Harmful-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$0

Other

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-04 14:39
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-08 01:46
bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-14 00:33
bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-09 02:22
bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-11 02:33
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-10 02:43
bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-13 01:36
bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	06-15 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:53
bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	06-07 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-28 02:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-30 02:54
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	06-04 02:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-19 02:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-14 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-15 02:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	05-09 23:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-29 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	05-13 02:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-20 02:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:14
bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	06-05 01:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	06-03 03:28
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	06-06 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-18 03:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-27 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	05-07 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	05-06 02:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	05-09 03:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-08 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:36:21	bitcoin above 72k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe99299…
06-14 00:33:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x1067d3…
06-13 01:36:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe15777…
06-11 02:33:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd2f63c…
06-10 02:43:01	bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xd930a0…
06-09 02:22:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc6b46c…
06-08 01:46:52	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x6aea2b…
06-07 01:55:22	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8143ee…
06-06 03:06:01	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xad083c…
06-05 01:53:52	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x60c9f4…
06-04 02:05:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x728908…
06-03 03:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xade5c2…
05-30 02:54:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xda7532…
05-29 02:31:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xcbfbb5…
05-28 02:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x717334…
05-27 03:55:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x348898…
05-20 02:42:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc741e6…
05-19 02:25:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x81c1c1…
05-18 03:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x45a4ff…
05-15 02:29:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xafd090…
05-14 02:31:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x780647…
05-13 02:06:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xac9a3f…
05-12 03:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb3d985…
05-11 02:14:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5f6d7b…
05-09 23:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xe3b15a…
05-09 03:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa5088d…
05-08 03:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbb2eb3…
05-07 03:15:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4a0be6…
05-06 02:38:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x87fd92…
05-02 01:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x28cb17…
05-01 01:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe0129f…
04-28 02:46:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x57b175…
04-26 02:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8fd533…
04-25 02:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x511e5f…
04-24 03:02:14	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcea038…
04-23 02:38:32	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	32	88¢	$29	0x8c4651…
04-22 03:39:34	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x4ee3d4…
04-21 04:30:26	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x909514…
04-20 03:46:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5ccf18…
04-17 03:59:46	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf989b8…
04-16 04:23:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef9604…
04-15 02:52:10	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x03720e…
04-14 02:52:17	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x07b159…
04-13 02:51:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xcb6c9b…
04-12 02:16:17	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd27a57…
04-11 02:28:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2ad9ee…
04-08 02:40:39	bitcoin above 64k on april 8	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf0fb98…
04-07 04:37:15	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6120cd…
04-05 23:36:09	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x791a3c…
04-01 03:17:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeea010…
03-31 02:25:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd8c23d…
03-30 06:01:30	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2bcce5…
03-27 03:29:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x27768a…
03-26 04:04:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeba7bd…
03-26 04:03:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a6374…
03-26 04:03:35	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f41e8…
03-26 04:03:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a09d2…
03-25 04:10:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0ddcf6…
03-24 02:50:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef9a8e…
03-21 03:24:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 21	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x42de74…
03-20 03:55:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 20	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x022c9d…
03-19 03:12:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2ce4b2…
03-17 04:28:05	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x749901…
03-14 02:49:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0de331…
03-13 02:08:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x398aac…
03-11 03:58:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0456b5…
03-10 04:15:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 10	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x68caa0…
03-09 03:59:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x00db90…
03-08 05:02:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x00bdb2…
03-07 03:57:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe4af00…
03-05 03:00:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4e9a4e…
03-04 14:44:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x851239…
03-04 14:39:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x5fe7ee…
03-04 05:03:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7edbfc…
03-02 04:35:55	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4cd8cd…
02-27 04:56:18	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd074b8…
02-26 14:25:24	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x75f1cd…
02-25 13:14:32	bitcoin above 60k on february 25	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x18b5c2…
02-23 13:42:04	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x02b05f…
02-21 00:42:36	bitcoin above 60k on february 21	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xabc9e2…
02-16 13:16:45	bitcoin above 64k on february 16	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x95b70c…
02-15 04:37:15	bitcoin above 62k on february 15	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x76cd37…
02-14 04:07:11	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe9ef7c…
02-14 03:58:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcc95d0…
02-14 03:58:51	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1ffa40…
02-13 04:19:03	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbb1bfd…
02-12 13:08:11	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc765b9…
02-12 04:43:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdf15e0…
02-11 07:43:01	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x15ff03…
02-11 04:40:05	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64d582…
02-09 03:56:37	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x16a613…
02-04 04:53:04	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x76c814…
02-03 05:17:02	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf200f1…
02-02 04:51:02	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcc54be…
02-01 04:39:46	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcb80cc…
01-31 04:25:50	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4e78c2…
01-28 05:04:53	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb23c89…
01-27 04:32:39	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7a854b…
01-26 04:50:52	bitcoin above 94k on january 26	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8ac05a…
01-23 04:45:04	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee88d0…