Horrible-Concrete — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,505

lifetime

Volume

$194.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% $-73

Other

28% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$9

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	19	$7.0K	3,759	3,851	-92	open	—	04-28 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$5.4K	4,910	5,110	-200	open	—	05-27 14:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$5.3K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$5.0K	3,192	2,414	+778	open	—	02-01 00:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$4.7K	3,472	2,012	+1,460	open	—	05-25 20:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$4.7K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	05-30 23:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$4.6K	3,960	3,960	+0	open	—	06-12 10:57
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	10	$3.7K	3,706	3,706	+0	open	—	03-17 22:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	16	$3.7K	3,940	3,955	-15	open	—	05-29 14:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	36	$3.6K	2,639	2,696	-57	open	—	05-27 18:50
nba cha min 2026 04 05	2	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-05 19:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-21 21:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-29 22:11
clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	3	$2.9K	1,493	1,493	+0	open	—	08-08 05:29
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	8	$2.9K	2,838	120	+2,718	open	—	04-06 22:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$2.6K	4,666	4,501	+165	open	—	06-17 13:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	21	$2.5K	1,995	1,995	+0	open	—	04-29 07:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$2.3K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	04-17 17:53
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$2.1K	1,850	1,850	+0	open	—	07-07 21:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	21	$2.0K	2,018	2,018	+0	open	—	03-20 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$2.0K	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	05-25 22:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	02-03 17:14
will uae strike iran by march 31	13	$1.8K	1,469	1,469	+0	open	—	03-29 14:50
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	2	$1.6K	960	960	+0	open	—	08-07 16:12
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.6K	828	828	+0	open	—	02-24 21:59
will trump visit china by march 31	12	$1.6K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	03-16 13:10
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	7	$1.6K	821	821	+0	open	—	02-05 11:25
will axiom be accused of insider trading	9	$1.6K	1,409	1,469	-60	open	—	02-26 13:44
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$1.5K	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	03-09 17:12
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$1.5K	853	853	+0	open	—	01-25 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:20:51	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	SELL	244	12¢	$28	0x37c7cf…
08-12 15:38:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	359	67¢	$239	0x47a065…
08-12 14:00:12	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2972e4…
08-12 13:59:55	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xef0a5e…
08-12 13:49:31	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	No	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0xf470bd…
08-12 13:39:45	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	BUY	185	73¢	$135	0xbe7851…
08-12 13:35:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x994b48…
08-12 13:35:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	354	69¢	$244	0xcdf7ba…
08-12 06:35:42	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	SELL	281	97¢	$272	0xd33641…
08-12 04:44:58	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0xb4c2c4…
08-11 12:33:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x2fab74…
08-11 12:16:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0xe4526c…
08-10 16:00:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0xe2cb3e…
08-10 16:00:22	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	459	77¢	$354	0x538c29…
08-10 15:26:43	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	129	83¢	$107	0x17439a…
08-10 15:26:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	195	83¢	$162	0x6c2479…
08-10 15:23:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xae3749…
08-10 15:21:28	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	68	83¢	$57	0xe7286e…
08-10 15:21:13	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	95	83¢	$79	0xc3e0fc…
08-09 20:08:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	140	8¢	$11	0xcaaf80…
08-09 20:07:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	140	8¢	$11	0x0fff00…
08-09 20:04:48	will kai or speed have more in game deaths 20260808192817373	Speed	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x6f8072…
08-08 22:54:37	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	230	8¢	$18	0xbe855f…
08-08 17:30:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x63465e…
08-08 15:22:49	clf sge hul 2026 08 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0xf34846…
08-08 15:22:27	clf sge hul 2026 08 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0xd2c4ed…
08-08 15:16:39	clf sge hul 2026 08 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xc8c251…
08-08 15:05:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xefa8ff…
08-08 14:30:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x54ff19…
08-08 14:27:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x085fa3…
08-08 12:55:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x68f5b9…
08-08 12:54:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa23cf5…
08-08 12:53:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x68a4eb…
08-08 12:52:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x95b9d4…
08-08 12:51:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0x5bb912…
08-08 12:50:00	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0xce4381…
08-08 12:48:31	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xe03e9c…
08-08 12:47:30	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0xb376b2…
08-08 12:46:30	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x54bdfa…
08-08 12:45:30	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x0151c7…
08-08 12:45:28	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe0f8c4…
08-08 12:45:19	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc1b486…
08-08 05:29:33	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	690	100¢	$690	0x8b4482…
08-08 05:29:13	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	802	100¢	$802	0x33c3ea…
08-08 03:19:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	236	88¢	$208	0x76787e…
08-08 03:16:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	300	38¢	$115	0xe654f8…
08-08 03:11:18	will lyon qualify for worlds 2026 20260728162208117	No	SELL	90	7¢	$6	0x65f5f3…
08-08 03:10:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	120	52¢	$62	0x793a70…
08-08 02:56:28	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1,493	97¢	$1,441	0xc6d3d7…
08-07 23:45:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	SELL	1,170	3¢	$35	0x277132…
08-07 22:17:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x2f0f4a…
08-07 22:17:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x7125fa…
08-07 22:16:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x0b4273…
08-07 20:02:03	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	230	11¢	$25	0x81f18a…
08-07 19:20:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xac1a51…
08-07 16:12:07	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	SELL	960	77¢	$743	0x2ca76f…
08-07 15:30:13	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	290	8¢	$23	0x47b19e…
08-06 19:25:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	61	24¢	$15	0x378e50…
08-06 19:23:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x484558…
08-06 19:23:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x7396be…
08-06 19:23:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x46287c…
08-06 19:23:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x17776f…
08-06 19:23:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	300	24¢	$72	0x089560…
08-06 19:22:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x7da59a…
08-06 19:22:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x51fe14…
08-06 19:22:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x29d92a…
08-06 19:22:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	344	24¢	$82	0x72cae3…
08-06 19:22:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x4cef78…
08-06 19:13:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	800	24¢	$192	0x5cc488…
08-06 16:31:32	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	Yes	BUY	960	93¢	$893	0xbce39b…
08-06 16:10:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x0154da…
08-06 13:46:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0x036eb3…
08-06 13:45:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x584438…
08-06 02:01:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x93ceaa…
08-05 16:22:15	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	No	SELL	48	68¢	$33	0x24578b…
08-05 15:27:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	800	84¢	$672	0xddbbad…
08-05 15:07:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	800	83¢	$664	0x14655a…
08-04 12:25:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0x16244d…
08-04 12:19:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x2b4d99…
08-04 12:18:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xc27200…
08-04 11:49:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0xb18521…
08-04 08:49:30	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1621ca…
08-04 00:22:32	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x336028…
08-03 23:00:05	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x75e10d…
08-02 18:55:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0xb485fd…
08-02 18:25:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x64a6f0…
08-02 17:15:50	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4c5ce9…
08-02 17:15:48	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd63e6f…
08-02 17:15:44	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x6e1d8c…
08-02 17:15:27	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	169	81¢	$137	0x12aac6…
08-01 23:46:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0xc40384…
08-01 23:45:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf386f1…
08-01 23:45:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x371b5f…
08-01 23:45:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x2d3d29…
08-01 23:43:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x4fce53…
08-01 23:43:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xb765eb…
08-01 22:21:38	clf burg ath 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	115	0¢	$1	0xc7494d…
08-01 22:14:21	clf burg ath 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7cd88e…
08-01 19:32:33	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x4bb841…
08-01 19:31:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xdfa2a7…