8340…
06-06 08:26:18	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb1bdb7…
06-06 08:26:18	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x9adbdd…
06-06 08:26:18	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x07a076…
06-06 08:16:01	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf7ccac…
06-06 08:16:01	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xe74bb1…
06-06 08:16:01	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x09bf07…
06-06 08:16:00	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa3d927…
06-06 08:16:00	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x8afaa8…
06-06 08:16:00	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x751d4c…
06-06 08:16:00	btc updown 15m 1780733700	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5c340f…
06-06 08:08:40	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x3ea425…
06-06 08:08:39	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xfa3be9…
06-06 08:08:39	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xc91f33…
06-06 08:08:39	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0a15d8…
06-06 08:00:15	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0xea8751…
06-06 08:00:15	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x7f1f0b…
06-06 08:00:15	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2eabbf…
06-06 08:00:15	btc updown 15m 1780732800	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x12517f…
06-06 07:50:18	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x905156…
06-06 07:50:18	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x68e475…
06-06 07:50:18	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x551b20…
06-06 07:50:18	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x0801e6…
06-06 07:50:16	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xbd02d1…
06-06 07:45:16	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd509c6…
06-06 07:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc05ab6…
06-06 07:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xb3b598…
06-06 07:45:15	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1ccdbb…
06-06 07:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xf7775a…
06-06 07:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd6bcbd…
06-06 07:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780731900	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x07175d…
06-06 07:31:09	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x25abbb…
06-06 07:31:07	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xe7c5a1…
06-06 07:31:07	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xcf23bb…
06-06 07:31:07	btc updown 15m 1780731000	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x486d05…
06-06 07:17:03	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	33	38¢	$12	0xc51568…
06-06 07:17:03	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7d68ea…
06-06 07:17:03	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x5e2040…
06-06 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb1f4a4…
06-06 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7e1b6d…
06-06 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x796549…
06-06 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x3671b9…
06-06 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1780730100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x330e3d…
06-06 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc2640a…
06-06 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb92fe3…
06-06 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa0ad31…
06-06 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x81df4b…
06-06 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x546112…
06-06 07:04:01	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xd9cdc0…
06-06 07:04:00	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3dc577…
06-06 07:01:09	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xfcd189…
06-06 07:01:09	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x6e0afc…
06-06 07:01:09	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x62ce92…
06-06 07:01:09	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x59125c…
06-06 07:01:09	btc updown 15m 1780729200	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x2c6b98…