Horrible-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,207

lifetime

Volume

$172.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-06 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% 0% $-73

Other

25% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$9

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	19	$7.0K	3,759	3,851	-92	open	—	04-28 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.4K	4,910	5,110	-200	open	—	05-27 14:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$5.0K	3,192	2,414	+778	open	—	02-01 00:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$4.7K	3,472	2,012	+1,460	open	—	05-25 20:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$4.7K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	05-30 23:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$4.6K	3,960	3,960	+0	open	—	06-12 10:57
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	10	$3.7K	3,706	3,706	+0	open	—	03-17 22:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$3.7K	3,940	3,955	-15	open	—	05-29 14:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	36	$3.6K	2,639	2,696	-57	open	—	05-27 18:50
nba cha min 2026 04 05	2	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-05 19:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-21 21:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-29 22:11
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	8	$2.9K	2,838	120	+2,718	open	—	04-06 22:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$2.6K	4,666	4,501	+165	open	—	06-17 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	21	$2.5K	1,995	1,995	+0	open	—	04-29 07:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$2.3K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	04-17 17:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	21	$2.0K	2,018	2,018	+0	open	—	03-20 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$2.0K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	05-25 22:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	02-03 17:14
will uae strike iran by march 31	13	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	03-29 14:50
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.6K	828	828	+0	open	—	02-24 21:59
will trump visit china by march 31	12	$1.6K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	03-16 13:10
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	7	$1.6K	821	821	+0	open	—	02-05 11:25
will axiom be accused of insider trading	9	$1.6K	1,409	1,469	-60	open	—	02-26 13:44
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$1.5K	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	03-09 17:12
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$1.5K	853	853	+0	open	—	01-25 16:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	9	$1.5K	804	804	+0	open	—	03-30 02:36
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	10	$1.4K	1,208	1,208	+0	open	—	02-06 22:57
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$1.4K	789	789	+0	open	—	02-21 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 17:31:44	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659333	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x28ea47…
07-06 17:03:05	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659333	No	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x13f3b1…
07-06 16:23:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	214	69¢	$148	0xccfc5f…
07-06 01:24:04	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113089	Yes	SELL	111	82¢	$91	0xe7908c…
07-06 01:01:31	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	SELL	491	98¢	$481	0xce6858…
07-05 23:14:41	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	BUY	259	87¢	$225	0x58e863…
07-05 21:24:50	will the announcers say neymar 20 times during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913591	No	SELL	55	93¢	$52	0x26429e…
07-05 21:12:04	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	Yes	BUY	232	86¢	$198	0x97e398…
07-05 19:34:40	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113089	Yes	BUY	111	62¢	$69	0x057755…
07-05 19:32:08	will the announcers say neymar 20 times during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913591	No	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x85c7b3…
07-04 22:34:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	341	97¢	$331	0xf5cdde…
07-04 20:06:26	will the announcers say var during the paraguay vs france fifa world cup match 20260703212206513	Yes	BUY	96	69¢	$66	0x4d9036…
07-04 18:43:40	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0x48bc6c…
07-04 16:06:52	will the match not air 20260703212206526	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$2	0x86e6cc…
07-03 17:32:59	will the announcers say penalty 5 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032812	No	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0x529735…
07-03 01:01:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x31b018…
07-03 01:01:44	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644163	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0x7e7640…
07-03 00:57:23	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x394761…
07-03 00:56:46	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x0264c7…
07-02 22:46:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	263	44¢	$116	0x9120aa…
07-02 22:11:59	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644163	No	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0xe52106…
07-02 22:10:59	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644161	No	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xc82725…
07-02 21:42:13	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644152	Yes	BUY	81	67¢	$54	0xdf5060…
07-02 21:00:59	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439800 482	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x1b2f9d…
07-02 20:06:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots nico williams gte1	No	BUY	282	97¢	$275	0x125557…
07-02 19:47:19	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	No	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0xd32ea6…
07-02 19:43:14	will the announcers say long ball during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439796 253	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x437ab8…
07-02 19:43:11	will the announcers say long ball during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439796 253	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbb1f50…
07-02 19:42:34	will the announcers say drama or dramatic during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844359	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x284a62…
07-02 18:39:25	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644164	Yes	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xcce7c6…
07-02 18:33:40	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644153	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xc68ebe…
07-02 18:33:28	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644163	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x03b0a0…
07-02 18:32:58	will the announcers say bayern during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439794	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8d6a69…
07-02 18:32:31	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439803 329	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x5ee28f…
07-02 18:32:13	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439790	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x686f97…
07-02 18:31:52	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439791	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xd87d6d…
07-02 18:31:26	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439800 482	No	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x6e9111…
07-02 18:31:05	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439802 946	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x9fbfdf…
07-01 18:04:29	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034693	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x604437…
07-01 17:13:11	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0xfd7b4b…
07-01 16:23:40	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034675	Yes	BUY	78	58¢	$45	0x234eb6…
07-01 16:23:14	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb80cb1…
07-01 16:19:47	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034693	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe0a2b1…
07-01 16:17:44	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x3ec9cc…
07-01 16:17:14	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x70b17b…
07-01 02:17:08	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526256	Yes	SELL	164	96¢	$157	0x33d44c…
07-01 01:48:01	will the announcers say paris during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742645	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0xed594c…
07-01 01:11:07	will the match not air 20260629195526269	Yes	BUY	287	1¢	$3	0xe2dd13…
06-30 23:42:32	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526256	Yes	BUY	164	58¢	$95	0xe88376…
06-30 20:04:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 shots desire doue gte1	No	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0x3a6260…
06-30 12:30:07	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xb71594…
06-30 04:37:44	will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	Yes	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xaa667d…
06-30 02:58:25	will the announcers say goal 60 times during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742631	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x7332cb…
06-30 00:52:32	will the announcers say goal 60 times during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742631	Yes	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0xae6237…
06-30 00:19:26	will the announcers say paris during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742645	No	BUY	48	30¢	$15	0xe2836d…
06-30 00:18:29	will the announcers say pocket during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742637	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe1edbf…
06-30 00:17:07	will the announcers say own goal during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742646	No	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xcc7612…
06-30 00:16:41	will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xaf794a…
06-30 00:14:49	will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x2a3da5…
06-30 00:14:28	will the announcers say pocket during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742637	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6c4fdc…
06-30 00:12:53	will the announcers say var or video assisted referee during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742642	No	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xc9f4ec…
06-29 10:34:37	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	227	16¢	$36	0x4b4b39…
06-29 10:21:50	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x3694c2…
06-29 10:17:08	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xdc46e6…
06-29 09:23:05	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0x96249c…
06-29 09:00:52	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xfb0152…
06-29 08:49:01	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xec5cd2…
06-29 07:37:34	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa55c34…
06-27 20:43:01	wta jacquem osaka 2026 06 29	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	516	15¢	$78	0x239a23…
06-27 18:12:17	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte2	No	SELL	162	71¢	$115	0x87da31…
06-27 18:12:02	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte1	No	SELL	175	37¢	$65	0x617f64…
06-27 14:40:11	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x512de4…
06-27 14:23:07	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0x76cb3e…
06-27 14:22:53	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	175	39¢	$68	0x0b5e64…
06-27 02:12:01	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0xbbba13…
06-27 01:50:55	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	Yes	SELL	199	98¢	$195	0x0461d4…
06-27 01:46:59	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a2765…
06-26 23:06:47	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0xe963a8…
06-26 21:39:41	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	Yes	BUY	175	73¢	$128	0x44d2e5…
06-26 21:39:32	will the announcers say messi during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523361	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x9b1400…
06-26 21:19:31	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	101	64¢	$65	0x700129…
06-26 20:31:01	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x63980d…
06-26 20:29:40	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	No	SELL	204	97¢	$198	0xb099e1…
06-26 16:27:11	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	No	BUY	230	73¢	$168	0x1e00d3…
06-25 23:13:35	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	152	60¢	$91	0x032a13…
06-25 23:07:28	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x009f3b…
06-25 21:08:47	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0x1028b3…
06-25 21:07:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	429	9¢	$37	0x78d8f9…
06-25 20:10:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x407363…
06-25 20:04:26	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	565	6¢	$34	0xc5b0bc…
06-25 20:03:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	483	1¢	$5	0x10b9b4…
06-25 19:11:25	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	371	6¢	$22	0xb61420…
06-25 18:58:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x67a946…
06-25 18:41:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0x66d7bb…
06-25 17:18:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	220	7¢	$16	0x91789f…
06-25 15:59:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0x3d49a2…
06-25 15:51:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	172	33¢	$57	0xd2156e…
06-25 15:07:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	151	12¢	$18	0xb53aaa…
06-25 15:06:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xa6e0f4…
06-25 13:05:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xac27c2…