Key-Shelf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

21,558

Trades

46,044

lifetime

Volume

$96.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-14 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 45% -$2,520

Politics

12% 44% -$1,492

Other

7% 44% -$332

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$3.1K	4,918	4,918	+0	No	-$600	03-22 12:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	18	$2.9K	2,852	2,852	+0	Yes	+$88	03-24 17:49
iran leadership change by march 31	6	$1.3K	3,605	3,605	+0	No	-$521	03-24 21:51
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$1.1K	709	709	+0	No	-$7	03-09 11:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$1.0K	570	570	+0	Yes	+$88	03-07 02:17
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$925	1,906	1,906	+0	No	-$275	03-24 21:51
bitcoin up or down march 14 4pm et	6	$889	947	507	+440	Up	-$24	03-14 20:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$778	460	460	+0	Yes	+$134	03-08 21:46
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$761	636	636	+0	No	-$39	03-09 14:42
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$670	383	383	+0	No	+$12	03-12 16:04
bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	7	$651	592	588	+4	Down	+$75	03-15 00:40
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$574	814	814	+0	No	-$26	03-09 18:47
bitcoin up or down march 14 5pm et	6	$559	669	659	+10	Down	-$38	03-14 21:20
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	2	$521	400	400	+0	Yes	+$273	03-08 21:47
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	9	$505	4,026	4,026	-0	No	-$96	03-09 01:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$472	286	286	+0	No	+$72	03-09 02:00
bitcoin up or down march 14 6pm et	4	$469	422	294	+129	Down	+$33	03-14 22:48
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7am et	7	$457	361	358	+4	Up	-$34	03-15 12:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$380	467	467	+0	No	-$20	03-08 14:01
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	1	$312	13,345	0	+13,345	No	-$312	03-08 21:48
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$300	805	0	+805	No	-$300	03-05 01:15
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$290	991	991	+0	No	+$10	03-17 21:16
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	5	$267	400	400	+0	No	-$101	03-08 10:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	3	$258	200	200	+0	Yes	+$142	03-08 21:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$239	400	400	+0	Yes	+$103	03-08 10:29
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 6am et	9	$235	249	246	+3	Down	+$38	03-15 11:01
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	2	$223	121	121	+0	Up	+$16	03-16 20:00
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$221	192	192	+0	$80k	+$21	03-17 14:14
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 12pm et	5	$209	255	146	+109	Up	-$49	03-16 16:25
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$187	125	125	+0	No	-$6	03-16 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:28:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xbc1dc2…
06-11 06:21:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xc61d27…
06-11 06:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb53fa1…
06-11 06:15:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x803a7f…
06-11 06:10:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x00011d…
06-11 06:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x981fc5…
06-11 06:06:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xdb8323…
06-11 06:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x5b2bb2…
06-11 06:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xcff593…
06-11 06:00:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x09ee84…
06-11 05:58:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d7b32…
06-11 05:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x9b84d2…
06-11 05:50:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x39ee7a…
06-11 05:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf20c54…
06-11 05:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd6a84c…
06-11 05:45:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7a2295…
06-11 05:40:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf1723c…
06-11 05:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x8e2836…
06-11 05:36:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0144c8…
06-11 05:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd65cfa…
06-11 05:32:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5dea20…
06-11 05:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1f3714…
06-11 05:25:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3c78b4…
06-11 05:21:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x88de10…
06-11 05:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xcf499d…
06-11 05:15:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x63979c…
06-11 05:11:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x3de947…
06-11 05:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf5adb3…
06-11 05:05:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x72e8ea…
06-11 05:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1e01fe…
06-11 05:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d2af4…
06-11 04:55:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xb2d4fe…
06-11 04:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x655280…
06-11 04:51:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x31cc3b…
06-11 04:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$2	0x2ddd30…
06-11 04:46:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x93c109…
06-11 04:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x79c5ae…
06-11 04:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4dd881…
06-11 04:40:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd53a18…
06-11 04:36:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x478f9b…
06-11 04:36:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xc27d38…
06-11 04:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2d16fb…
06-11 04:32:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x73abcf…
06-11 04:26:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xe6e886…
06-11 04:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2b4d61…
06-11 04:20:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xbf6590…
06-11 04:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0f685f…
06-11 04:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x365a69…
06-11 04:16:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xa6b129…
06-11 04:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x7fedee…
06-11 04:10:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xfbe8dc…
06-11 04:05:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x30c772…
06-11 04:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1a5dc2…
06-11 04:00:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x0de426…
06-11 04:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2a43ef…
06-11 03:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x092edf…
06-11 03:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x37a8c4…
06-11 03:52:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x58e6ae…
06-11 03:46:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xf35682…
06-11 03:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x787031…
06-11 03:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x99d586…
06-11 03:35:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8574df…
06-11 03:31:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xf6768a…
06-11 03:25:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6e24c7…
06-11 03:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x02777a…
06-11 03:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1def4f…
06-11 03:21:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x9ec98b…
06-11 03:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb27a13…
06-11 03:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdc939f…
06-11 03:10:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa8cf2e…
06-11 03:09:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x7b6b4d…
06-11 03:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x419ba0…
06-11 02:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe14b82…
06-11 02:55:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xbfb0b7…
06-11 02:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xac56aa…
06-11 02:50:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x98d5d0…
06-11 02:46:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xde30ba…
06-11 02:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0f5748…
06-11 02:42:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x6515d0…
06-11 02:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x9744ca…
06-11 02:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x0c5409…
06-11 02:35:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x7f88ed…
06-11 02:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x7d6d2c…
06-11 02:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6a96c7…
06-11 02:25:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc50d69…
06-11 02:21:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x0915ad…
06-11 02:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x9bbc6b…
06-11 02:15:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb1fd6e…
06-11 02:11:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfd3d6e…
06-11 02:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xe7dca6…
06-11 02:00:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xdc6edc…
06-11 02:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xbed331…
06-11 01:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x54ba84…
06-11 01:55:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb59c0e…
06-11 01:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5dd265…
06-11 01:50:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x90b45a…
06-11 01:47:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xb321b5…
06-11 01:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd656bd…
06-11 01:40:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa68e5f…
06-11 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7753d2…