Fearless-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

965

Trades

2,127

lifetime

Volume

$5.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-26 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 32% -$241

Politics

2% 0% -$52

Other

0% 0% -$15

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 07:00 UTC	3	$166	265	165	+100	Up	+$124	03-01 07:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	5	$98	95	91	+3	Up	+$80	03-01 04:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 06:45 UTC	5	$94	75	74	+1	Up	+$54	03-11 06:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:15 UTC	4	$84	64	64	+1	Down	+$35	03-24 16:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 01:00 UTC	5	$71	159	159	+1	Down	+$20	03-25 01:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$58	3,361	3,361	+0	Yes	-$51	03-02 20:22
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:40 UTC	3	$52	33	33	+0	Up	+$13	03-11 07:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:00 UTC	4	$50	46	45	+0	Down	+$40	03-24 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	4	$44	60	38	+22	Down	+$12	04-03 17:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:00 UTC	3	$41	31	31	+0	Up	+$21	03-24 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	3	$40	40	40	+0	Up	+$36	09-11 12:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 15:45 UTC	2	$40	31	31	+0	Up	+$21	03-24 15:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:45 UTC	4	$38	32	32	+0	Up	+$26	03-24 14:59
solana up or down march 25 2026 2am et	3	$37	34	34	+0	Down	+$27	03-25 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:30 UTC	2	$37	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	04-03 17:35
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 05:00 UTC	6	$35	207	0	+207	Up	-$35	03-01 05:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	6	$35	147	0	+147	Up	-$35	03-01 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:45 UTC	4	$34	110	15	+95	Up	+$34	04-03 16:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	1	$34	50	0	+50	Up	-$34	03-11 08:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:00 UTC	2	$33	27	27	+0	Down	+$20	03-25 16:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$31	471	471	+0	Yes	-$1	03-01 01:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:30 UTC	3	$31	86	29	+57	Down	+$15	03-24 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	9	$30	35	19	+16	Down	+$7	09-20 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:30 UTC	2	$30	40	40	+0	Up	+$9	04-03 16:34
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:30 UTC	5	$30	117	0	+117	Up	+$24	03-25 00:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 17:45 UTC	3	$30	128	121	+7	Down	-$22	04-03 17:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:00 UTC	3	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	03-24 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC	4	$28	27	26	+1	Up	+$5	04-03 18:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 07:15 UTC	4	$27	79	0	+79	Down	-$27	03-11 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7AM ET	10	$27	57	24	+33	Up	+$13	09-11 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x05f9d1…
10-26 07:38:42	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2ac1c0…
10-26 07:37:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xbb68ec…
10-26 07:36:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc3f721…
10-26 07:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x06d61b…
10-26 06:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5f3c8e…
10-26 06:35:36	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6268a9…
10-26 06:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x376399…
10-26 06:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31d056…
10-26 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d7249…
10-26 05:44:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7cee8d…
10-26 05:41:29	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c4cfc…
10-26 05:38:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe288e0…
10-26 05:36:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6f05bd…
10-26 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x74b6be…
10-26 05:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5f358f…
10-26 05:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4c6ed7…
10-26 05:06:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7aa465…
10-26 05:05:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23b58d…
10-26 05:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3c77fa…
10-26 05:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x661882…
10-26 04:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f82e6…
10-26 04:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa4b7f5…
10-26 04:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x660cd0…
10-26 04:40:48	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xcc80a4…
10-26 04:40:24	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x1ac319…
10-26 04:37:20	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe8841f…
10-26 04:25:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xa7d2e2…
10-26 04:22:23	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcceabe…
10-26 04:16:00	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x254ccc…
10-26 04:14:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x56f395…
10-26 04:06:21	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x500796…
10-26 04:03:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb9aece…
10-26 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x60efb0…
10-26 03:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x230772…
10-26 03:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2edfe7…
10-26 03:43:39	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x674249…
10-26 03:43:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeeda17…
10-26 03:43:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb75f55…
10-26 03:42:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa2fd03…
10-26 03:42:08	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d0a0d…
10-26 03:41:48	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0504d6…
10-26 03:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5728df…
10-26 03:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfab7ff…
10-26 03:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaef68e…
10-26 03:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x48e7a4…
10-26 03:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfa1d63…
10-26 03:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6265c6…
10-26 03:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x61595b…
10-26 03:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xacaa9d…
10-26 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1278cd…
10-26 03:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x17b97f…
10-25 23:58:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x57f950…
10-25 23:55:38	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5ff1ea…
10-25 23:54:20	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xce90f7…
10-25 23:52:54	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0230cf…
10-25 23:52:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0b8bac…
10-25 23:47:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1fdb1b…
10-25 23:46:32	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8c8773…
10-25 23:37:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0x4490f3…
10-25 23:35:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe0e388…
10-25 23:34:44	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x83b891…
10-25 23:33:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2f0966…
10-25 23:33:32	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9c315b…
10-25 23:31:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x212c64…
10-25 23:30:30	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x97ff2d…
10-25 23:11:38	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6bd4f2…
10-25 23:11:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0f0718…
10-25 22:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdf1a1c…
10-25 22:51:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbdf3cd…
10-25 22:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x2c9990…
10-25 22:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0f46a…
10-25 22:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6f174e…
10-25 22:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb4fcf8…
10-25 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf6fb57…
10-25 22:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3031b7…
10-25 22:03:27	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x85f00e…
10-25 22:02:17	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa61c13…
10-25 22:01:47	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xf82ac5…
10-25 22:00:35	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7683f7…
10-25 21:55:23	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2f160f…
10-25 21:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x91f369…
10-25 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc4e66c…
10-25 21:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1dc2a7…
10-25 21:31:17	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x279e51…
10-25 21:27:08	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe93ae3…
10-25 21:20:59	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0f1d03…
10-25 21:17:03	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfd10b0…
10-25 20:56:35	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x428f9e…
10-25 20:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4aa0fb…
10-25 20:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdfe444…
10-25 20:36:57	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xffa6d2…
10-25 20:30:29	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ed367…
10-25 20:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x649742…
10-25 20:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0dc9a7…
10-25 20:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x69225a…
10-25 20:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x48801e…
10-25 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe8adf4…
10-25 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x11237f…
10-25 19:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9700de…