Velvety-Likeness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$703

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

3,247

Trades

3,824

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-20 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 56% -$642

Other

4% 65% -$104

Sports

3% 50% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	37	$162	325	0	+325	Down	-$157	05-29 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	17	$160	320	0	+320	Down	-$160	05-30 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	12	$160	320	0	+320	Up	+$160	05-26 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$160	320	0	+320	Up	+$160	05-25 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	Down	+$160	05-27 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	18	$160	320	0	+320	Down	-$160	05-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	16	$160	320	0	+320	Up	+$160	05-28 23:17
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$122	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	9	$82	165	0	+165	Down	-$78	05-29 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	8	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-25 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	11	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-25 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-28 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	17	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-25 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-26 03:08
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	500	500	+0	No	+$0	06-19 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	8	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-25 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-28 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-25 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$80	160	0	+160	Up	-$80	05-27 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-30 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$80	160	0	+160	Up	+$80	05-25 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$80	160	0	+160	Down	-$80	05-26 17:50
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$69	76	30	+46	Yes	+$16	06-22 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$57	184	0	+184	Up	+$127	06-02 04:30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	1	$54	80	0	+80	No	-$54	06-21 05:20
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$50	70	0	+70	No	+$20	06-17 21:52
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	114	0	+114	Yes	+$64	06-17 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	5	$46	90	0	+90	Down	-$46	06-02 04:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC	1	$43	101	0	+101	Up	+$57	04-22 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x22cfb7…
10-20 15:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x80a40d…
10-20 15:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1d88d2…
10-20 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x799dd0…
10-20 14:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe2bf2a…
10-20 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa2ec96…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa0b921…
10-20 14:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe05c31…
10-20 14:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x5d9c83…
10-19 15:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xbb47c3…
10-19 15:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x988054…
10-19 15:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc5ca52…
10-19 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf3a600…
10-19 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x9ebef7…
10-19 14:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x7aabde…
10-19 14:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb6b3ae…
10-19 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2181ba…
10-16 17:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa79051…
10-16 17:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xaad338…
10-16 17:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb8527c…
10-16 17:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8c8eee…
10-16 17:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xea794d…
10-16 16:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xecd280…
10-16 16:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe04bfe…
10-16 14:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd5c707…
10-16 14:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x36ba3b…
10-16 14:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xc4d5a4…
10-16 14:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x641459…
10-16 14:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x339eae…
10-16 14:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x68a8ad…
10-05 15:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3811ce…
10-05 15:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa2a00b…
10-05 15:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef89c0…
10-05 13:24:44	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x08dda5…
10-05 12:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdf1636…
10-05 12:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x69c043…
10-05 11:49:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa5bfca…
10-05 11:49:23	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x62506f…
10-05 10:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x521f39…
10-05 09:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x550d64…
10-05 09:54:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x561a85…
10-05 09:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09e102…
10-05 08:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd9c033…
10-05 05:54:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xee5267…
10-05 05:44:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6b740f…
10-05 05:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9a4186…
10-05 04:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa553d3…
10-05 04:04:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x68ce2a…
10-05 03:49:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x40b956…
10-05 03:14:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x773145…
10-05 02:44:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0a8dbc…
10-05 02:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xda8363…
10-05 02:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13e021…
10-05 02:19:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe14cf7…
10-05 02:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa437b0…
10-05 01:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc6727c…
10-05 01:09:22	Solana Up or Down - October 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1fe5d5…
10-05 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x011ff3…
10-05 00:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe98c67…
10-05 00:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc6c19d…
10-04 23:04:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9660d2…
10-04 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0afe3d…
10-04 22:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x03ca16…
10-04 22:34:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc6e7c4…
10-04 22:34:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc48832…
10-04 21:49:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x44ac01…
10-04 21:44:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe832c7…
10-04 20:59:43	Solana Up or Down - October 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x335e36…
10-04 20:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac0cde…
10-04 19:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80ab57…
10-04 17:59:41	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4a4b55…
10-04 17:49:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe35166…
10-04 16:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa52135…
10-04 14:04:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3d6add…
10-04 12:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x506c03…
10-04 12:19:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7f265f…
10-04 10:49:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x792353…
10-04 10:14:28	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb57ae2…
10-04 10:14:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5df1c7…
10-04 08:49:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe8dd51…
10-04 07:29:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xeb5dd3…
10-04 06:59:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd81e60…
10-04 05:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41fb43…
10-04 03:19:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2caa8d…
10-04 03:14:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9214d6…
10-04 02:54:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd28491…
10-04 02:39:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0ff39e…
10-04 02:24:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa22e4d…
10-04 01:44:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1af9c0…
10-04 00:39:25	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7a4a57…
10-04 00:09:20	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x86238a…
10-03 21:19:14	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9f5d51…
10-03 21:19:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x78b98d…
10-03 20:49:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8ace61…
10-03 19:19:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x06cfc5…
10-03 19:19:40	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x18882e…
10-03 17:54:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6b7a08…
10-03 16:19:35	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb03b5…
10-03 13:44:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3adadc…
10-03 11:09:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4414b9…