Ethical-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-30 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

41% 50% +$1

Other

24% 57% -$2

Crypto

23% 60% -$1

Tech

12% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	05-30 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:35:40	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x30c14c…
05-30 15:33:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdbe4a3…
05-30 15:33:29	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd61251…
05-30 15:32:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x092408…
05-30 15:29:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6b5246…
05-28 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2c0f6d…
05-28 10:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x672b5f…
05-12 04:49:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa9a3a1…
05-12 04:40:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6c5b9a…
05-12 04:39:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $225?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd2838…
05-12 03:32:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x829a24…
05-12 03:26:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x3c425e…
04-27 04:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6f3762…
04-20 13:45:46	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0468e9…
04-18 09:09:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xdc568a…
04-18 01:22:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8134d3…
04-17 18:06:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd20c9…
04-17 18:05:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc7ca9…
04-17 18:03:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x775f3b…
04-16 03:06:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcda1fa…
04-16 02:59:06	will nvda reach 204 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5da11b…
04-16 02:57:48	nvda close above 185 on april 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc4ef9…
04-16 02:53:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe3d707…
04-16 02:52:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbf501c…
04-16 02:51:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x553f3d…
04-16 02:51:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc3bec5…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$2	04-18 09:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	04-17 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-28 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 18:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	05-30 15:29
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	143	0	+143	Yes	-$1	05-12 03:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-12 04:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-12 04:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-30 15:33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-20 13:45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	05-12 03:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-16 02:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	11	0	+11	Yes	-$1	04-16 02:51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	05-30 15:32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $225?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-12 04:39
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	05-30 15:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	-$1	04-16 02:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-30 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	04-27 04:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-16 02:53
will nvda reach 204 by april 13 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	04-16 02:59
nvda close above 185 on april 16 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-16 02:57