Grand-Strategy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$806

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

2,554

Trades

4,384

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-03 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 28% -$553

Other

16% 6% -$254

Politics

0% 25% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-8	-$5	99¢	$-8	-$3	05-18 12:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	50	$2.6K	364,435	231,841	+132,594	No	-$163	06-03 23:29
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	39	$844	920	285	+635	No	-$25	03-05 16:34
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	18	$561	800	800	+0	Yes	+$97	03-18 13:19
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	69	$401	3,534	3,077	+457	No	+$14	03-18 07:22
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	6	$237	200	200	+0	No	+$15	03-22 16:05
bitcoin up or down february 28 12am et	25	$209	209	131	+77	Down	+$9	02-28 05:31
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	7	$200	774	0	+774	No	-$200	03-19 09:06
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	33	$138	15,000	2,040	+12,960	No	-$102	03-19 08:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 05:00 UTC	35	$90	228	226	+2	Down	-$20	02-28 07:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	2	$75	500	0	+500	No	-$75	03-19 08:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 08:45 UTC	7	$72	112	28	+84	Down	-$21	02-28 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 22:30 UTC	15	$51	137	15	+122	Down	+$0	03-01 22:33
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	4	$49	100	50	+50	Yes	+$52	03-13 17:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	7	$49	39	39	+0	Yes	+$10	03-04 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	5	$49	91	0	+91	Down	+$43	05-19 06:46
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	9	$47	52	38	+13	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$43	120	0	+120	Up	-$43	05-19 06:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 06:20 UTC	28	$43	33,545	0	+33,545	Up	-$43	02-28 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:20 UTC	4	$41	42	22	+20	Down	+$2	03-01 18:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	9	$40	43	67	-24	Yes	+$11	03-05 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 05:20 UTC	5	$39	75	0	+75	Down	-$2	03-02 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 06:15 UTC	8	$36	14,099	0	+14,099	Down	-$36	02-28 06:27
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	4	$35	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	03-18 08:45
bitcoin up or down february 28 2am et	18	$35	31	20	+11	Up	+$1	02-28 07:33
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	6	$33	223	223	+0	No	+$2	03-11 03:27
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	7	$32	42	7	+35	Yes	-$3	03-08 17:02
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	5	$32	100	50	+50	No	-$2	03-13 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC	7	$30	37	10	+28	Down	-$12	03-01 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-19 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:45 UTC	4	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	03-04 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 23:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44,389	0¢	$89	0x553c1b…
06-03 23:18:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52,900	0¢	$159	0xfc45f3…
06-03 23:08:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40,000	0¢	$160	0xdf251f…
06-03 23:06:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$120	0x1290ee…
06-03 23:05:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30,000	0¢	$120	0x99638d…
06-03 22:58:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33,300	0¢	$100	0xbf254e…
06-03 21:56:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0x296c19…
06-03 21:26:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30,000	0¢	$150	0x840859…
06-03 18:56:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35,700	0¢	$143	0xe2dd0b…
06-03 16:16:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35,700	0¢	$107	0x5b1ec5…
06-03 15:45:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$120	0xd5e191…
06-03 13:42:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0x510952…
06-03 13:08:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,569	1¢	$23	0x826d9b…
06-03 13:08:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	0¢	$6	0x6f837c…
06-03 13:08:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1c3987…
06-03 13:08:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,000	0¢	$40	0xdfd672…
06-03 13:08:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,690	0¢	$13	0x0ccd99…
06-03 13:08:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,860	0¢	$14	0x6bacdf…
06-03 13:08:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	781	0¢	$4	0x48081c…
06-03 13:02:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28,000	0¢	$112	0xf6c38d…
06-03 04:15:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28,500	0¢	$86	0x1a3d39…
06-03 00:54:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,750	0¢	$35	0xac436a…
06-03 00:53:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,700	0¢	$15	0xb6e1c6…
06-03 00:52:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$8	0xfaa789…
06-03 00:48:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,710	0¢	$15	0x983812…
06-03 00:48:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,140	0¢	$9	0x17e092…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,181	1¢	$162	0x8f5537…
06-02 20:19:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,181	1¢	$129	0x556f2f…
06-02 19:41:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14,459	1¢	$130	0x79ef7f…
06-02 19:21:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,131	1¢	$81	0x8aff99…
06-02 19:21:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,250	1¢	$18	0x1b4a6c…
06-02 19:20:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x787bce…
06-02 19:20:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf0cf83…
06-02 19:20:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4411ec…
06-02 19:19:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	451	1¢	$4	0x78a7d5…
06-02 19:19:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2934ea…
06-02 19:19:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x33c013…
06-02 19:18:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x886015…
06-02 19:18:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x80cdd0…
06-02 19:17:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,535	1¢	$12	0x6c9618…
06-02 18:45:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	734	1¢	$7	0x164790…
06-02 18:45:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x1d76c1…
06-02 18:45:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xf9494c…
06-02 18:44:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$27	0x4d7cd4…
06-02 18:44:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,506	1¢	$23	0x7304f5…
06-02 16:48:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	734	1¢	$4	0xb7f343…
06-02 16:32:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,339	1¢	$91	0x6abb0f…
06-02 16:32:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,394	1¢	$11	0x74912f…
06-02 16:18:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,239	1¢	$102	0x976bf8…
06-02 13:41:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,239	1¢	$92	0xee0088…
05-29 20:34:42	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev	Quentin Halys	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x6953db…
05-23 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x3038e4…
05-23 00:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xdbcfad…
05-23 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xff5bb2…
05-23 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe6df50…
05-23 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x81ce83…
05-23 00:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x21c506…
05-23 00:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xbea42f…
05-23 00:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb318e9…
05-23 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8c1630…
05-23 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x839354…
05-23 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4e2ad6…
05-23 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2cf492…
05-23 00:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x13a7fe…
05-23 00:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa5a26e…
05-23 00:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd5f666…
05-23 00:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x6a7360…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xa93bc9…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x7362fa…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7009ee…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x4b872b…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x0d32e1…
05-23 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x083db7…
05-23 00:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb4bfc2…
05-23 00:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x67b316…
05-23 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xd48f87…
05-23 00:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdaf855…
05-23 00:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf8ee30…
05-23 00:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6e768…
05-22 23:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x670d0b…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfe5b15…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xeff4b1…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdc7f47…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xd53f30…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xcc786e…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcc4f5f…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7b8a81…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x72e3b8…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x6dd726…
05-22 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x096dc9…
05-22 23:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xc0852c…
05-22 23:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xbd0488…
05-22 23:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe52456…
05-22 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x23dbcc…
05-22 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xaa2aee…
05-22 22:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8f2cf0…
05-22 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x52eeb3…
05-22 22:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf14db3…
05-22 22:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71da96…
05-22 22:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xea8c3d…