Horrible-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,306

lifetime

Volume

$177.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-27 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% $-73

Other

26% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$9

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	19	$7.0K	3,759	3,851	-92	open	—	04-28 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.4K	4,910	5,110	-200	open	—	05-27 14:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$5.0K	3,192	2,414	+778	open	—	02-01 00:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$4.7K	3,472	2,012	+1,460	open	—	05-25 20:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$4.7K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	05-30 23:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$4.6K	3,960	3,960	+0	open	—	06-12 10:57
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	10	$3.7K	3,706	3,706	+0	open	—	03-17 22:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$3.7K	3,940	3,955	-15	open	—	05-29 14:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	36	$3.6K	2,639	2,696	-57	open	—	05-27 18:50
nba cha min 2026 04 05	2	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-05 19:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-21 21:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-29 22:11
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	8	$2.9K	2,838	120	+2,718	open	—	04-06 22:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$2.6K	4,666	4,501	+165	open	—	06-17 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	21	$2.5K	1,995	1,995	+0	open	—	04-29 07:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$2.3K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	04-17 17:53
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$2.1K	1,850	1,850	+0	open	—	07-07 21:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	21	$2.0K	2,018	2,018	+0	open	—	03-20 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$2.0K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	05-25 22:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	02-03 17:14
will uae strike iran by march 31	13	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	03-29 14:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.6K	828	828	+0	open	—	02-24 21:59
will trump visit china by march 31	12	$1.6K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	03-16 13:10
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	7	$1.6K	821	821	+0	open	—	02-05 11:25
will axiom be accused of insider trading	9	$1.6K	1,409	1,469	-60	open	—	02-26 13:44
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$1.5K	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	03-09 17:12
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$1.5K	853	853	+0	open	—	01-25 16:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	9	$1.5K	804	804	+0	open	—	03-30 02:36
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	10	$1.4K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	02-06 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 20:17:49	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xce5c20…
07-27 20:06:48	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	SELL	197	14¢	$27	0xa86e8f…
07-27 18:55:49	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa0b4b0…
07-27 18:55:36	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xabb430…
07-27 18:55:33	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0x924cfa…
07-27 18:20:39	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	SELL	43	50¢	$21	0x7cdaca…
07-27 18:16:45	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1066e7…
07-27 18:16:42	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf92976…
07-27 18:16:42	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xda30da…
07-27 18:16:42	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbe820c…
07-27 18:16:42	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x5d8491…
07-27 18:16:40	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0xd4d794…
07-27 18:16:37	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xde540d…
07-27 18:16:37	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd054e…
07-27 18:16:37	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb547d5…
07-27 18:16:37	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x30a81d…
07-27 18:16:37	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2159d2…
07-27 18:13:43	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x73b689…
07-27 18:06:34	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x2bfaf6…
07-27 18:04:58	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	380	65¢	$247	0xd71190…
07-27 18:04:30	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x874290…
07-27 17:40:57	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x59d51d…
07-27 17:40:40	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdbf0a7…
07-27 17:40:40	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbcf2e1…
07-27 17:40:40	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x448846…
07-27 17:40:40	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x030e53…
07-27 17:40:27	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x049b87…
07-27 17:40:22	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x826ff4…
07-27 17:40:22	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7e02ba…
07-27 17:40:22	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6603e1…
07-27 17:40:22	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x40e065…
07-27 17:40:21	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xaa832a…
07-27 17:39:27	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xb352e4…
07-27 17:39:19	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xab2c1c…
07-27 17:39:16	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x2b40fd…
07-27 17:39:09	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xe5b90b…
07-27 17:39:09	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0xd45c2d…
07-27 17:39:09	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x972b0e…
07-27 17:39:09	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8cd810…
07-27 17:39:09	will trump say ethanol during michigan remarks 20260724162420359	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x07fcfa…
07-27 17:38:10	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2069de…
07-27 17:38:01	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xc69e1b…
07-27 17:37:54	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xd222a7…
07-27 17:37:54	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x01f585…
07-19 20:17:15	will the announcers say own goal during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403326	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xbe8200…
07-18 23:04:31	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757327	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x8dcd99…
07-18 23:04:10	will the announcers say equalizer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757326	No	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x86ffdb…
07-18 19:32:28	will the announcers say equalizer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757326	No	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0x7dbb0a…
07-18 19:32:01	will the announcers say golden boot 3 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740622	No	BUY	77	45¢	$35	0xaee55b…
07-18 19:29:18	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757327	No	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0xd6070e…
07-18 14:27:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4b8332…
07-15 18:39:25	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905981	No	BUY	132	55¢	$73	0xee31f8…
07-15 06:31:37	will the announcers say block blocks or blocked 15 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716363	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x9f5aa8…
07-14 21:17:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3e2a9f…
07-14 21:17:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	94	26¢	$24	0x4d6a79…
07-14 20:54:22	will the announcers say block blocks or blocked 15 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716363	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x16f372…
07-14 19:34:25	will the announcers say block blocks or blocked 15 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716363	No	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xf8d34b…
07-14 19:09:47	will the announcers say block blocks or blocked 15 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716363	No	BUY	76	60¢	$46	0xdd10cc…
07-14 18:53:29	world cup goal contributions h2h vitinha vspt pedri 20260604014250677	Vitinha	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe57f4c…
07-14 18:41:34	world cup goal contributions h2h vitinha vspt pedri 20260604014250677	Vitinha	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2db707…
07-14 18:41:32	world cup goal contributions h2h vitinha vspt pedri 20260604014250677	Vitinha	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x16a68c…
07-14 17:11:58	world cup goal contributions h2h vitinha vspt pedri 20260604014250677	Vitinha	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0xcdb4e9…
07-12 22:57:41	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4e92ae…
07-12 08:56:25	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543758	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xb4bee0…
07-12 04:51:53	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543763	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0176be…
07-12 00:14:34	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543763	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0x4b3159…
07-12 00:07:32	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543758	No	SELL	72	96¢	$70	0x5dd905…
07-11 23:46:11	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543763	No	SELL	1	96¢	$0	0xed74a1…
07-11 15:54:10	will the announcers say set piece 5 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819067	No	BUY	116	85¢	$99	0x8f9acd…
07-11 15:53:56	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819063	No	BUY	102	55¢	$56	0x5d0e78…
07-11 15:50:40	will the announcers say maradona during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819072	No	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x67a4a2…
07-11 15:02:05	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543758	No	BUY	77	47¢	$36	0xa455d7…
07-11 14:45:16	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543763	No	BUY	91	73¢	$67	0x6e6180…
07-10 21:00:35	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901511	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x75ae83…
07-10 20:09:52	will the announcers say transition during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901498	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0xe3027b…
07-10 20:09:52	will the announcers say transition during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901498	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x21f802…
07-10 16:49:32	will the announcers say transition during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901498	Yes	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x09661f…
07-10 16:46:10	will the announcers say pressure 7 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901496	Yes	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0x3ec95d…
07-10 16:35:43	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xe679e4…
07-10 16:33:11	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901511	No	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0xe3542f…
07-10 16:30:56	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901509	Yes	BUY	86	67¢	$58	0x4907b4…
07-10 15:42:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 assists declan rice gte1	No	BUY	402	86¢	$346	0xe74d3a…
07-10 15:41:34	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xd52909…
07-09 22:23:28	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf10244…
07-09 22:21:34	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x1f4725…
07-09 22:01:14	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420754	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x5f7df0…
07-09 22:00:13	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420754	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x2a0359…
07-09 17:53:31	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420750	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x7d2477…
07-09 17:14:38	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420748	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x83d2d0…
07-09 17:14:05	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420754	No	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0xa27947…
07-09 17:11:26	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420731	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x4a15c8…
07-09 17:08:38	will the announcers say speed 5 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420732	No	BUY	36	60¢	$21	0x86be9e…
07-09 17:04:56	will the announcers say tactical 3 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420734	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x94169a…
07-09 17:02:52	will the announcers say psg or paris saint germain during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420735	No	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x77117c…
07-09 17:00:28	will the announcers say compact during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420738	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x18d188…
07-09 16:59:17	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420750	Yes	BUY	83	80¢	$66	0x5c981f…
07-09 16:57:38	will the announcers say haaland during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420751	No	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0xffaa3f…
07-07 21:57:13	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	1,850	53¢	$980	0x973986…
07-07 18:40:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	1,850	61¢	$1,128	0xd2b27b…
07-07 17:32:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	991	85¢	$842	0x1753fe…