Offbeat-Wilderness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

16.9%

Resolved

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$340

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-06 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

38% 25% $-0

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		-1	$-1	84¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 07:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 08:39
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 03:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 03:21
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-26 10:12
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 06:58
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 03:36
will doly begum win the by election for the seat of scarborough southwest in the house of commons of canada	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 03:17
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 03:16
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:04
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:36
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 08:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:35
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:28
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 06:32
will khamenei tweet again on march 14 2026 875	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:08
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 06:59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:12
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 03:40
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 02:36
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 07:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 06:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 06:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 08:35:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5046dd…
07-06 08:24:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8b8e59…
07-04 07:28:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ce359…
07-04 07:13:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x911b82…
07-03 09:22:16	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03aeb8…
07-03 09:11:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa620b4…
07-03 09:05:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x60057c…
07-03 08:57:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x42d897…
07-01 06:52:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x217963…
07-01 06:36:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a7f7b…
07-01 06:32:13	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf72600…
07-01 06:30:46	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x175f6d…
06-30 07:10:37	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe5ecbd…
06-30 06:58:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb86120…
06-29 07:53:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x10e32a…
06-29 07:52:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9b10ab…
06-27 07:57:13	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac082f…
06-27 07:46:49	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb77e6…
06-27 07:34:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6b527c…
06-27 07:32:43	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x833179…
06-26 08:38:50	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x369fc1…
06-26 08:28:04	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b57ab…
06-26 08:24:49	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xedac58…
06-26 08:23:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb5146f…
06-25 07:25:58	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x14b38b…
06-25 07:15:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f3a72…
06-25 07:15:08	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x107f32…
06-25 07:10:34	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa53919…
06-24 08:58:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec653a…
06-24 08:29:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed0c5d…
06-22 07:42:35	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe29f31…
06-22 07:40:53	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3285b0…
06-22 07:26:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0e41c9…
06-22 07:20:02	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x461b7a…
06-21 07:37:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd8e32c…
06-21 07:36:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8ae941…
06-21 07:23:08	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46e239…
06-21 07:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1586ee…
06-18 07:50:55	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1fac7a…
06-18 07:35:52	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x24b41a…
06-17 07:32:34	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2bacb9…
06-17 07:29:59	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5d13fa…
06-17 07:18:10	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd1875a…
06-17 07:09:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f9df9…
06-16 07:49:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4651b6…
06-16 07:48:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb5c13a…
06-16 07:28:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5dfac5…
06-16 07:24:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb1e6e0…
06-15 07:00:40	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4268c8…
06-13 08:33:24	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x21cc6b…
06-13 08:14:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x84ed6f…
06-12 08:10:18	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xa53f64…
06-12 08:05:30	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa9c073…
06-11 08:14:18	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9a4da7…
06-09 03:31:06	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf037ec…
06-09 03:26:48	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb89c27…
06-08 03:14:54	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x338068…
06-08 03:09:12	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc2593f…
06-06 07:48:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x28c188…
06-06 07:26:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9f99a8…
06-05 06:32:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcde16f…
06-05 06:31:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaaf26f…
06-05 06:23:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6c402c…
06-05 06:19:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2f065f…
06-04 07:22:52	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x34e0fc…
06-04 07:03:10	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3068ed…
06-03 07:28:06	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x654b87…
06-03 07:25:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6b4f55…
06-03 06:52:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4885cc…
06-03 06:29:04	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe84425…
06-02 06:16:10	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6e4bad…
06-02 04:37:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa7c317…
06-02 04:35:11	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9a585f…
05-30 07:08:58	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91ba85…
05-29 04:55:48	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa745aa…
05-28 07:15:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3b1c59…
05-28 07:14:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1dcef1…
05-28 07:02:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa19d9…
05-28 06:58:01	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x89a745…
05-27 08:25:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcda10c…
05-27 07:28:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e7b77…
05-25 06:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf0fdf7…
05-25 06:06:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75fbde…
05-22 07:50:45	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3a1263…
05-22 07:38:22	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x381a8c…
05-22 07:25:53	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x704fe5…
05-21 07:49:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd3daa…
05-21 07:40:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8c51a…
05-20 07:17:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaf3a03…
05-20 06:59:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c6dd5…
05-19 06:07:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x487c05…
05-19 04:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c0343…
05-18 08:15:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x27e92f…
05-18 08:06:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcc4821…
05-16 06:46:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb6405…
05-16 06:41:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1adebf…
05-15 06:20:26	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd1726d…
05-15 06:03:43	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3ea8c5…
05-15 04:40:18	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc8905…
05-14 06:45:21	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0849ac…