Offbeat-Wilderness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$401

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-27 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

39% 25% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

26% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 08:39
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 03:12
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 08:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 03:21
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 10:12
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 06:58
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:36
will doly begum win the by election for the seat of scarborough southwest in the house of commons of canada	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 03:17
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 03:16
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:04
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 07:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 08:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:35
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:28
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 06:32
will khamenei tweet again on march 14 2026 875	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:08
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 06:59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:12
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-08 07:56
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 03:40
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 02:36
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 07:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 07:33:51	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2dfc6b…
07-27 07:23:58	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe35b88…
07-25 08:26:33	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4a5a56…
07-25 08:20:22	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b9936…
07-25 08:16:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbec992…
07-25 08:11:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ccb6d…
07-24 08:28:57	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf0ec54…
07-24 08:17:09	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52caa6…
07-24 08:12:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61b92d…
07-24 08:08:27	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x860f73…
07-23 08:46:48	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8bec87…
07-23 08:39:27	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6825ea…
07-23 08:37:27	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xbf2c1c…
07-23 08:33:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe2e297…
07-22 08:19:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfec94f…
07-22 08:03:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe7fa50…
07-22 07:57:46	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0da0bc…
07-22 07:48:36	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31e106…
07-21 07:34:39	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0725a1…
07-21 07:25:12	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x826434…
07-20 08:25:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x42b518…
07-20 08:16:18	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb47af2…
07-20 08:09:51	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xd60a03…
07-20 08:07:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaecf2d…
07-18 08:10:19	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb2fc3e…
07-18 08:01:43	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x17bfef…
07-18 07:55:34	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1b44e1…
07-18 07:46:12	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x42d9fb…
07-17 07:32:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x458e8f…
07-17 07:21:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x599edd…
07-16 08:39:19	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x04d03d…
07-16 08:32:29	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7b9bb6…
07-16 08:28:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x933228…
07-16 08:22:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x78e397…
07-15 08:36:44	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1ba02b…
07-15 08:27:55	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ec529…
07-15 08:24:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe1cd3e…
07-15 08:15:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x53b1c1…
07-14 08:22:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeeba05…
07-14 08:12:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x889a0a…
07-14 08:01:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f0b46…
07-14 07:54:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b5be4…
07-13 08:16:56	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9964f6…
07-13 08:03:04	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0aadf2…
07-11 08:29:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x743f9e…
07-11 08:19:40	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x65d2ee…
07-10 08:49:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf75ccf…
07-10 08:31:55	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd7de1…
07-10 08:26:59	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2005bb…
07-10 08:15:56	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45c5e8…
07-09 07:53:59	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb2c4a7…
07-09 07:44:50	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x91b8ae…
07-09 07:37:37	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xee4c5f…
07-09 07:28:08	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb5e73…
07-08 07:56:47	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x074bcf…
07-08 07:46:46	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cbe6c…
07-08 07:42:17	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec1934…
07-08 07:33:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08ec9e…
07-07 08:19:44	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xcb13e5…
07-07 08:10:38	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd753d7…
07-07 08:05:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x088652…
07-07 07:58:02	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5d6fc0…
07-06 08:35:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5046dd…
07-06 08:24:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8b8e59…
07-04 07:28:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ce359…
07-04 07:13:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x911b82…
07-03 09:22:16	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03aeb8…
07-03 09:11:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa620b4…
07-03 09:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x60057c…
07-03 08:57:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x42d897…
07-01 06:52:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x217963…
07-01 06:36:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a7f7b…
07-01 06:32:13	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf72600…
07-01 06:30:46	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x175f6d…
06-30 07:10:37	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe5ecbd…
06-30 06:58:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb86120…
06-29 07:53:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x10e32a…
06-29 07:52:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9b10ab…
06-27 07:57:13	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac082f…
06-27 07:46:49	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb77e6…
06-27 07:34:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6b527c…
06-27 07:32:43	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x833179…
06-26 08:38:50	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x369fc1…
06-26 08:28:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b57ab…
06-26 08:24:49	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xedac58…
06-26 08:23:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb5146f…
06-25 07:25:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x14b38b…
06-25 07:15:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f3a72…
06-25 07:15:08	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x107f32…
06-25 07:10:34	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa53919…
06-24 08:58:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec653a…
06-24 08:29:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed0c5d…
06-22 07:42:35	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe29f31…
06-22 07:40:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3285b0…
06-22 07:26:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0e41c9…
06-22 07:20:02	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x461b7a…
06-21 07:37:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd8e32c…
06-21 07:36:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8ae941…
06-21 07:23:08	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46e239…
06-21 07:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1586ee…