Hopeful-Ruckus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$8.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$129

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-23 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 47% +$137

Other

3% 38% -$83

Politics

0% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No		+176	$104	74¢	$129	+$25	10-23 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	2	$534	356	356	+0	Yes	+$100	10-02 15:21
bitcoin up or down on january 12	2	$455	494	494	+0	Up	-$237	01-12 15:35
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	3	$450	812	40	+772	Yes	-$394	05-22 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$441	345	345	+0	Down	+$241	10-06 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$395	454	454	+0	Down	+$121	05-16 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$391	1,576	0	+1,576	Up	-$391	10-07 09:26
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$304	184	184	+0	No	+$50	05-15 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 5 11	1	$300	345	0	+345	No	+$45	01-07 20:05
will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	1	$289	356	0	+356	No	+$67	09-28 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$286	196	196	+0	Up	+$86	10-06 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:00 UTC	1	$228	292	0	+292	Up	+$64	01-12 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$206	438	0	+438	Down	+$233	05-16 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$200	395	0	+395	Down	+$195	10-06 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$200	466	0	+466	Down	-$200	10-07 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$200	476	0	+476	Down	+$276	10-06 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$200	465	0	+465	Down	-$200	10-06 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$200	681	0	+681	Down	-$200	10-07 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$200	599	0	+599	Down	+$399	10-06 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:30 UTC	1	$200	426	0	+426	Down	-$200	01-12 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$199	151	151	+0	Up	+$99	10-05 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$128	450	0	+450	Down	-$128	05-16 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$113	214	0	+214	Up	+$100	05-16 09:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	1	$104	176	0	+176	open	—	10-23 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	Up	-$100	10-07 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	496	0	+496	Down	-$100	10-05 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	-$100	10-06 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$100	250	0	+250	Up	+$150	05-16 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	10-05 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:30 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$100	09-28 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$100	325	0	+325	Down	-$100	10-06 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 22:56:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	176	59¢	$104	0x5f8c9b…
10-19 17:00:30	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Nemesis	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbc5c61…
10-19 15:05:47	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6710f7…
10-07 09:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,576	25¢	$391	0xf5c059…
10-07 09:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	681	29¢	$200	0x3abce3…
10-07 09:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	466	43¢	$200	0x8c03bb…
10-07 09:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xa3dda9…
10-07 09:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x2f9958…
10-06 19:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x42bf53…
10-06 19:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	325	31¢	$100	0xf02041…
10-06 19:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x651767…
10-06 19:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x581abf…
10-06 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x5bfa13…
10-06 19:04:45	Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic - Map 2 Winner	Gothic	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x8ec826…
10-06 17:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	345	99¢	$341	0xd4c093…
10-06 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x9f3e26…
10-06 14:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	196	95¢	$186	0xd3f634…
10-06 14:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x094699…
10-06 14:25:35	Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x33ca54…
10-06 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	599	33¢	$200	0x47c15b…
10-06 13:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x0fd9c9…
10-06 13:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xb7bbfd…
10-06 12:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xca87e4…
10-05 19:44:20	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xdebcba…
10-05 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	141	36¢	$50	0x16d856…
10-05 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x70d0ad…
10-05 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xa718b9…
10-05 19:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x84ca48…
10-05 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x47c15d…
10-05 19:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	496	20¢	$100	0x9ce0e5…
10-05 03:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xbf8ec9…
10-05 03:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x2fa0dd…
10-04 12:38:04	lol we bro2 2026 10 04	HANJIN BRION	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe4f78f…
10-03 09:05:08	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	G2 Esports	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5cd8c0…
10-03 08:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x9bae5a…
10-03 08:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x8d2e5c…
10-02 15:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x6d9c84…
10-02 15:21:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	356	89¢	$317	0xe8c911…
10-02 01:49:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	356	61¢	$217	0xc0c0a1…
10-01 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x4087ac…
10-01 15:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x70fb07…
10-01 13:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x47c2c6…
10-01 13:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xf6c169…
09-28 02:46:02	will bitcoin dip to 80k in september 2026 from september 18	No	BUY	356	81¢	$289	0xe3e06c…
09-28 02:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb73e6a…
09-28 02:19:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	197	49¢	$96	0x03c79d…
09-12 14:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xfbbe88…
09-12 11:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5c741c…
09-12 11:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa07e2f…
09-12 11:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	85¢	$21	0xb18ef3…
09-12 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x221a26…
09-12 11:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xc14c3b…
09-12 11:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xbdff3b…
09-12 11:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd67e0a…
09-12 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x9108e6…
09-12 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xf9317c…
09-12 02:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x11dba2…
09-12 02:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x441471…
09-12 02:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc56bb4…
09-12 02:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1ea4db…
09-12 02:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc09056…
09-12 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0e4baf…
09-12 02:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdcfbb4…
09-12 02:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfdd170…
09-12 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf90489…
09-12 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf0125c…
09-12 01:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x14a8a2…
09-12 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x975c2f…
09-12 01:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7255a9…
09-12 00:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7305a6…
09-12 00:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe4eb43…
09-12 00:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x106020…
08-27 02:17:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	BUY	125	47¢	$58	0xa1a4e1…
05-22 18:18:17	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x228bb5…
05-22 17:55:09	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xce44c3…
05-22 17:52:28	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf40745…
05-22 16:26:08	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x648401…
05-22 16:16:08	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	SELL	32	70¢	$23	0x1a75b9…
05-21 18:43:05	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf8fc82…
05-16 13:09:34	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	812	52¢	$422	0x90e006…
05-16 10:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	438	47¢	$206	0xc40d0d…
05-16 09:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	214	53¢	$113	0x63418b…
05-16 09:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	450	28¢	$128	0x83651c…
05-16 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	454	57¢	$258	0xee0416…
05-16 09:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	454	30¢	$137	0x48183c…
05-16 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x554f8c…
05-16 09:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0x6c8cb1…
05-16 09:18:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x596d7e…
05-16 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xede4bd…
05-16 07:06:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xdce856…
05-15 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xad86a9…
05-15 15:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	135	52¢	$70	0x02007e…
05-15 15:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xec9f83…
05-15 15:27:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x497ff1…
05-15 15:26:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf9c547…
05-15 13:50:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	184	96¢	$177	0xfc4c90…
05-14 19:03:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	184	69¢	$127	0x731ec4…
01-21 06:10:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	Yes	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x24fb4f…
01-17 18:59:58	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0ed047…
01-12 16:49:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	333	27¢	$90	0x5e1969…