Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.51K

Unrealized P&L

-$396

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

102

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$41.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$454

5 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-27 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

80% 70% -$456

Politics

20% 100% +$1,968

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	+246	$201	88¢	$216	+$15	10-23 21:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,837	$557	6¢	$184	-$372	10-26 14:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$34	86¢	$43	+$9	09-21 20:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+49	$26	16¢	$8	-$18	09-20 15:38
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+189	$33	2¢	$3	-$29	10-04 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	9	$2.7K	5,341	2,504	+2,837	open	—	10-26 14:32
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	7	$1.5K	1,979	1,979	+0	Diana Shnaider	-$661	10-23 11:46
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	9	$1.5K	805	805	+0	Yes	+$86	09-21 18:05
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	13	$1.4K	1,055	1,055	+0	Alycia Parks	+$9	10-24 05:50
Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	4	$1.3K	905	905	+0	Marie Bouzkova	+$126	10-23 06:57
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	3	$1.3K	731	731	+0	Ekaterina Alexandrova	+$125	10-06 05:38
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	7	$1.2K	921	921	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$243	10-23 09:43
Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini	4	$1.2K	801	801	+0	Iva Jovic	-$17	10-22 06:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.1K	993	993	+0	Yes	+$823	09-22 19:27
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	6	$1.0K	574	574	+0	Yes	+$23	09-26 13:12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	13	$946	890	890	+0	Yes	+$817	09-22 19:27
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$911	632	632	+0	No	+$25	10-04 20:55
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	6	$910	629	629	+0	Yes	+$24	10-04 20:58
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	4	$903	1,325	1,325	+0	Yes	-$256	10-06 06:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	2	$821	498	498	+0	open	—	10-25 02:25
fif chn mdv 2026 09 24 total 2pt5	2	$775	393	393	+0	Over	+$4	09-24 12:58
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	6	$766	544	544	+0	Maya Joint	+$36	10-27 03:12
US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	5	$733	405	405	+0	Yes	+$31	09-26 13:11
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	4	$730	398	398	+0	Yes	+$46	09-21 18:04
Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur	7	$694	556	556	+0	Katarzyna Kawa	+$34	10-20 14:34
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	10	$667	500	500	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$27	10-24 09:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	3	$663	364	364	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	3	$617	669	669	+0	open	—	10-11 02:53
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	4	$615	396	396	+0	open	—	10-04 01:51
Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek	6	$605	506	506	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$105	10-21 12:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$600	371	371	+0	No	+$9	09-11 17:23
wta swiatek chwalin 2026 10 17	3	$591	331	331	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$71	10-17 13:55
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	6	$567	340	340	+0	Yes	-$8	09-12 22:31
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	3	$495	299	298	+0	open	—	10-11 23:27
Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic	2	$484	385	385	+0	Katarzyna Kawa	+$284	10-22 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:09:38	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xfd8229…
10-27 05:07:57	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Yulia Putintseva	SELL	112	37¢	$42	0x24efab…
10-27 04:09:53	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x715b70…
10-27 03:51:59	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x7079ed…
10-27 03:50:59	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	SELL	81	48¢	$39	0xb95923…
10-27 03:41:54	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x417303…
10-27 03:32:30	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xae1d46…
10-27 03:12:14	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0x722307…
10-27 03:06:21	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	338	74¢	$250	0xe60e49…
10-27 03:06:00	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	SELL	127	20¢	$25	0xb9eb4f…
10-27 02:40:59	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	127	51¢	$65	0x198c16…
10-27 02:40:32	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	SELL	79	49¢	$38	0x11738d…
10-27 02:15:02	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x1a2802…
10-27 02:02:33	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0xb3f9cf…
10-26 14:32:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xf84431…
10-26 14:25:00	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7dc2a0…
10-26 06:18:26	Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x799906…
10-26 05:44:21	Guangzhou Open: Daria Snigur vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xbb6e51…
10-26 05:05:18	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xedd950…
10-26 03:39:45	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x3518ab…
10-26 03:19:06	Pan Pacific Open: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x749f41…
10-26 02:27:32	Pan Pacific Open: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	72	76¢	$55	0x10d3ee…
10-26 00:53:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x898439…
10-25 22:12:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x55638b…
10-25 22:09:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x763b00…
10-25 22:09:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x76130f…
10-25 22:09:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xcbd6fc…
10-25 22:09:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xb8d883…
10-25 22:09:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0xb1f726…
10-25 22:09:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x92dce6…
10-25 22:09:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x524061…
10-25 22:09:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x43d18f…
10-25 22:09:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x3be33b…
10-25 22:08:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xb3b8bb…
10-25 22:08:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xaf9d59…
10-25 17:40:21	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$25	0xbd4688…
10-25 17:31:03	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$31	0x1239e2…
10-25 14:40:27	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 20% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xfe30a0…
10-25 11:01:57	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Elena Rybakina	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0x7029e0…
10-25 08:06:56	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x03c894…
10-25 04:44:08	Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	103	68¢	$70	0xe19015…
10-25 04:23:03	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x105f12…
10-25 02:26:47	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2886dc…
10-25 02:25:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	498	82¢	$408	0x29b0a8…
10-25 02:20:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	498	83¢	$413	0x69e3ba…
10-25 00:59:17	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Elena Rybakina	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0xac27d0…
10-24 11:30:00	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x85df08…
10-24 10:11:30	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xa7d82e…
10-24 09:58:59	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	77	29¢	$22	0x32caed…
10-24 09:54:23	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x2bf9a5…
10-24 09:28:12	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	141	87¢	$123	0x2b1346…
10-24 09:11:05	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe5067a…
10-24 09:10:57	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	88	29¢	$25	0xfb1ed5…
10-24 08:58:32	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0x976ecb…
10-24 08:48:42	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	220	78¢	$172	0x832197…
10-24 08:39:21	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x9a7d6f…
10-24 08:05:03	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x463705…
10-24 08:02:20	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x9abf43…
10-24 07:55:26	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd727ac…
10-24 07:55:15	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xbe0983…
10-24 07:29:48	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	182	93¢	$169	0x697ee3…
10-24 06:32:24	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	SELL	74	35¢	$26	0xa64297…
10-24 06:32:06	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x87b1e9…
10-24 06:23:29	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xe9bc9d…
10-24 06:22:36	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	89	48¢	$43	0xfc12ae…
10-24 05:52:45	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x710030…
10-24 05:52:30	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x9474d3…
10-24 05:50:35	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	373	99¢	$369	0x12ef60…
10-24 05:33:05	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	373	67¢	$250	0xf72704…
10-24 05:28:59	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	274	60¢	$165	0xb84e73…
10-24 05:28:30	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	SELL	217	39¢	$85	0x036c58…
10-24 05:27:39	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x4b7417…
10-24 05:24:24	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x3e4979…
10-24 05:23:50	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	SELL	136	51¢	$69	0x369651…
10-24 05:08:21	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xef7bed…
10-24 05:04:02	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x12df88…
10-24 05:02:30	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x8ad159…
10-24 05:02:20	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x0279b5…
10-24 04:46:59	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe4c852…
10-24 03:44:21	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks	Ena Shibahara	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x1c7fd7…
10-24 03:00:39	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Yulia Starodubtseva	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x25db07…
10-24 02:51:18	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe1e008…
10-24 02:14:18	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0ef3c1…
10-23 21:12:20	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	246	82¢	$201	0x8fe422…
10-23 11:46:15	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	SELL	1,169	3¢	$35	0x2775e4…
10-23 11:08:24	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	462	54¢	$249	0x360291…
10-23 11:05:00	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	1,169	48¢	$561	0x6ec9d3…
10-23 10:19:09	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x7963b0…
10-23 10:18:54	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	SELL	349	36¢	$126	0x60f5af…
10-23 10:12:56	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x214729…
10-23 09:48:44	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	153	72¢	$110	0x62bbab…
10-23 09:43:39	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	528	100¢	$527	0x5f4334…
10-23 08:38:50	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	528	48¢	$253	0x38f1dd…
10-23 08:38:12	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	SELL	253	52¢	$132	0x99a92b…
10-23 07:47:36	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x33af09…
10-23 07:13:36	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	118	55¢	$65	0x8fc3ac…
10-23 07:12:59	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	140	45¢	$63	0x197c27…
10-23 07:02:41	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x0542ad…
10-23 06:57:05	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	667	100¢	$666	0x8c6947…
10-23 06:28:08	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x8f984e…