Guilty-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$174.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.30K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-09 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

72% 62% +$9,655

Politics

16% — —

Sports

10% 20% $-3,120

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$14.2K	20,879	0	+20,879	open	—	05-15 16:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	3	$10.9K	6,974	6,974	+0	open	—	04-25 17:28
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	2	$10.2K	5,702	5,702	+0	open	—	05-14 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$8.4K	5,739	5,647	+92	open	—	04-08 04:20
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	3	$7.5K	7,528	3,957	+3,571	Under	+$4,025	05-10 20:59
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	2	$7.4K	4,946	4,946	+0	open	—	05-14 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$7.2K	6,184	6,081	+103	open	—	04-15 19:42
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$7.1K	8,795	8,795	+0	open	—	05-15 16:54
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	2	$6.8K	4,540	4,540	+0	Under	+$2,265	05-10 20:59
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	2	$6.6K	4,285	4,285	+0	open	—	05-14 21:17
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$6.6K	4,058	4,058	+0	open	—	04-09 17:09
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	2	$6.2K	4,258	4,258	+0	No	+$2,241	05-10 21:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$5.5K	4,324	4,324	+0	open	—	05-06 20:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$4.9K	13,356	5,207	+8,148	open	—	04-26 09:14
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	2	$4.8K	5,319	5,319	+0	open	—	05-13 20:02
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	14	$4.2K	5,800	5,800	+0	open	—	05-23 22:28
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	2	$3.5K	2,422	2,422	+0	Under	+$1,258	05-13 21:21
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$3.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$1,475	05-09 18:23
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$3.3K	2,280	2,280	+0	No	+$1,207	05-10 18:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.0K	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	04-22 05:21
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,562	2,508	+53	open	—	04-26 09:12
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$2.7K	1,937	1,937	+0	No	+$1,118	05-13 20:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$2.5K	3,571	3,571	+0	open	—	04-23 20:19
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$2.3K	2,623	2,623	+0	open	—	05-13 15:51
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$2.0K	3,594	0	+3,594	Under	+$1,594	05-10 15:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2.0K	3,995	0	+3,995	open	—	04-08 04:28
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$1.8K	6,005	0	+6,005	No	$-1,850	05-04 19:07
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	1	$1.6K	3,136	0	+3,136	Yes	$-1,640	05-10 21:34
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	2	$1.5K	1,197	1,197	+0	open	—	04-22 05:02
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$1.5K	3,191	0	+3,191	Over	$-1,500	05-12 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:14:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	286	28¢	$80	0xf48201…
06-09 09:14:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1,107	8¢	$85	0xa7f420…
06-07 11:44:15	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa054c7…
06-07 11:42:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,107	60¢	$668	0x76adb1…
05-31 10:07:23	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x1f7916…
05-30 18:36:08	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x49028d…
05-30 12:43:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	124	56¢	$69	0xf6f46c…
05-30 12:42:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	719	10¢	$70	0xbc56bc…
05-28 04:59:27	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	1,138	11¢	$130	0x49e5c9…
05-24 18:02:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,025	52¢	$530	0x141488…
05-24 17:50:36	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	370	67¢	$249	0x8903a3…
05-24 17:19:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,252	50¢	$630	0xe9ca39…
05-24 17:15:40	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xbf3f1a…
05-24 17:14:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	1,071	96¢	$1,033	0x04b490…
05-23 22:31:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x526cb0…
05-23 22:29:39	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	791	14¢	$110	0xa9ab11…
05-23 22:28:52	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	964	13¢	$125	0x07ea1e…
05-23 22:27:14	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0xb7a9d3…
05-23 12:41:46	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	560	41¢	$228	0xfe4d42…
05-23 12:39:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	477	21¢	$100	0x4d8c3a…
05-23 12:26:59	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	293	29¢	$85	0x610ef3…
05-22 20:04:37	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	964	14¢	$135	0x949a22…
05-16 14:13:02	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	656	4¢	$26	0xd22e46…
05-16 06:02:39	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	656	7¢	$48	0xd3ff6a…
05-15 16:55:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,857	69¢	$3,371	0x3b190e…
05-15 16:54:55	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	8,795	39¢	$3,456	0x0dee6d…
05-15 11:52:50	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16,022	68¢	$10,878	0x661812…
05-15 11:47:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	8,795	41¢	$3,600	0x035649…
05-14 21:30:26	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5,702	100¢	$5,696	0xd57d97…
05-14 21:30:14	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4,946	100¢	$4,941	0x2e197d…
05-14 21:17:00	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4,285	94¢	$4,028	0xab844a…
05-14 19:42:56	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5,702	80¢	$4,546	0xfcd38d…
05-13 21:25:47	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,285	61¢	$2,600	0xe48480…
05-13 21:25:24	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4,946	51¢	$2,500	0x01c81d…
05-13 21:21:32	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	2,422	99¢	$2,398	0x4d7ceb…
05-13 21:03:02	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2,422	47¢	$1,140	0xd14ac0…
05-13 20:58:43	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,817	99¢	$1,799	0x52bce8…
05-13 20:56:27	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x29103d…
05-13 20:48:03	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,711	44¢	$748	0xb4243d…
05-13 20:17:06	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,346	26¢	$350	0x0db1e4…
05-13 20:14:13	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,937	41¢	$800	0x1c4657…
05-13 20:02:24	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5,319	43¢	$2,263	0x770320…
05-13 15:52:40	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,711	38¢	$650	0x4f3991…
05-13 15:51:57	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,623	43¢	$1,119	0x50627c…
05-13 15:49:52	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5,319	47¢	$2,500	0xc4f322…
05-13 15:49:23	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,623	46¢	$1,200	0x2a5374…
05-12 12:59:05	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,191	47¢	$1,500	0xb75c2a…
05-12 12:58:51	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3,488	43¢	$1,500	0xd757d4…
05-11 20:33:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,920	47¢	$900	0x313465…
05-10 21:35:41	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,273	44¢	$1,000	0x7804eb…
05-10 21:35:27	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,118	45¢	$1,403	0x80d5cd…
05-10 21:34:34	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3,136	52¢	$1,640	0x175ada…
05-10 21:01:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4,258	99¢	$4,215	0x53aad0…
05-10 20:59:29	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3,957	100¢	$3,953	0x1ac9da…
05-10 20:59:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4,540	100¢	$4,535	0x67e7ad…
05-10 20:51:17	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,957	63¢	$2,500	0x34239b…
05-10 18:30:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4,258	46¢	$1,974	0x4a1e03…
05-10 18:28:40	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,540	50¢	$2,270	0x3ec4ee…
05-10 18:27:53	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0x0e122b…
05-10 18:23:21	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,280	100¢	$2,278	0x82ca43…
05-10 15:43:28	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3,594	56¢	$2,000	0x0af632…
05-10 13:41:05	Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,733	2¢	$50	0xce7dee…
05-10 13:40:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	4,857	8¢	$389	0x020d61…
05-10 08:59:44	Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,733	49¢	$1,350	0x0294e4…
05-09 19:46:28	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,280	47¢	$1,071	0xdbc55c…
05-09 18:23:36	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x5af91f…
05-09 17:14:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	800	9¢	$72	0x39a245…
05-09 11:04:40	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x355e02…
05-09 11:04:30	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2,000	40¢	$800	0xc004a7…
05-09 06:02:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	4,057	7¢	$284	0x5eabe2…
05-07 16:47:57	Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?	Yes	BUY	2,138	55¢	$1,182	0xfcf68f…
05-07 16:47:27	Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?	No	BUY	2,378	54¢	$1,272	0x879ab1…
05-06 20:02:51	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,906	21¢	$400	0x051a0e…
05-06 20:01:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,204	40¢	$891	0x9a5901…
05-05 20:59:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2,384	50¢	$1,192	0xb82e7e…
05-05 20:58:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	329	67¢	$221	0x10c42f…
05-05 20:58:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,488	68¢	$1,006	0x3069ae…
05-04 19:07:10	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	1,963	29¢	$561	0xb6f225…
05-03 15:43:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	303	65¢	$197	0xb8e96c…
05-02 18:26:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4,324	74¢	$3,200	0x07a983…
05-02 18:25:34	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	4,042	32¢	$1,289	0x4b4a8b…
05-02 18:06:34	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x3003a0…
05-02 18:03:56	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdf763d…
04-26 09:14:18	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8,148	27¢	$2,200	0xd58180…
04-26 09:12:34	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	2,450	37¢	$914	0xfc2a8a…
04-26 09:12:30	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3,207	26¢	$834	0x7b0b2d…
04-26 09:12:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,508	51¢	$1,282	0xb0129b…
04-26 09:09:02	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,562	59¢	$1,500	0x661b59…
04-25 17:36:20	Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,550	16¢	$408	0x39d739…
04-25 17:28:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	3,487	98¢	$3,411	0x39db80…
04-25 07:07:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	3,487	71¢	$2,492	0x45e5f3…
04-24 20:40:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6,974	72¢	$5,000	0x2cc0ee…
04-23 20:30:06	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xd8637b…
04-23 20:29:56	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	495	50¢	$250	0x78619a…
04-23 20:29:26	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	549	46¢	$250	0xbdb079…
04-23 20:29:20	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	595	42¢	$250	0x276d38…
04-23 20:29:12	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	614	41¢	$250	0x36574a…
04-23 20:26:20	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3,207	27¢	$866	0x98bf23…
04-23 20:19:54	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2,000	26¢	$520	0x28cdab…
04-23 20:19:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	1,004	3¢	$33	0x0aa9a6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	39	$73.7K	564	05-31 17:17
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	38	$11.0K	3,223	06-09 17:04
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	36	$288.7K	19,434	06-09 17:03
Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9	33	$1.87K	375	05-30 17:49
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$320.9K	5,839	06-09 01:12
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	30	$479.1K	4,520	05-30 17:58
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	30	$6.72K	384	06-09 16:59
Ragged-Pickle 0x8adc…6b14	30	$1.92K	62	05-29 01:06