Yellow-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

9,496

Trades

13,189

lifetime

Volume

$74.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-26 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% -$1,223

Other

0% 38% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 427 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	2	$276	215	213	+2	Down	-$85	03-30 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:10 UTC	3	$260	167	166	+1	Up	-$46	03-31 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:10 UTC	2	$202	198	196	+2	Up	-$109	03-30 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:05 UTC	4	$173	194	63	+132	Up	-$127	03-30 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:55 UTC	2	$165	96	96	+0	Down	-$22	04-01 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 09:10 UTC	5	$163	179	72	+107	Down	+$10	04-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:25 UTC	2	$161	182	0	+182	Down	+$21	03-30 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 20:00 UTC	3	$157	164	0	+164	Up	+$7	03-28 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 07:50 UTC	4	$156	88	87	+1	Up	+$15	03-27 07:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 12:05 UTC	3	$153	143	142	+1	Up	-$107	03-31 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:30 UTC	4	$152	133	130	+3	Down	-$33	04-09 13:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:55 UTC	6	$148	157	0	+157	Up	+$10	03-28 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 05:55 UTC	1	$137	145	0	+145	Up	-$137	04-07 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:20 UTC	4	$136	93	91	+2	Down	-$3	04-07 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 10:10 UTC	3	$131	145	19	+126	Up	-$3	03-31 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 10:50 UTC	2	$131	143	0	+143	Up	+$13	03-31 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:25 UTC	5	$127	143	139	+4	Down	-$50	04-07 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:50 UTC	1	$121	131	0	+131	Up	+$10	04-07 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:00 UTC	3	$115	159	0	+159	Up	+$44	03-30 04:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:10 UTC	7	$111	114	0	+114	Down	+$3	03-28 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:05 UTC	2	$111	118	0	+118	Up	+$8	03-30 07:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:20 UTC	7	$110	114	0	+114	Down	+$4	03-28 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:20 UTC	1	$109	112	0	+112	Up	+$3	03-30 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:40 UTC	3	$106	154	32	+122	Up	+$48	03-30 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:45 UTC	4	$106	116	32	+84	Down	-$11	03-31 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:55 UTC	1	$105	112	0	+112	Down	+$7	03-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$105	91	91	+0	Up	+$5	05-16 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 13:55 UTC	2	$104	109	0	+109	Down	+$5	03-30 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:15 UTC	3	$104	131	0	+131	Up	+$28	03-31 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:00 UTC	4	$104	109	106	+3	Up	-$36	04-07 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x42aa3a…
10-26 19:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0c08b6…
10-26 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x7c7928…
10-26 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6e1d2a…
10-26 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x3949e0…
10-26 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x93a1b1…
10-26 16:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xd384ed…
10-26 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x874ad7…
10-26 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xec99a5…
10-25 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x6e6b9a…
10-25 20:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x777a34…
10-25 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x19a38a…
10-25 20:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x40a676…
10-25 17:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x0bdd89…
10-25 17:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x261fda…
10-25 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x6f364e…
10-25 17:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7c03e1…
10-25 17:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2849d3…
10-25 17:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x7bd125…
10-25 17:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x69fb8d…
10-25 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe40da6…
10-25 13:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe5a656…
10-25 13:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xce24b8…
10-25 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x812686…
10-25 13:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0bdc5d…
10-25 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1d724e…
10-25 12:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4e7a73…
10-25 11:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x617690…
10-25 10:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd92140…
10-25 10:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x75909a…
10-25 10:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7cb107…
10-25 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x956789…
10-25 10:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf89126…
10-25 10:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5b5ce6…
10-25 10:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9a5855…
10-25 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xafda54…
10-25 09:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x89c9f9…
10-25 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x952c91…
10-24 15:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa00ad5…
10-24 15:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaf845e…
10-24 15:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x06fcac…
10-24 15:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4faf0f…
10-24 15:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xc459bf…
10-24 15:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7f8954…
10-24 14:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0x60afec…
10-24 14:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5bb821…
10-24 14:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x667189…
10-24 14:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x908036…
10-24 14:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xefb3a5…
10-24 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x51373e…
10-24 14:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x58b85d…
10-24 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4cbaf4…
10-24 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x039a31…
10-24 12:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xf15f80…
10-24 12:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbecced…
10-24 10:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xc24393…
10-24 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x66b686…
10-24 09:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x7fd949…
10-24 09:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x971595…
10-23 20:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x4d9c14…
10-23 20:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf6e99f…
10-23 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xb2afe2…
10-23 20:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x93275e…
10-23 20:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2be140…
10-23 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab14ef…
10-23 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x767334…
10-23 20:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xeffe89…
10-23 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x694702…
10-23 20:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xeef124…
10-23 20:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc00c20…
10-23 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf773d3…
10-23 18:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd0e5ad…
10-23 17:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x619ac3…
10-23 11:55:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x4a7848…
10-22 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x01965c…
10-22 20:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5e5d17…
10-22 20:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x898efc…
10-22 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e0254…
10-22 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84729a…
10-22 19:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x981977…
10-22 19:56:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 23?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9414a5…
10-22 19:29:29	Will T1 win a fourth straight Worlds title?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x7108ba…
10-22 19:29:05	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x259a55…
10-22 00:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4b4ea4…
10-21 15:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 21?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xee2f1a…
10-21 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x3c9579…
10-21 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f6221…
10-21 06:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x5af688…
10-21 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5767bb…
10-21 06:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde9a82…
10-21 04:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2cea42…
10-21 04:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 21?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x925a8d…
10-21 04:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x85f4ba…
10-21 04:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa6d916…
10-20 15:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x916b1c…
10-20 07:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa67ddf…
10-20 07:30:07	Will T1 win a fourth straight Worlds title?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb6825e…
10-20 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x06714d…
10-20 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f53aa…
10-20 06:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4aa852…