Frightening-Choice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

499

lifetime

Volume

$635

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-09 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$9	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$8	10	9	+1	Up	$-0	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$6	8	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$6	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$6	8	8	+1	Down	$-0	05-08 00:43
btc updown 5m 1781047500	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-09 23:28
btc updown 5m 1780982700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-09 05:28
btc updown 5m 1780694700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 21:29
btc updown 5m 1780945800	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 19:13
btc updown 5m 1780911900	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 09:48
btc updown 5m 1780616700	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 23:47
btc updown 5m 1780614300	2	$5	5	4	+1	open	—	06-04 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 23:43
btc updown 5m 1780826100	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-07 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$4	6	5	+0	open	—	05-17 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-19 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:28:27	btc updown 5m 1781047500	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x0c8b6c…
06-09 23:27:54	btc updown 5m 1781047500	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3befff…
06-09 19:24:16	btc updown 5m 1781032800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x981291…
06-09 19:21:52	btc updown 5m 1781032800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfeadde…
06-09 18:47:10	btc updown 5m 1781030700	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8e3a14…
06-09 17:39:51	btc updown 5m 1781026500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x95582c…
06-09 17:36:48	btc updown 5m 1781026500	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xed2e06…
06-09 17:12:48	btc updown 5m 1781025000	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbec392…
06-09 16:27:21	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x243735…
06-09 16:21:46	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x290b2d…
06-09 16:11:48	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0d825d…
06-09 15:42:28	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdd8ccd…
06-09 14:59:07	btc updown 5m 1781016900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x389ee9…
06-09 14:57:12	btc updown 5m 1781016900	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd07078…
06-09 14:54:51	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2eee57…
06-09 14:51:48	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcf43da…
06-09 14:49:49	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01a633…
06-09 14:47:18	btc updown 5m 1781016300	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x39494e…
06-09 14:39:54	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e632e…
06-09 14:36:54	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5ffa16…
06-09 14:34:48	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0fe77d…
06-09 14:31:46	btc updown 5m 1781015400	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x062562…
06-09 14:30:00	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd0605e…
06-09 14:27:54	btc updown 5m 1781015100	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1bba52…
06-09 14:08:52	btc updown 5m 1781013900	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x2213ad…
06-09 14:07:16	btc updown 5m 1781013900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa29953…
06-09 08:12:04	btc updown 5m 1780992600	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa018e3…
06-09 05:28:21	btc updown 5m 1780982700	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa72fcb…
06-09 05:27:46	btc updown 5m 1780982700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcb36fd…
06-09 03:14:45	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec3515…
06-09 03:13:07	btc updown 5m 1780974600	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0416cd…
06-09 01:17:10	btc updown 5m 1780967700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9075bf…
06-09 00:32:31	btc updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfb5c6b…
06-08 19:13:28	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xb67c2f…
06-08 19:12:39	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9d9657…
06-08 16:02:13	btc updown 5m 1780934400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3a9930…
06-08 15:24:54	btc updown 5m 1780932000	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32ebfb…
06-08 15:21:51	btc updown 5m 1780932000	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfcf22d…
06-08 15:10:04	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfdcdae…
06-08 15:07:18	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x53c34e…
06-08 14:55:45	btc updown 5m 1780930200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe321a6…
06-08 14:52:54	btc updown 5m 1780930200	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdf9c05…
06-08 14:45:45	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaca793…
06-08 14:42:04	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb84e82…
06-08 14:23:42	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe50cd2…
06-08 14:20:48	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a2c44…
06-08 14:17:34	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe363e8…
06-08 14:02:25	btc updown 5m 1780927200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x443a26…
06-08 13:04:15	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x0f88a8…
06-08 13:03:31	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe3ed93…
06-08 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe27d51…
06-08 12:48:00	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x77210a…
06-08 12:08:58	btc updown 5m 1780920300	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00104f…
06-08 12:07:54	btc updown 5m 1780920300	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc6e186…
06-08 11:27:31	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x730273…
06-08 10:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780914900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe20cd5…
06-08 10:37:03	btc updown 5m 1780914900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfafc0b…
06-08 09:48:16	btc updown 5m 1780911900	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x3a86a4…
06-08 09:47:46	btc updown 5m 1780911900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf5dcb6…
06-08 07:27:54	btc updown 5m 1780903500	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e6069…
06-08 07:24:42	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc30ea…
06-08 07:23:01	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0faedf…
06-08 07:19:52	btc updown 5m 1780902900	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x518711…
06-08 07:17:39	btc updown 5m 1780902900	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe0e3e7…
06-08 01:24:52	btc updown 5m 1780881600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce26f8…
06-08 01:21:49	btc updown 5m 1780881600	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88d0a4…
06-08 01:17:42	btc updown 5m 1780881300	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x12642c…
06-07 23:58:54	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc9fb94…
06-07 23:56:49	btc updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa14954…
06-07 23:37:15	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x04ba5f…
06-07 23:24:54	btc updown 5m 1780874400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x522e0b…
06-07 23:21:54	btc updown 5m 1780874400	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfc1a3f…
06-07 22:27:10	btc updown 5m 1780871100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x499fb3…
06-07 21:02:49	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8a6389…
06-07 19:59:04	btc updown 5m 1780862100	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd21678…
06-07 19:57:49	btc updown 5m 1780862100	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2a1f6a…
06-07 18:08:45	btc updown 5m 1780855500	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7a440e…
06-07 18:07:13	btc updown 5m 1780855500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x65ca09…
06-07 16:23:24	btc updown 5m 1780849200	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf0e9fd…
06-07 16:22:57	btc updown 5m 1780849200	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x77c96e…
06-07 15:24:03	btc updown 5m 1780845600	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc668c0…
06-07 15:23:00	btc updown 5m 1780845600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x97a3ef…
06-07 15:08:52	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x55ab59…
06-07 15:07:33	btc updown 5m 1780844700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe3401f…
06-07 13:48:37	btc updown 5m 1780839900	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xec5708…
06-07 13:48:07	btc updown 5m 1780839900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfbd688…
06-07 09:58:13	btc updown 5m 1780826100	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xc0ca19…
06-07 09:57:40	btc updown 5m 1780826100	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa63c39…
06-06 14:53:31	btc updown 5m 1780757400	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x9851f5…
06-06 14:52:40	btc updown 5m 1780757400	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6d501d…
06-05 21:29:55	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xe67317…
06-05 21:27:57	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xceeee5…
06-05 20:44:16	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xcbf810…
06-05 20:42:51	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa400b2…
06-05 10:57:42	btc updown 5m 1780656900	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6bc51b…
06-04 23:47:55	btc updown 5m 1780616700	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x406b63…
06-04 23:47:37	btc updown 5m 1780616700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf1df91…
06-04 23:08:07	btc updown 5m 1780614300	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x8d79e4…
06-04 23:07:45	btc updown 5m 1780614300	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8b0ac8…
06-03 17:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xe5ba02…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	253	$82.5K	15,629	06-09 23:29
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	253	$74.3K	19,884	06-09 23:28
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	253	$73.6K	23,136	06-09 23:28
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	253	$66.8K	21,453	06-09 23:28
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	253	$66.6K	12,351	06-09 23:29
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	251	$39.3K	7,066	06-09 23:29
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	250	$316.7K	11,261	06-09 23:29
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	249	$243.8K	36,857	06-09 23:28