Guilty-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$183.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.13K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-23 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

71% 35% -$5,542

Politics

15% 40% -$93

Sports

12% 30% +$249

Crypto

1% 50% +$737

Tech

0% 0% -$663

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$90

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$14.2K	20,879	0	+20,879	Over	-$14,249	05-15 16:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$10.9K	6,974	6,974	+0	No	+$903	04-25 17:28
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	2	$10.2K	5,702	5,702	+0	Under	+$1,150	05-14 21:30
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$9.6K	13,356	13,356	+0	Yes	+$2,412	05-07 16:40
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	4	$9.3K	7,528	7,528	+0	Under	+$2,303	05-10 20:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$8.4K	5,739	5,647	+92	No	+$1,581	04-08 04:20
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	2	$7.4K	4,946	4,946	+0	No	+$2,441	05-14 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$7.2K	6,184	6,081	+103	Yes	-$35	04-15 19:42
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$7.1K	8,795	8,795	+0	Yes	-$144	05-15 16:54
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	2	$6.8K	4,540	4,540	+0	Under	+$2,265	05-10 20:59
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	2	$6.6K	4,285	4,285	+0	Under	+$1,428	05-14 21:17
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$6.6K	4,058	4,058	+0	No	+$614	04-09 17:09
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.2K	4,258	4,258	+0	No	+$2,241	05-10 21:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$5.5K	4,324	4,324	+0	No	-$886	05-06 20:01
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	2	$4.8K	5,319	5,319	+0	Under	-$237	05-13 20:02
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	14	$4.2K	5,800	5,800	+0	Yes	-$319	05-23 22:28
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	2	$3.5K	2,422	2,422	+0	Under	+$1,258	05-13 21:21
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$3.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$1,475	05-09 18:23
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$3.3K	2,280	2,280	+0	No	+$1,207	05-10 18:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.0K	2,170	2,170	+0	No	+$645	04-22 05:21
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,562	2,508	+53	Yes	-$164	04-26 09:12
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$2.7K	1,937	1,937	+0	No	+$1,118	05-13 20:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$2.5K	3,571	3,571	+0	Yes	+$1,505	04-23 20:19
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$2.3K	2,623	2,623	+0	No	-$81	05-13 15:51
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2.0K	3,594	0	+3,594	Under	+$1,594	05-10 15:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2.0K	3,995	0	+3,995	Yes	-$2,000	04-08 04:28
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$1.8K	6,005	0	+6,005	No	-$1,850	05-04 19:07
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	1	$1.6K	3,136	0	+3,136	Yes	-$1,640	05-10 21:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	3	$1.6K	2,941	2,941	+0	No	-$1,173	05-13 21:03
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	2	$1.5K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	+$837	04-22 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 20:44:14	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	337	7¢	$24	0x133e58…
06-23 20:42:58	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0x0b12ec…
06-21 18:07:40	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x281525…
06-21 18:06:31	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x1eb6df…
06-21 18:06:20	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	521	48¢	$250	0x5507e6…
06-20 17:22:53	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2,200	2¢	$33	0x3ea2fa…
06-12 10:19:52	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xdbb2ca…
06-12 10:16:06	Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	2,859	0¢	$3	0x897755…
06-09 09:14:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	286	28¢	$80	0xf48201…
06-09 09:14:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1,107	8¢	$85	0xa7f420…
06-07 11:44:15	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa054c7…
06-07 11:42:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,107	60¢	$668	0x76adb1…
05-31 10:07:23	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x1f7916…
05-30 18:36:25	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	235	51¢	$120	0x0ac1f1…
05-30 18:36:08	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x49028d…
05-30 12:43:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	124	56¢	$69	0xf6f46c…
05-30 12:42:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	719	10¢	$70	0xbc56bc…
05-28 04:59:27	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1,138	11¢	$130	0x49e5c9…
05-24 18:02:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,025	52¢	$530	0x141488…
05-24 17:53:49	Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	2,859	0¢	$10	0x4d583b…
05-24 17:50:36	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	370	67¢	$249	0x8903a3…
05-24 17:19:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,252	50¢	$630	0xe9ca39…
05-24 17:15:40	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xbf3f1a…
05-24 17:14:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	1,071	96¢	$1,033	0x04b490…
05-23 22:31:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x526cb0…
05-23 22:29:39	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	791	14¢	$110	0xa9ab11…
05-23 22:28:52	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	964	13¢	$125	0x07ea1e…
05-23 22:27:14	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0xb7a9d3…
05-23 12:41:46	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	560	41¢	$228	0xfe4d42…
05-23 12:39:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	477	21¢	$100	0x4d8c3a…
05-23 12:26:59	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	293	29¢	$85	0x610ef3…
05-22 20:04:37	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	964	14¢	$135	0x949a22…
05-22 08:05:10	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	Yes	BUY	685	13¢	$90	0x4bd6ad…
05-16 14:14:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	198	17¢	$34	0xb76abc…
05-16 14:13:02	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	656	4¢	$26	0xd22e46…
05-16 06:02:39	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	656	7¢	$48	0xd3ff6a…
05-15 16:55:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,857	69¢	$3,371	0x3b190e…
05-15 16:54:55	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	8,795	39¢	$3,456	0x0dee6d…
05-15 11:52:50	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16,022	68¢	$10,878	0x661812…
05-15 11:47:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	8,795	41¢	$3,600	0x035649…
05-14 21:30:26	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5,702	100¢	$5,696	0xd57d97…
05-14 21:30:14	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4,946	100¢	$4,941	0x2e197d…
05-14 21:17:00	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4,285	94¢	$4,028	0xab844a…
05-14 19:42:56	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5,702	80¢	$4,546	0xfcd38d…
05-13 21:25:47	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,285	61¢	$2,600	0xe48480…
05-13 21:25:24	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4,946	51¢	$2,500	0x01c81d…
05-13 21:21:32	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	2,422	99¢	$2,398	0x4d7ceb…
05-13 21:03:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	2,941	7¢	$209	0xaccbf9…
05-13 21:03:02	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2,422	47¢	$1,140	0xd14ac0…
05-13 20:58:43	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,817	99¢	$1,799	0x52bce8…
05-13 20:56:27	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x29103d…
05-13 20:48:03	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,711	44¢	$748	0xb4243d…
05-13 20:17:06	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,346	26¢	$350	0x0db1e4…
05-13 20:14:13	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,937	41¢	$800	0x1c4657…
05-13 20:02:24	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5,319	43¢	$2,263	0x770320…
05-13 15:53:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	851	47¢	$400	0x9227af…
05-13 15:52:40	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,711	38¢	$650	0x4f3991…
05-13 15:51:57	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,623	43¢	$1,119	0x50627c…
05-13 15:51:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	2,090	47¢	$982	0x445ea1…
05-13 15:49:52	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5,319	47¢	$2,500	0xc4f322…
05-13 15:49:23	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,623	46¢	$1,200	0x2a5374…
05-12 12:59:05	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,191	47¢	$1,500	0xb75c2a…
05-12 12:58:51	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3,488	43¢	$1,500	0xd757d4…
05-11 20:33:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,920	47¢	$900	0x313465…
05-10 21:35:41	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x7804eb…
05-10 21:35:27	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,118	45¢	$1,403	0x80d5cd…
05-10 21:34:34	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3,136	52¢	$1,640	0x175ada…
05-10 21:01:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4,258	99¢	$4,215	0x53aad0…
05-10 20:59:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x07c4fe…
05-10 20:59:29	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3,957	100¢	$3,953	0x1ac9da…
05-10 20:59:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4,540	100¢	$4,535	0x67e7ad…
05-10 20:51:17	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,957	63¢	$2,500	0x34239b…
05-10 20:47:21	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3,571	52¢	$1,850	0x2f4475…
05-10 20:41:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x49c601…
05-10 18:30:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4,258	46¢	$1,974	0x4a1e03…
05-10 18:28:40	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,540	50¢	$2,270	0x3ec4ee…
05-10 18:27:53	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0x0e122b…
05-10 18:23:21	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,280	100¢	$2,278	0x82ca43…
05-10 15:43:28	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,594	56¢	$2,000	0x0af632…
05-10 13:41:05	Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,733	2¢	$50	0xce7dee…
05-10 13:40:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	4,857	8¢	$389	0x020d61…
05-10 08:59:44	Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,733	49¢	$1,350	0x0294e4…
05-09 19:46:28	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,280	47¢	$1,071	0xdbc55c…
05-09 18:23:36	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x5af91f…
05-09 17:14:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	800	9¢	$72	0x39a245…
05-09 11:04:40	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x355e02…
05-09 11:04:30	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,000	40¢	$800	0xc004a7…
05-09 06:02:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	4,057	7¢	$284	0x5eabe2…
05-07 16:47:57	Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	2,138	55¢	$1,182	0xfcf68f…
05-07 16:47:27	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	No	BUY	2,378	54¢	$1,272	0x879ab1…
05-07 16:40:15	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	8,148	57¢	$4,644	0x85af67…
05-06 20:03:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	2,077	0¢	$2	0x9dcec3…
05-06 20:03:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	1,032	44¢	$454	0x8df41d…
05-06 20:02:51	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,906	21¢	$400	0x051a0e…
05-06 20:01:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,204	40¢	$891	0x9a5901…
05-05 20:59:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2,384	50¢	$1,192	0xb82e7e…
05-05 20:58:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	329	67¢	$221	0x10c42f…
05-05 20:58:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,488	68¢	$1,006	0x3069ae…
05-04 19:07:10	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	1,963	29¢	$561	0xb6f225…
05-03 15:55:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	340	0¢	$0	0xbef11d…