Horrible-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

479

Trades

1,934

lifetime

Volume

$239.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-29 01:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Politics

57% 54% -$3,168

Other

35% 42% -$297

Sports

6% 42% +$1,354

Crypto

2% 50% -$28

Tech

0% 100% +$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	19	$7.0K	3,759	3,851	-92	No	+$475	04-28 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.4K	4,910	5,110	-200	No	+$49	05-27 14:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	No	+$114	03-27 19:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$5.0K	3,192	2,414	+778	No	+$136	02-01 00:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	8	$4.7K	3,512	2,012	+1,500	No	-$1,347	05-25 20:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$4.7K	2,656	2,656	+0	No	+$255	05-30 23:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$4.6K	3,960	3,960	+0	Yes	-$356	06-12 10:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$4.6K	7,064	7,064	+0	open	—	08-22 17:23
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	4	$4.1K	2,063	2,063	+0	Yes	+$2	07-24 20:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.0K	11,460	11,459	+1	Yes	+$170	07-07 01:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$3.8K	3,810	0	+3,810	Yes	+$4	04-28 22:02
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	10	$3.7K	3,706	3,706	+0	Howard Bison	+$15	03-17 22:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	37	$3.7K	2,696	2,696	+0	No	+$49	05-27 18:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$3.7K	3,955	3,955	+0	No	-$1,430	05-29 14:54
nba cha min 2026 04 05	2	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Hornets	-$120	04-05 19:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$153	05-21 21:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$14	03-29 22:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	17	$3.0K	5,291	5,291	+0	Yes	+$400	06-17 13:38
clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	3	$2.9K	1,493	1,493	+0	Under	+$51	08-08 05:29
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	8	$2.9K	2,838	120	+2,718	No	+$47	04-06 22:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,570	2,570	+0	Yes	-$636	05-30 21:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$2.5K	2,502	2,502	+0	No	-$70	07-31 14:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	21	$2.5K	1,995	1,995	+0	No	-$142	04-29 07:10
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	10	$2.5K	1,224	1,674	-450	Yes	-$36	05-23 12:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$2.5K	1,571	1,571	+0	Yes	+$41	05-24 14:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$2.3K	1,306	1,306	+0	No	+$158	04-17 17:53
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$2.1K	1,850	1,850	+0	Switzerland	-$148	07-07 21:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	21	$2.0K	2,018	2,018	+0	Yes	+$4	03-20 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$2.0K	1,350	1,350	+0	Yes	+$185	05-25 22:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,576	1,576	+0	Yes	-$25	02-03 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 01:35:44	Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	195	14¢	$27	0xeea441…
09-20 21:49:41	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x27082a…
09-20 21:40:10	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x55ddeb…
09-20 21:08:47	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5c4825…
09-20 15:10:28	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	336	2¢	$8	0x4331bf…
09-20 15:10:19	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	416	1¢	$4	0x800554…
09-20 15:03:45	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x381147…
09-20 15:03:43	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xd703a9…
09-20 15:03:40	Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	530	25¢	$135	0x4c9910…
09-20 14:46:31	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x67f125…
09-20 14:31:45	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x6c3336…
09-20 14:31:34	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb8b668…
09-20 14:31:34	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x382834…
09-20 12:27:43	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xfb171d…
09-20 12:27:36	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x7ed946…
09-20 12:27:33	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x546162…
09-20 12:27:30	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x8f17ca…
09-20 12:27:22	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x647ed5…
09-20 12:27:21	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0x6b97ac…
09-20 12:27:16	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	71	22¢	$15	0x2499fd…
09-20 12:27:13	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x82d648…
09-20 12:27:10	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	73	21¢	$15	0x2fc0c8…
09-20 12:27:09	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc41e0c…
09-20 12:25:33	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x274a78…
09-20 12:25:27	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x8679ba…
09-20 11:27:46	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x58d470…
09-20 10:55:01	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	256	20¢	$52	0x05c2c6…
09-20 10:54:45	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9c73cb…
09-20 08:57:42	Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	254	10¢	$25	0x29047b…
09-20 07:17:49	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xeae186…
09-20 07:17:35	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	156	33¢	$52	0x401bcb…
09-17 00:16:03	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	243	97¢	$236	0x8bc92d…
09-16 23:44:36	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x879d26…
09-16 23:41:31	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xc20962…
09-16 21:39:22	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	67	61¢	$41	0x41c4a9…
09-01 15:47:31	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$1	0x59c2d5…
09-01 12:18:10	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$5	0x2a5d95…
09-01 12:14:04	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbcfbc0…
09-01 12:14:03	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x9bad55…
09-01 12:07:49	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	145	11¢	$16	0x97f934…
08-31 12:36:36	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x36f4ad…
08-31 12:36:24	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	457	58¢	$264	0x639330…
08-30 13:36:30	Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x06b349…
08-30 13:36:25	Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	145	16¢	$23	0xf10432…
08-29 16:59:36	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xf4b2dc…
08-27 17:19:07	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6b1706…
08-27 17:19:01	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x6f9f82…
08-27 17:18:58	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	115	76¢	$87	0xc57b18…
08-27 17:18:52	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0x2e40db…
08-27 17:04:37	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0x3037d6…
08-27 15:30:22	Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x2c0f94…
08-27 15:26:45	Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9e6d32…
08-27 15:22:33	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xba23af…
08-27 15:10:48	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xe24bb8…
08-27 14:50:51	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdf7ca6…
08-27 14:42:34	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x4467cf…
08-27 14:30:16	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x1ebf8e…
08-27 13:19:06	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xf5b23f…
08-27 12:56:15	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xf1537b…
08-27 12:56:15	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	76	72¢	$55	0x2435ce…
08-26 18:16:33	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	820	0¢	$3	0xf046ff…
08-26 12:31:04	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	212	60¢	$126	0xeb259d…
08-26 01:01:31	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$1	0x829de4…
08-25 21:06:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xbb8c53…
08-25 19:43:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0xe3ba7a…
08-25 19:26:30	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcbb2a3…
08-25 18:30:46	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	140	67¢	$94	0x9f8bb6…
08-25 18:30:45	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	230	66¢	$152	0x552afe…
08-25 17:42:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xcf8ebd…
08-25 16:42:06	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfce249…
08-25 16:40:49	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$12	0xbe2e2b…
08-25 16:40:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	278	5¢	$15	0x7cb1cc…
08-25 15:37:54	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xea9d23…
08-25 15:31:39	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x2a01dd…
08-25 15:29:04	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	69	65¢	$45	0x5f911d…
08-25 15:10:19	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	333	68¢	$226	0x5eb7bb…
08-24 21:59:45	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0xd1e870…
08-24 21:59:37	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x0ac445…
08-24 21:59:31	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4c0eda…
08-24 21:59:25	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0xa90c56…
08-24 21:59:16	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x49bf1b…
08-24 21:58:51	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xe14c41…
08-24 21:58:48	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb89609…
08-22 18:37:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	202	12¢	$24	0xaed67a…
08-22 17:23:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,264	25¢	$1,566	0xaca392…
08-22 17:01:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	294	12¢	$35	0x16f228…
08-22 16:12:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4baba7…
08-22 15:43:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x7f03bd…
08-22 15:31:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x5b2466…
08-22 12:07:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x247d99…
08-22 11:54:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x331af5…
08-22 11:38:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x4f1d10…
08-22 11:00:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x1781da…
08-22 10:54:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x117c73…
08-22 10:41:43	Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?	No	BUY	232	97¢	$225	0x03c0c5…
08-22 10:32:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xf97420…
08-22 10:06:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x8c59ec…
08-22 08:55:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x6faea2…
08-22 01:47:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xc159f8…
08-21 19:53:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,264	27¢	$1,691	0x226b12…