Beloved-Increase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

1,692

Trades

2,679

lifetime

Volume

$102.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$384

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-30 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

44% 52% +$955

Sports

39% 53% +$264

Politics

17% 50% +$202

Crypto

0% 50% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$48	66¢	$66	+$18	08-30 14:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$55	55¢	$55	$0	09-14 23:35
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+705	$56	8¢	$53	-$4	10-05 10:52
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+300	$45	16¢	$50	+$4	10-23 06:58
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+250	$35	16¢	$41	+$6	08-23 17:25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+300	$39	12¢	$38	-$2	10-25 07:01
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+200	$26	14¢	$27	+$1	08-16 22:54
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+200	$36	13¢	$26	-$10	09-06 19:52
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+100	$18	22¢	$22	+$4	07-16 09:15
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+100	$4	6¢	$6	+$2	07-19 00:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	62¢	$1	$0	10-22 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	40	$8.8K	5,710	5,710	+0	open	—	10-29 23:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$4.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	10-25 17:00
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$2.6K	1,312	1,312	+0	Knicks	+$51	05-01 00:15
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	2	$2.0K	1,061	1,061	+0	Over	+$73	05-06 21:45
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$2.0K	1,036	1,033	+3	Over	+$92	04-22 21:04
dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 total 4pt5	2	$1.8K	943	942	+1	Under	+$46	04-23 22:45
nba min den 2026 04 18	3	$1.7K	913	910	+2	Nuggets	+$72	04-18 22:21
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$1.5K	791	789	+2	Over	+$55	04-15 21:20
atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	2	$1.5K	759	759	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$8	04-16 13:26
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$1.4K	0	1,480	-1,480	Yes	-$62	01-20 02:59
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 1pt5	2	$1.3K	737	735	+2	Over	-$22	04-14 14:42
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	3	$1.3K	1,550	0	+1,550	Over	-$1,302	05-01 01:09
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)	1	$1.3K	1,383	0	+1,383	VfL Wolfsburg	+$83	05-16 13:31
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5	1	$1.3K	1,365	0	+1,365	Over	-$1,300	05-15 20:10
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	2	$1.2K	1,335	0	+1,335	Cavaliers	+$24	05-18 01:13
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	1	$1.1K	1,220	0	+1,220	Pistons	+$110	05-16 00:45
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$1.1K	1,236	0	+1,236	Knicks	+$136	05-10 20:13
nhl buf bos 2026 04 23 total 7pt5	1	$1.0K	1,081	0	+1,081	Under	+$54	04-23 23:53
Knicks vs. Hawks	3	$990	1,079	0	+1,079	Knicks	+$88	04-25 23:55
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	3	$657	774	0	+774	Magic	+$116	04-18 00:21
nhl phi pit 2026 04 20 total 6pt5	2	$635	723	0	+723	Under	+$88	04-21 00:16
nba orl det 2026 04 19 points duncan robinson 2pt5	2	$604	317	316	+1	Yes	+$28	04-20 00:54
bun uni pau 2026 04 05 total 3pt5	1	$603	724	0	+724	Under	+$121	04-04 23:06
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$596	796	796	+0	Yes	+$397	06-10 15:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$492	400	400	+0	open	—	09-25 19:51
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	2	$458	250	250	+0	Under	+$23	05-05 19:30
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	5	$455	500	0	+500	Over	+$45	05-29 21:47
atp zverev diallo 2026 04 15 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$410	211	210	+0	Zverev	+$10	04-16 13:54
bun koe dor 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	2	$333	181	181	+0	Over	+$29	03-07 21:52
bun hei hof 2026 03 07 total 1pt5	2	$283	152	152	+0	Over	+$21	03-07 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:02:52	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x27a979…
10-30 08:45:03	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc9e745…
10-30 08:44:43	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5bc934…
10-30 05:08:40	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0x5fe9bc…
10-29 23:57:46	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,155	69¢	$1,487	0x923947…
10-29 21:35:01	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	71¢	$147	0xf02fb7…
10-29 19:15:07	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	71¢	$296	0xf8da6b…
10-29 19:11:04	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x49d9a8…
10-29 17:52:05	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x8f608e…
10-29 17:52:04	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0xcb4b9d…
10-29 17:07:43	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x188c32…
10-29 16:35:04	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	71¢	$233	0x7e1f40…
10-29 14:57:47	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0x660c90…
10-29 11:58:55	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	457	71¢	$325	0xfda7bf…
10-29 11:45:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0x04f995…
10-29 11:45:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	31¢	$88	0x5a0836…
10-28 21:07:17	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x89e29f…
10-27 21:29:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xb3b247…
10-27 20:48:38	Wild vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x629ef8…
10-27 20:25:41	Spread: Delaware (-2.5)	Western Kentucky	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x1c8770…
10-27 19:58:33	Spread: North Dakota State (-24.5)	North Dakota State	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x962510…
10-27 17:23:12	Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x032268…
10-27 17:09:53	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x05c4a6…
10-27 16:57:32	Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x854b2d…
10-27 15:55:35	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0xec372f…
10-26 22:54:29	Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0x3809ab…
10-26 22:37:30	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Pacers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xedf9d1…
10-26 22:31:05	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xcacca5…
10-26 21:20:47	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x30141e…
10-26 15:09:17	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,752	81¢	$1,419	0xdc5504…
10-26 14:45:15	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x876a83…
10-26 14:32:38	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x842ec7…
10-26 12:45:59	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf26479…
10-26 12:45:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	81¢	$105	0xde7601…
10-26 12:45:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x45b7c2…
10-26 12:45:51	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x1ca32d…
10-26 09:15:02	Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xcb2137…
10-26 08:15:23	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6f4f6b…
10-26 04:42:30	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	81¢	$364	0x5056e2…
10-26 00:09:42	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0xdb3b00…
10-25 23:20:42	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x453102…
10-25 22:58:29	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xf50640…
10-25 18:41:14	Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Broncos	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xe1b06f…
10-25 17:52:15	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xb49fe6…
10-25 17:00:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	853	93¢	$794	0xebd87f…
10-25 16:44:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x511828…
10-25 16:40:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	538	93¢	$500	0xb465ce…
10-25 16:37:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,008	93¢	$937	0xdb9952…
10-25 16:36:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x424aaf…
10-25 16:13:11	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0xd68c82…
10-25 15:21:47	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	120	36¢	$43	0x319818…
10-25 15:00:51	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	Falcons	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x881484…
10-25 12:38:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xf98d63…
10-25 11:25:33	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x3ab07b…
10-25 07:01:21	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	145	13¢	$19	0x03d133…
10-25 02:55:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xfe6b72…
10-25 00:02:54	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x69b624…
10-24 23:59:08	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc98b15…
10-24 23:59:06	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5733e1…
10-24 23:58:30	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x948281…
10-24 23:57:23	Spread: Utah (-6.5)	Utah	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x8ef54b…
10-24 20:49:03	USC vs. Wisconsin: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0x888d45…
10-24 20:39:57	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	190	51¢	$97	0x63ff39…
10-24 20:39:47	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xb5e508…
10-24 18:13:33	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x73c1b4…
10-24 17:28:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0293bb…
10-24 14:31:29	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x23c9f7…
10-24 12:37:59	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x42c745…
10-24 12:35:41	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x06b161…
10-24 04:11:12	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xc19fd1…
10-24 03:09:32	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	SV 07 Elversberg	BUY	62	53¢	$33	0x60f63e…
10-24 02:44:03	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	SV 07 Elversberg	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x1d7f9b…
10-23 23:49:39	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xe70f45…
10-23 23:01:20	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x66ee74…
10-23 22:27:00	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x55754e…
10-23 21:49:15	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0x4a1a69…
10-23 21:46:15	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x3a7fc3…
10-23 21:33:20	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xb31af4…
10-23 21:12:32	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	91	47¢	$43	0x5581aa…
10-23 21:12:09	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x266a15…
10-23 20:10:21	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0xb92f76…
10-23 19:22:21	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	90	53¢	$48	0xa8f3c7…
10-23 11:32:24	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	86	52¢	$45	0xecb57b…
10-23 06:58:44	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	15¢	$28	0xb6dbf8…
10-23 06:58:44	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0xa4c4d3…
10-23 03:57:24	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xbaceec…
10-22 23:27:15	Spread: Memphis (-8.5)	Memphis	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd9b840…
10-22 23:24:59	Spread: Memphis (-8.5)	Memphis	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x128007…
10-22 22:49:17	Spread: Texas (-3.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x9453de…
10-22 22:47:51	Spread: Memphis (-8.5)	Memphis	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x9413b3…
10-22 22:47:30	Spread: Memphis (-8.5)	Memphis	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xc81ad3…
10-22 22:47:26	Spread: Memphis (-8.5)	Memphis	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x21cda3…
10-22 21:25:51	Spread: BYU (-6.5)	UCF	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x03d4fe…
10-22 20:59:56	Spread: Texans (-10.5)	Giants	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x23891d…
10-22 20:23:32	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x74ebd8…
10-22 19:08:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x720c34…
10-22 19:06:26	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	South Carolina	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf5bc28…
10-22 17:58:23	Spread: Texans (-10.5)	Giants	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xe64126…
10-22 17:46:21	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb142de…
10-22 17:40:47	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf19f50…